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Old 08-31-2020, 10:49 PM   #1
MOONBASE1
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Default Does Card Grading Prop Up The Hobby?

In other words if grading did not exist would we still see these high prices? I would still collect regardless of grading or not. At present I only have 4 graded cards so grading does not mean much to me. They were graded more for authentication purposes than the assigned grade. Makes it easier to sell as well.
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Old 08-31-2020, 10:58 PM   #2
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i am not sure
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Old 08-31-2020, 11:06 PM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MOONBASE1 View Post
In other words if grading did not exist would we still see these high prices? I would still collect regardless of grading or not. At present I only have 4 graded cards so grading does not mean much to me. They were graded more for authentication purposes than the assigned grade. Makes it easier to sell as well.
In my opinion, grading added scarcity in an era where there wasn't any. Sure - it can be used for authenticity purposes in older sets, but it's current purpose is to try to set your cards apart from all the others of the same copy. People don't try to count how many base rookie cards of a set exist - but they DO count the 10s.

It eventually translated into the belief that a high grade version of any card needs to carry a massive premium. People are grading 1/1's, which shows the value the slab suddenly carries versus the actual card. It's ridiculous, but there's a whole generation of collectors that now have that belief.

The current explosion in popularity would've happened regardless - the graded cards just add another series of "parallels."
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Old 08-31-2020, 11:09 PM   #4
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Social media, and in the case of record setting sales, actual media, is a far, far, far greater influencer on current prices than grading! Grading is just a measuring stick (or a tool) that can be used to help justify price/cost/value/etc.

Grading has also been around a heck of a lot longer than social media!
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Old 08-31-2020, 11:48 PM   #5
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There are two issues here - the grading of cards, and the prices being paid for them.

Condition has always been an important aspect of trading in collectibles, and whether it's an old Rolex watch, a Ming Dynasty vase, a Penny Black stamp, or a vintage Ferrari, the better the condition the higher the sale price is likely to be.

Back when most of our sports card purchases were made in a shop, or at a fair/convention (remember those days!) a potential buyer could decide whether the condition of a card was acceptable to them by examining it in person.

With the growth of online purchasing buyers had to trust that sellers would accurately and honestly describe the card they were selling, but unfortunately this was not always the case.

Grading is a subjective, far from perfect process, but many buyers have concluded that it does provide a more reliable guide to overall condition of a card than the crappy photos that accompany many raw card listings.

Now, as to why people are prepared to pay so much for modern graded cards that are not even remotely scarce (base Topps Chrome, for example) I do not know.

In the case of a low numbered modern parallel is grading doing much more than providing protection? Isn't the value more a feature of the low print run, and not the grading?

It's not like high grade vintage cards which attract high prices because they are genuinely scarce.

I think grading is here to stay, but maybe the current crazy market for artificial scarcity will soften, and once again the clectors will rule!
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Old 09-01-2020, 12:03 AM   #6
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I would love to see it go away. A minority view I know, but until we have a TPG that's free of corruption and favoritism, I have no use for it.

If a card I that need happens to be already graded, I just break it out.
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Old 09-01-2020, 06:40 AM   #7
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Now, as to why people are prepared to pay so much for modern graded cards that are not even remotely scarce (base Topps Chrome, for example) I do not know.
THIS.
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Old 09-01-2020, 09:34 AM   #8
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Prop up is the wrong phrase.

I agree with what people say about modern cards. Almost everything is already an 8 or better and the distinction between a 9 and a 10 is usually minimal, so its basically splitting hairs. But I think it goes to human nature of segregating things and defining them as "better" or "worse."

Anyway, grading also provides a really valuable service for older cards, especially vintage. The market for vintage would probably be a lot smaller without the trust created by reputable slabs. Vintage cards are much easier to counterfeit and alter and the cards themselves skew towards worse condition on the bell curve, so higher condition cards have a clear distinction and value.

I think trust is the main value-added factor. But people are overvaluing that trust for modern cards.
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Old 09-01-2020, 11:32 AM   #9
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Grading has enabled the commoditization of cards....i.e. made it easier for them to be treated like investments.

It has had a huge impact on the hobby by turning every new product release into a potential "investment opportunity", thus helping to drive up wax prices.

That said, other areas of the hobby are largely unaffected by grading.
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Old 09-01-2020, 11:58 AM   #10
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A grade is nothing more than another type of parallel.

/thread
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Old 09-01-2020, 12:01 PM   #11
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Grading adds value to the vintage market

Grading props up the junk wax era

Grading adds value to the modern market
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Old 09-01-2020, 12:03 PM   #12
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Originally Posted by Pink Pussycat View Post
I would love to see it go away. A minority view I know, but until we have a TPG that's free of corruption and favoritism, I have no use for it.

If a card I that need happens to be already graded, I just break it out.

I agree the importance of grading has been grossly over-inflated.

It’s subjective nature makes it easy for groups of colluding investors to prop up their value.
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Old 09-01-2020, 12:43 PM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MoreToppsPlease View Post
A grade is nothing more than another type of parallel.

/thread
I like this thought.
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Old 09-01-2020, 12:53 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MoreToppsPlease View Post
A grade is nothing more than another type of parallel.

/thread
the best type, i agree!
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Old 09-01-2020, 12:56 PM   #15
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We absolutely would not see the same prices.

A - Grading makes it incredibly easy (as mentioned above) for casual fans to "invest" and flip cards. You can dislike it all you want as a collector, I've been collecting for 30 years, but it makes it so much simpler for the gamblers of the world to get involved. I can tell my buddy (who is huge into gambling and fantasy sports) about slabs and he will buy some to flip some. He doesn't want to deal with raw cards. That's just a hassle.

B - The registry is still king for the johnson measuring contests.

Would raw cards still be going up over the last 9 months? Absolutely... many still are.

But Kobe Topps isn't going to sell for $5,000 raw if grading didn't exist.
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Old 09-01-2020, 01:02 PM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by shayscards79 View Post
Grading adds value to the vintage market

Grading props up the junk wax era

Grading adds value to the modern market
This.

Without grading, values are down across the board (with the junk era facing the worst of it). People may hate it but grading is responsible for the way things are right now, only amplified by breakers.

Grading may not prop up the hobby, but it definitely did give it a major boost.
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Old 09-01-2020, 01:07 PM   #17
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Grading has helped save the hobby for sure
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Old 09-01-2020, 01:42 PM   #18
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Just found this: https://twitter.com/Cardhops

This makes me very scared for the immediate future of the hobby. It's a total pump and dump racket that they (and others) have going on. As you can see from their tweets, both they and their members have figured out that grading means they can get more money from their cards. It's this part of grading that worries me.
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