Are Football cards poised to explode?!?

[BeastMode27]

Originally Posted by ovrcollect

In basketball, I think it's easier to see how good a player is on their own. One player can make a huge impact and players drafted in the higher lottery picks can usually transition somewhat effectively. This leads to stronger speculation price wise.

Football is tough value wise because it really does rely on the team. QB's need receivers, a line, and a defense to keep them winning games. RB's need a line and an effective QB (and a defense so they can keep running the ball.) WR's need a QB, a line, and a pass friendly offense. Football also, by far, has the most "busts" when it comes to top draft picks, and can lead to some tremendous falls at all positions. The current astronomical values of QBs will come back to earth at some point when people see that value in football isn't entirely based on potential.

Guys like Kyler, Lock, etc would be lucky to have a career like Matthew Stafford, but with the available hindsight is he a QB you would've wanted to invest in? Most of these guys will be Andy Daltons or Tyrod Taylors.

I disagree with the last part. The talent coming out for QB now is so much better than it was in the past. These guys look the part. I compare it to how the majority of top baseball prospects busted until the last couple years. Most QBs busted as well until recently. Not sure what is going on, but the bust ratio for top prospects/QBs has greatly diminished in both baseball and football Since 2016. Great for the leagues and the card market with so much young great talent. People less scared to put money into a player.