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-   -   Are Football cards poised to explode?!? (https://www.blowoutforums.com/showthread.php?t=1394501)

Patlanta7 07-17-2020 08:27 AM

Are Football cards poised to explode?!?
 
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Man... I hope this post doesn’t set off a wildfire, but... I was looking at the current prices for Basketball, and while comparing the two sports there is plenty of room for growth in Football cards . I’m looking at plenty of QBs that could pop come beginning and mid to end of season. Thoughts? [ATTACH]487112[/ATTACH]


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k13 07-17-2020 08:29 AM

No...

deansayso 07-17-2020 08:29 AM

[IMG]https://media.giphy.com/media/3o7btT1T9qpQZWhNlK/giphy.gif[/IMG]

Patlanta7 07-17-2020 08:29 AM

Explain...?


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senorlaverga 07-17-2020 08:29 AM

Tough comparison. Football does not have anywhere near the global market of tallball.

Patlanta7 07-17-2020 08:31 AM

[QUOTE=senorlaverga;16177286]Tough comparison. Football does not have anywhere near the global market of tallball.[/QUOTE]


Gotcha. But u know that boy Gary V stays pumping his Sam Darnold


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deansayso 07-17-2020 08:35 AM

[QUOTE=Patlanta7;16177289]Gotcha. But u know that boy Gary V stays pumping his Sam Darnold


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[IMG]https://media1.tenor.com/images/d1679285581f9cc5def09904888128cc/tenor.gif[/IMG]

huskerman47 07-17-2020 08:45 AM

Football will probably never come close to bball prices unfortunately

taylor5877 07-17-2020 08:51 AM

Score Mahomes in PSA 10's are selling for 300 or more...it's already gone crazy.

JeremyNick 07-17-2020 08:53 AM

2019 Prizm is $600+ a box with the top 4 QBs (Murray, Lock, Minshew and Jones) combining for a whopping 18 wins and one player getting 1/3 of that total. It just doesn’t make sense.

dsprague12 07-17-2020 09:03 AM

[QUOTE=JeremyNick;16177344]2019 Prizm is $600+ a box with the top 4 QBs (Murray, Lock, Minshew and Jones) combining for a whopping 18 wins and one player getting 1/3 of that total. It just doesn’t make sense.[/QUOTE]


Mahomes had one W as a rookie. Rodgers 0. Lamar Jackson 5 or 6 (in which he wasn’t all that impressive). Not saying prices aren’t inflated, but using wins as a rookie as a metric that should determine RC prices after one season isn’t particularly reliable. It’s reasonable for people to gamble that Murray or Lock or Jones will pan out. It’s possible they will, it’s possible they won’t.


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SkolVikesCards 07-17-2020 09:10 AM

[QUOTE=dsprague12;16177374]Mahomes had one W as a rookie. Rodgers 0. Lamar Jackson 5 or 6 (in which he wasn’t all that impressive). Not saying prices aren’t inflated, but using wins as a rookie as a metric that should determine RC prices after one season isn’t particularly reliable. It’s reasonable for people to gamble that Murray or Lock or Jones will pan out. It’s possible they will, it’s possible they won’t.


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Mahomes only played one game his rookie year, Rodgers didn’t play any. 3 of the 4 rookies from 2019 class played most of the season (Lock being the exception)

JeremyNick 07-17-2020 09:10 AM

[QUOTE=dsprague12;16177374]Mahomes had one W as a rookie. Rodgers 0. Lamar Jackson 5 or 6 (in which he wasn’t all that impressive). Not saying prices aren’t inflated, but using wins as a rookie as a metric that should determine RC prices after one season isn’t particularly reliable. It’s reasonable for people to gamble that Murray or Lock or Jones will pan out. It’s possible they will, it’s possible they won’t.


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Did prices skyrocket for those players after their first season?

That is the full compare I making. It wasn’t anything for or against those players, but with the guys you mentioned, box prices didn’t double before the start of the next season.

rippev 07-17-2020 09:13 AM

[QUOTE=JeremyNick;16177344]2019 Prizm is $600+ a box with the top 4 QBs (Murray, Lock, Minshew and Jones) combining for a whopping 18 wins and one player getting 1/3 of that total. It just doesn’t make sense.[/QUOTE]

It’s also not $600+

JeremyNick 07-17-2020 09:16 AM

[QUOTE=rippev;16177413]It’s also not $600+[/QUOTE]


You’re right. It’s on sale for $599 now, down from $649.

Mea culpa. Feel better?

BlowoutBuzz 07-17-2020 09:22 AM

With no season a potential reality, I say no.

patchgenie 07-17-2020 09:23 AM

nah..

asujbl 07-17-2020 09:24 AM

Define explode?

Because they already have.

Watson is a $500 card right now... It was selling in the $130 range at the end of February (PWCC sold a PSA 10 on 2/24 for $131)

Basketball is just a different beast

JeremyNick 07-17-2020 09:28 AM

Also right now we are living on hype. If none of those QBs are MVP or make a solid playoff run, then whatever prices they are at now, will drop - some significantly.

Newgenre 07-17-2020 09:39 AM

People are discounting Daily Fantasy players. If they come into cards like the sneaker community did to basketball, game over for all skill players

MiamiMarlinsFan 07-17-2020 09:40 AM

This feels a little explode-y.

[URL="https://www.ebay.com/itm/283949561971"]https://www.ebay.com/itm/283949561971[/URL]

the mesiah 07-17-2020 09:45 AM

Until I start Seeing Asia playing tackle American football then no ..

MiamiMarlinsFan 07-17-2020 09:48 AM

[QUOTE=the mesiah;16177544]Until I start Seeing Asia playing tackle American football then no ..[/QUOTE]

I know NOTHING about the basketball market, so I’m sorry if this is a stupid question, but is that what’s driving the explosion in the basketball card market?

the mesiah 07-17-2020 09:48 AM

[QUOTE=MiamiMarlinsFan;16177553]I know NOTHING about the basketball market, so I’m sorry if this is a stupid question, but is that what’s driving the explosion in the basketball card market?[/QUOTE]



Yes ..

Morgoth 07-17-2020 09:51 AM

There will be speculators but FB is the most star heavy of all the sports in terms of value. There are only a handful of players who sustain value or grow and most are QB's.

Historically most of those 2019 QB's will fail. Even if they have some success they become Steve McNair or Donovan McNabb. The bar for continued monetary success is Brady, Brees and Manning.


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