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Old 12-11-2025, 12:44 PM   #176
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Originally Posted by Funkster View Post
Less chance for everyone else to pull him I guess lol


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Old 12-11-2025, 12:45 PM   #177
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Read into this what you will, but “Filthbomb” hit 6 Debuts. On release day.




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Old 12-11-2025, 12:46 PM   #178
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Originally Posted by gunboat82 View Post
After reading this thread, I'm definitely going to be selling my Fanatics lottery boxes. I already took a beating on Allen & Ginter, and I don't think I have the stomach to flip through a bunch of base cards to get to a sticker auto for a 35-year-old relief pitcher who was non-tendered.
2018 TCU came out at $19.99, auto checklist was only 43 and there was a good mix of rookies & veterans. The only negative(s) being the entire lineup were all sticker autos with the exception of the on-card Rookie Auto set of 4 players who'd never played a game or were already out of the league.

Of course the bigger names were harder to hit but I managed to pull a decent amount, also had my fair share of Gage Workman's but you didn't have to take out a second mortgage to do so back then.
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Old 12-11-2025, 12:49 PM   #179
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second wave price for dealers is $315 for hobby

lmao
Simply incredible.
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Old 12-11-2025, 01:24 PM   #180
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Originally Posted by ATLSevarb View Post
Read into this what you will, but “Filthbomb” hit 6 Debuts. On release day.




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Lol that picture. Bless their hearts
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Old 12-11-2025, 01:27 PM   #181
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Originally Posted by ATLSevarb View Post
Read into this what you will, but “Filthbomb” hit 6 Debuts. On release day.




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BOOM!!!!!

We make more money than you AND we open your packs!
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Old 12-11-2025, 01:52 PM   #182
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Read into this what you will, but “Filthbomb” hit 6 Debuts. On release day.

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I have no proof, but I have 2 thoughts based on observations over the years.

1. There's something about the way shipping works. It's not that they have allotment of certain cases that they make sure go to certain breakers.... but it's more to do with all of preorder shipping. These tend to be loaded with bigger, lower numbered cards.

Something about the order in which cases get loaded into the warehouse and then grabbed for presale shipping. My local LCS doesn't get a high amount of volume anymore, but the few cases they do get prior to release to be ready for release day always seem to be loaded with monster cards... then future waves of the same product they receive tend to be less and less impressive in terms of what comes out of them.

2. Pure volume. They received TONS of cases preorder and probably opened close to 100 cases yesterday? It's a numbers game. And if any part of my first hypothesis is correct... the preorder cases seem to be more fruitful based on how the product comes off the line, gets packed, stored and shipped out the door.

Either way... would LOVE to see a full audit done by a 3rd party company to see if my first point has any truth to it
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Old 12-11-2025, 01:57 PM   #183
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Originally Posted by atomic619jd View Post
I have no proof, but I have 2 thoughts based on observations over the years.

1. There's something about the way shipping works. It's not that they have allotment of certain cases that they make sure go to certain breakers.... but it's more to do with all of preorder shipping. These tend to be loaded with bigger, lower numbered cards.

Something about the order in which cases get loaded into the warehouse and then grabbed for presale shipping. My local LCS doesn't get a high amount of volume anymore, but the few cases they do get prior to release to be ready for release day always seem to be loaded with monster cards... then future waves of the same product they receive tend to be less and less impressive in terms of what comes out of them.

2. Pure volume. They received TONS of cases preorder and probably opened close to 100 cases yesterday? It's a numbers game. And if any part of my first hypothesis is correct... the preorder cases seem to be more fruitful based on how the product comes off the line, gets packed, stored and shipped out the door.

Either way... would LOVE to see a full audit done by a 3rd party company to see if my first point has any truth to it
That's cute.
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Old 12-11-2025, 02:06 PM   #184
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Got back into opening wax in 2023. The ROI in 2025 flagship and especially chrome seems to be exponentially worse than when I started. This years chrome and chrome update arent even fun to open and that's even when you expect to lose.
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Old 12-11-2025, 02:07 PM   #185
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2. Pure volume. They received TONS of cases preorder and probably opened close to 100 cases yesterday? It's a numbers game. And if any part of my first hypothesis is correct... the preorder cases seem to be more fruitful based on how the product comes off the line, gets packed, stored and shipped out the door.
Wasn't the initial report they had 3 in a single case?
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Old 12-11-2025, 02:13 PM   #186
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Wasn't the initial report they had 3 in a single case?

I watched the replay last night. 3 debut patches in 4 boxes. Odds of that happening naturally are essentially impossible.
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Old 12-11-2025, 02:29 PM   #187
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I watched the replay last night. 3 debut patches in 4 boxes. Odds of that happening naturally are essentially impossible.
If the odds of pulling a debut patch are anything like last year's odds, pulling 3 in 4 boxes is like 1 in 23 BILLION.
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Old 12-11-2025, 03:01 PM   #188
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Originally Posted by Jwax13 View Post
I watched the replay last night. 3 debut patches in 4 boxes. Odds of that happening naturally are essentially impossible.
Someone on Reddit mentioned they pulled 2 in the next case as well.

I didnt watch so I cant confirm but.....what
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Old 12-11-2025, 03:15 PM   #189
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Absolutely hilarious that Fanatics own website can have a lottery for hobby and jumbo for $220 and $440, basically no one wins, and the very next day pallets of it for sale for $350 and $700 per box. Why even bother having the lottery?

Usually, these bums at least wait a few weeks. This was 1 day. Just like every other time, they list for above market value too. Can't even sell for market value. They are the new BO. List for $350 and $700 when they are available other places for $285 and $575.

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Old 12-11-2025, 03:34 PM   #190
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#BoycottFanatics
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Old 12-11-2025, 03:46 PM   #191
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Originally Posted by TBTC Baseball View Post
Wasn't the initial report they had 3 in a single case?
I’m the last person to ever defend breakers or fanatics, but Topps has always been known to cluster 1/1 hits in boxes in close proximity.
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Old 12-11-2025, 04:03 PM   #192
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Originally Posted by ATLSevarb View Post
Read into this what you will, but “Filthbomb” hit 6 Debuts. On release day.




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CEO...

GTFOtaa here..

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Old 12-11-2025, 04:24 PM   #193
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Originally Posted by hermanotarjeta View Post
I’m the last person to ever defend breakers or fanatics, but Topps has always been known to cluster 1/1 hits in boxes in close proximity.
Whether it was intentional or not, Topps and Fanatics want to create the perception that a high-number of big hits are being pulled from a product on release day to create FOMO and demand.
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Old 12-11-2025, 04:28 PM   #194
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Originally Posted by ATLSevarb View Post
Read into this what you will, but “Filthbomb” hit 6 Debuts. On release day.




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A whooping 65 watching at that time! Racking in the viewers
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Old 12-11-2025, 07:27 PM   #195
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Originally Posted by ctau00 View Post
2018 TCU came out at $19.99, auto checklist was only 43 and there was a good mix of rookies & veterans. The only negative(s) being the entire lineup were all sticker autos with the exception of the on-card Rookie Auto set of 4 players who'd never played a game or were already out of the league.

Of course the bigger names were harder to hit but I managed to pull a decent amount, also had my fair share of Gage Workman's but you didn't have to take out a second mortgage to do so back then.
I pulled the super auto of one of those 4 guys haha.
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Old 12-11-2025, 08:00 PM   #196
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Kurtz Debut is out. Now drop price please
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Old 12-11-2025, 08:13 PM   #197
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Kurtz Debut is out. Now drop price please
On day 2!
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Old 12-11-2025, 08:18 PM   #198
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https://x.com/BarbellBreaks/status/1999281126783729744

https://www.reddit.com/r/sportscards..._own_breakers/


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Old 12-11-2025, 08:23 PM   #199
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10 EX BABY
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Old 12-11-2025, 08:25 PM   #200
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That’s some great news for the box flipper bois and middlemen! What a hobby!

We all saw this from the start - fanatics will be judge, jury and executioner. Making the hobby great again!
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