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Old 07-03-2025, 08:58 AM   #1
WyoDeacon2K6
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Default Will Clayton Kershaw end up being the last pitcher to have 3,000 Ks?

Maybe Gerrit Cole? Skenes is a long way away and probably won't have huge IP totals through his career. Strider started strong, but, you know, injuries and low IP totals. Could it be that Kershaw is the last one?
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Old 07-03-2025, 09:07 AM   #2
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I think we’ll see 3,000 Ks again sooner than we’ll see 100 WAR.
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Old 07-03-2025, 09:18 AM   #3
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If Chris Sale decides to pitch till he's 40 and stays healthy he will do it.

Besides that pitchers are to good now. Yes they throw less innings but this is offset by a higher K/9. top 5 all time K/9 all active pitchers.

You have enough Skenes/Burns/Smith/Greene types coming up 1-2 of them will just have a career where they pitch till they wre 41 and only miss 1-2 seasons and hit 3000 K's easily.

Besides that you will also have a Skubal/gilbert type that pitches till 40+ and gets there
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Old 07-03-2025, 09:25 AM   #4
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Dylan Cease has been fairly durable the last five years and puts up 200k a year. He's also somewhat erratic from year to year, but if he can find a spot in a rotation for another ten years, he may have a slim chance.
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Old 07-03-2025, 09:27 AM   #5
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Guys aren't going deep enough into games anymore.

Most hard-throwers are also going to miss a season or two because they're going to need TJ at least once.
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Old 07-03-2025, 09:31 AM   #6
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So baseball pitching greatness has evolved from a guy actually getting career milestones to per game averages. Cool. I know its awesome to see Skenes go 5-6 IP and K 5-6 hitters every start. He’ll be a HOF in no time.


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Old 07-03-2025, 09:33 AM   #7
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with how the game has changed i doubt it
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Old 07-03-2025, 11:09 AM   #8
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Sale or Cole can do it with a few more seasons. After that, it might be a long wait.

Current leader for pitchers in their 20s is Cease with 1,137, and he'll be 30 before the start of next season.
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Old 07-03-2025, 11:11 AM   #9
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Not a chance in hell

Multiple more players will do it
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Old 07-03-2025, 11:21 AM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Twalk1975 View Post
Dylan Cease has been fairly durable the last five years and puts up 200k a year. He's also somewhat erratic from year to year, but if he can find a spot in a rotation for another ten years, he may have a slim chance.
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Sale or Cole can do it with a few more seasons. After that, it might be a long wait.

Current leader for pitchers in their 20s is Cease with 1,137, and he'll be 30 before the start of next season.
Hard to see Cease getting to 3k. Through their age 28 season Kershaw had 902 more Ks than Cease. That ain’t nothing.
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Old 07-03-2025, 11:38 AM   #11
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Love the GQ GlassWorks and this is one of my favorites. 001/150
Figured it might evolve into an appreciation thread!
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Old 07-03-2025, 12:32 PM   #12
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Change is constant. The current state of affairs could reverse. Maybe someone discovers a training regimen that keeps elbows intact. Or comes up with a way to miss bats without using maximum velocity.

After Sale and Cole, I don’t see any active pitchers having a chance. But the game and future players will be different in ways we can’t even guess.
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Old 07-03-2025, 12:47 PM   #13
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We will see it before the next person gets 3000 hits
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Old 07-03-2025, 01:50 PM   #14
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lets see em

885DF25B-9AA6-4258-8F02-00EA599ABEE6 by Harry G, on Flickr
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Old 07-03-2025, 02:47 PM   #15
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oooooh! Shiny and pretty
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Old 07-03-2025, 02:51 PM   #16
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Old 07-03-2025, 02:51 PM   #17
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Old 07-03-2025, 02:52 PM   #18
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Old 07-03-2025, 03:08 PM   #19
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Not a chance in hell

Multiple more players will do it

the innings pitched will be the biggest problem for people to accomplish it. Look at this year:

Garrett Crochett is leading the league in innings so far (115.1 in 18 starts) and averages 6 and 1/3rd inning per starts. And also strikeouts with 144, which is 8 per outing

Of the top 25 innings pitched guys this year only 7 of them have had a complete game and only one of them did it more than once so far.

The game has just changed where its more of case of lack of innings in getting to the 3,000 even more than age or ability/durability
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Old 07-03-2025, 03:09 PM   #20
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Love this set, I tried to snag one of each of the Kershaws, but there were just too many.

Here’s one you dont see very often…

DFEBE367-1D47-4D5A-B76D-B8D6E09F71B6 by Harry G, on Flickr
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Old 07-03-2025, 03:12 PM   #21
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no

paul skenes will
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Old 07-03-2025, 03:22 PM   #22
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Chris Sale should be able to do it barring any major injuries. He's at 2528k currently at age 36. Verlander, Scherzer, and Greinke all made it to age 40+. I see Sale putting in at least another 4-5 years if he's still pitching like he has this year and last.
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Old 07-03-2025, 03:25 PM   #23
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but but the narrative...
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Old 07-03-2025, 03:26 PM   #24
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Quote:
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Chris Sale should be able to do it barring any major injuries. He's at 2528k currently at age 36. Verlander, Scherzer, and Greinke all made it to age 40+. I see Sale putting in at least another 4-5 years if he's still pitching like he has this year and last.
Sale is made of glass
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Old 07-03-2025, 03:28 PM   #25
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Maybe Gerrit Cole? Skenes is a long way away and probably won't have huge IP totals through his career. Strider started strong, but, you know, injuries and low IP totals. Could it be that Kershaw is the last one?
Chris Sale is like 475 strikeouts away. I know he's injury prone but that's basically two healthy seasons at his current rates.
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