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Old 04-11-2025, 10:03 AM   #1351
bub838
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Originally Posted by erock28 View Post
Just did this - the odds were closer than I expected, but still better for 2022.

2022 = 11.26 chrome/refractor/silver/black per hobby case. Rate of hitting any one particular player = 100/11.26 = 8.89 cases.

2024 = 56.47 chrome/silver/black per hobby case. Rate of hitting any one particular player = 625/56.47 = 11.07 cases.
There's a silver refractor /225 in 2024, too. Not sure if you counted that in there. With it being 5 chrome cards per box, wouldn't the expected per hobby case be 70?
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Old 04-11-2025, 10:34 AM   #1352
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has anyone received their orders from Dicks?
I remember at the time I ordered I saw something about a shipping date of like April 15-17. I didn’t see it after I bought but before.
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Old 04-11-2025, 11:11 AM   #1353
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Anyone need 700 SPs, green/white/teal borders, or inserts? Looking to trade what I have. Looking for base in return to complete sets.
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Old 04-11-2025, 11:28 AM   #1354
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Originally Posted by bub838 View Post
There's a silver refractor /225 in 2024, too. Not sure if you counted that in there. With it being 5 chrome cards per box, wouldn't the expected per hobby case be 70?
I did count the silvers, but 5 per would be 60 per case. I think they may have stated 5 per somewhere, but the odds don't quite work out that way. Toss in the longshot golds and supers, it's a little over 57. A buddy of mine opened a hobby case at release and got 56 chrome/silver/black...so that obviously very little sample size tracks with the odds.
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Old 04-11-2025, 11:35 AM   #1355
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My three blasters from Best Buy are set to arrive today.
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Old 04-11-2025, 12:30 PM   #1356
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Originally Posted by cardtrader22 View Post
Anyone need 700 SPs, green/white/teal borders, or inserts? Looking to trade what I have. Looking for base in return to complete sets.
Send me a list of what base you’re missing and I’ll see if I have it.
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Old 04-11-2025, 01:12 PM   #1357
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Send me a list of what base you’re missing and I’ll see if I have it.
PM sent. Thanks!
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Old 04-11-2025, 01:37 PM   #1358
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My six from the second target drop coming today as well.
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Old 04-11-2025, 01:59 PM   #1359
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Right now, 2024 > 2022 since you've got three potential superstars (Skenes, Chourio, Merrill), all of whom are following up their excellent 2024 seasons by getting off to fast starts in 2025.

That said, because of the Chroming of the entire 2024 set, the likelihood of pulling a Chrome RC of one of the big names may actually be smaller that that of pulling a Witt Chrome RC from 2022 HHN. Would love to see somebody try and calculate the odds.
People keep forgetting about Hunter Greene in 2022.
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Old 04-11-2025, 04:51 PM   #1360
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Blasters back up at Target!
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Old 04-11-2025, 05:39 PM   #1361
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Cracked the three blasters. Best cards were a Wyatt Langford color swap and Jack Leiter chrome /699. Fun rip and it's easy to find the variations and SPs.
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Old 04-11-2025, 05:41 PM   #1362
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Blasters back up at Target!
Ordered. Thanks for the heads up!
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Old 04-11-2025, 06:02 PM   #1363
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My 3 from best buy are here and I ordered on Wednesday. Too bad best buy is sold out. Got
2 relics- 1 being trout
3 chrome /699- no one good.
2 minis- Jackson Holliday being 1 of them

Very good break.
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Old 04-11-2025, 06:26 PM   #1364
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I have slowed down on breaking wax significantly of late, but this product at retail is a lot of fun. I’ve been selling “common” minis in lots and recouping about 30-35% of my buy in on those alone.
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Old 04-11-2025, 09:45 PM   #1365
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40 box blaster case:

80 sps (2 complete sets 701-725 + 30 extras)
80 inserts
11 x minis
8 x Game Used (one /99)
4 x autos
purple refractors x16
chrome refractors /699 x42
silver refractors /225 x13
white x24
teal x40
green x120
color swap sp x4
black & White sp x1
city name variation sp x1

7 complete base sets 501-700
8th set missing 3
9th set missing 10

good value if you can get for under $1,100, otherwise not worth it unless you hit a big auto.
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Old 04-11-2025, 09:55 PM   #1366
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I bought two blasters off Target since I had a $20 rewards so it was like getting them for $15 a box.

Blaster 1 had
Skenes White Border
Michael Lorenzen Mini
Jonathan India Silver Refractor /225
Alex Bregman Chrome /699
World Series Game 1 Chrome /699
Shota Green Border
Elly/Marte Combo Insert

The aqua and other two greens weren't notable

Blaster 2 had
Hunter Renfroe Silver Refractor /225 (had a Renfroe aqua in the same pack..why can't that ever happen with players you want lol)
AJ Smith-Shawver Refractor /699
Alec Burleson Chrome /699

The 3 greens and 1 white border weren't notable
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Old 04-12-2025, 04:36 AM   #1367
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Just got notification my order from Dicks shipped and is arriving Sunday
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Old 04-12-2025, 06:20 AM   #1368
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Should be seeing live Paul Skenes real one autos soon. Redemptions are currently being fulfilled.
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Old 04-12-2025, 06:35 AM   #1369
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Quote:
Originally Posted by erock28 View Post
I did count the silvers, but 5 per would be 60 per case. I think they may have stated 5 per somewhere, but the odds don't quite work out that way. Toss in the longshot golds and supers, it's a little over 57. A buddy of mine opened a hobby case at release and got 56 chrome/silver/black...so that obviously very little sample size tracks with the odds.
Gotcha, thank you!
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Old 04-12-2025, 08:04 AM   #1370
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FYI, blasters been back up on targetcom since last night.....
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Old 04-12-2025, 08:08 AM   #1371
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Originally Posted by rudan007 View Post
FYI, blasters been back up on targetcom since last night.....
Great news. I bought 3 on March 28

Still have not shipped
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Old 04-12-2025, 11:30 AM   #1372
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decided to open my last blaster since my dicks order shipped and it was one heck of a Hot Box.

Purple chrome Chourio
Mini Kopech

and

Real one Auto Redemption Paul Skenes

I should quit now.
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Old 04-12-2025, 11:59 AM   #1373
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Originally Posted by rentz View Post
decided to open my last blaster since my dicks order shipped and it was one heck of a Hot Box.

Purple chrome Chourio
Mini Kopech

and

Real one Auto Redemption Paul Skenes

I should quit now.
Awesome. Definitely not doing much better than that ! Congratulations!
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Old 04-12-2025, 12:30 PM   #1374
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kyle1707 View Post
Great news. I bought 3 on March 28

Still have not shipped
Same here. Got a UPS tracking number, but they haven't received it yet.
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Old 04-12-2025, 01:16 PM   #1375
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Same here. Got a UPS tracking number, but they haven't received it yet.

Quote:
Originally Posted by kyle1707 View Post
Great news. I bought 3 on March 28

Still have not shipped

I’d chat them. They are going to tell you they did ship and UPS had them but likely lost them. They refunded both my 3-box orders from that day. If you got a tracking number with UPS they say UPS had them and there’s nothing else Target can do but refund.


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