🏈 🏈 🏈 2025 NFL Playoffs Conference Round Thread 🏈 🏈 🏈

[mc1]

Originally Posted by 2dueces

Vegas had them at 10 wins behind Miami and the Jets and they clinch at Thanksgiving.
If they pull it off, it’s nothing short of a Hollywood movie. GO BILLS!

Why do you guys keep pushing this lie? Delta has also said the Bills were picked to finish 3rd by everyone.

The fact is the Bills opened as favorites to win their division and to win 11.5 games. By the time the season started they were still favored to win more games than the Jets or Dolphins.

[Jaysabz]

Originally Posted by lionsfan20

So are you officially a Bills fan now? Thought you were a life long Saints fan? Or did you officially jump onto Bills bandwagon because the Saints suck? Gotta love bandwagon fans. Some of us just stick with our teams through good and bad. Or mostly bad in our case. Either way us Lions fans will save a spot on the beach for you and your boy Allen. After mahomie sends him on vacation again this weekend.

I think I heard him mention he's a QB fan and there was that thread where he was asking for opinions on what Drew Brees card to purchase where he called himself a diehard Saints fan, though I never see him posting about the Saints.

I think he just has man crushes on certain QBs, used to be Drew Brees so he was a Saints fan, now he's in love with Josh Allen so he's the #1 Bills fan.

When I was growing up, you were a fan of the team from your city.

If you were born without a nearby team, like in Montana or Wyoming or Arkansas, I suppose you'd be free to root for whoever you'd like, but I'd think it would make the most sense to root for the geographically closest team to where you live, because it's likely your local ABC, NBC (back in the day), CBS, and FOX affiliate would cover the games of the closest team, geographically.

Someone who grew up in a state without a team - correct me if I'm wrong.

[blackbears86]

Originally Posted by Chris P

He's sidestepped this question everytime it's brought up. Expect a "I never agreed to that bet" at best

I'll just keep asking every time he posts.

[2dueces]

Originally Posted by mc1

Why do you guys keep pushing this lie? Delta has also said the Bills were picked to finish 3rd by everyone.

The fact is the Bills opened as favorites to win their division and to win 11.5 games. By the time the season started they were still favored to win more games than the Jets or Dolphins.

That’s so wrong. 10.5 was the number with Jets and Dolphins at 9.5 depending on what betting site you looked at. The talking heads predicted the Bills would finish 3rd because of the loss of 6 pro bowlers and $70M in dead cap space

[cdub6238]

Originally Posted by 2dueces

That’s so wrong. 10.5 was the number with Jets and Dolphins at 9.5 depending on what betting site you looked at. The talking heads predicted the Bills would finish 3rd because of the loss of 6 pro bowlers and $70M in dead cap space

Alllll I heard allllll off season...from friends, co workers, ESPN heads...even most people on here..

But totally definitely "never happened" and was all in head

[Delta5]

Originally Posted by blackbears86

Delta: Are you done for a year if the Bills lose Sunday? Are you going to honor the bet with Sleeper?

of course, I said yes one time. I dont have to keep repeating myself

[Delta5]

Originally Posted by mc1

Why do you guys keep pushing this lie? Delta has also said the Bills were picked to finish 3rd by everyone.

The fact is the Bills opened as favorites to win their division and to win 11.5 games. By the time the season started they were still favored to win more games than the Jets or Dolphins.

Bills are not fave to win division. in fsct they're behind dolphins and jets. get your facts straight

[Delta5]

Originally Posted by blackbears86

I'll just keep asking every time he posts.

I said yes one time, why do I have to keep answering the same question?

[Siberian13]

As of 8/27/24, Jets are the new favorites to win the AFC in 2024. Days ahead of the NFL season, New York's odds to take the division now sit at +165. The Buffalo Bills opened as the favorites to repeat as AFC East champions, but those odds recently moved from +130 to +195, second on the board.

When division odds first began to drop back in early March, the Bills were at +130 to repeat in the AFC East at DraftKings, followed by the Dolphins at +180 and the Jets at +300.

Bills opened as favorites and then jets moved hard before season started.

[Delta5]

Originally Posted by Siberian13

As of 8/27/24, Jets are the new favorites to win the AFC in 2024. Days ahead of the NFL season, New York's odds to take the division now sit at +165. The Buffalo Bills opened as the favorites to repeat as AFC East champions, but those odds recently moved from +130 to +195, second on the board.

When division odds first began to drop back in early March, the Bills were at +130 to repeat in the AFC East at DraftKings, followed by the Dolphins at +180 and the Jets at +300.

Bills opened as favorites and then jets moved hard before season started.

I mean +130 was with Diggs and the roster shuffle hasnt happened yet. 70m in dead cap caused Bills to be third on the divvy, some people just underestimate Allen

[hairysasquatch]

Originally Posted by Delta5

I mean +130 was with Diggs and the roster shuffle hasnt happened yet. 70m in dead cap caused Bills to be third on the divvy, some people just underestimate Allen

Shedding Diggs did wonders for the Bills.

[Delta5]

Originally Posted by hairysasquatch

Shedding Diggs did wonders for the Bills.

Not according to Vegas, neither by general sentiment. I'm pretty sure a lot of people called bills are on soft rebuild. And not jusr diggs, they lost 6 pro bowlers and like 5 captains from the team. So the roster was undoubtedly gutted

[Boo]

Originally Posted by Delta5

Not according to Vegas, neither by general sentiment. I'm pretty sure a lot of people called bills are on soft rebuild. And not jusr diggs, they lost 6 pro bowlers and like 5 captains from the team. So the roster was undoubtedly gutted

Are you making excuses for a loss this weekend?

[2dueces]

Originally Posted by Boo

Are you making excuses for a loss this weekend?

There will be no need for excuses after the Bills beat KC. KC has to be the luckiest good team to reach this point. Every bounce, every penalty, every toe went their way this year. Eventually that and one score wins will catch up. Now that the whole world is aware of the differential in playoff penalties the game will be called very close to the vest. The Bills pass rush will be the difference.
No excuses on the way to the Super Bowl. GO BILLS!

[blackbears86]

Originally Posted by Delta5

I said yes one time, why do I have to keep answering the same question?

Just wanted clarity

[slyguy]

Originally Posted by 2dueces

There will be no need for excuses after the Bills beat KC. KC has to be the luckiest good team to reach this point. Every bounce, every penalty, every toe went their way this year. Eventually that and one score wins will catch up. Now that the whole world is aware of the differential in playoff penalties the game will be called very close to the vest. The Bills pass rush will be the difference.
No excuses on the way to the Super Bowl. GO BILLS!

Lol, the KC hate is amazing. I'd like to see another team lose its WR1 for the year, top FA WR gets hurt before opening kickoff, RB1 for over half the year, patchwork OL... and *still* be the SB favorite. They are literally pulling guys out of retirement (Hunt, OL, DBs) to make a team, and they are a 1 seed, lol.

It doesn't matter how a team wins... wins are wins, esp AFC wins... and any NFL wins on the road.

The Bills have as good a shot as they ever did, but they are dogs for a reason (mainly road game and coaching... they're as/more talented this year than KC). I bet KC takes it in one score game, but it'll be fun to watch.

[JWBlue]

In the Bills/Chiefs game coaching will be the difference.

Advantage : Chiefs

[Fenway55]

Well, here's a little something for those of you wanting statistical evidence...

https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.co...isional-round/

[Hellcat]

It's becoming unwatchable anymore meaning Chiefs games. Like was already lamented every big call/play/situation always goes the Chiefs way. Thankfully the Eagles will be waiting for them and yet again the Chiefs will be dogs but the refs will find a way!

[chompie99]

Originally Posted by Fenway55

Well, here's a little something for those of you wanting statistical evidence...

https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.co...isional-round/

Interesting. So all an astute person needs to do is bet heavily on Chiefs money line and over this time period you’re a huge winner. I’m certain that betters who know this have been doing so since “everyone” knows this has been going on and knows the narrative. (Quotation marks are my own)

If only it were this easy. If it were and I was a big winner it would be anything but unwatchable.

Bottom line is as a Chiefs fan, there are two results. Chiefs win or Chiefs lose. Either way there are going to be no excuses from me as it’s a game. End of story. If they win, it will be historic. If they lose, I’ll be thankful they’ve done so well compared to 50 years of no Super bowl appearances until 2019. It’s been remarkable.

[Fenway55]

Originally Posted by chompie99

Interesting. So all an astute person needs to do is bet heavily on Chiefs money line and over this time period you’re a huge winner.

It is pretty easy to come up with successful betting strategies after the fact.

All an astute person had to do was bet $200 against the Chicago White Sox last July 10 and parlay their winnings every day for 3 weeks and they'd be a millionaire.

[Grave252]

Should be some good football this weekend. I have resided myself into another Chiefs title, so that way it'll be easier to accept if it happens. A Chiefs loss to the Bills would be amazing though.

[dbpsooner]

Originally Posted by Fenway55

It is pretty easy to come up with successful betting strategies after the fact.

All an astute person had to do was bet $200 against the Chicago White Sox last July 10 and parlay their winnings every day for 3 weeks and they'd be a millionaire.

Seasoned gamblers know you always bet on a streak versus against it. Betting on a streak has unlimited upside with a downside of one loss. Betting against a streak has unlimited downside with upside of one win.

The White Sox example is a great one and I was lucky enough to win some money on that streak, although I do not parlay my winnings, I simply bet the same amount until it loses.

I think the point being made was related to all the cries of conspiracy and fixed results. If you truly believed it was rigged, you could have made a lot of money betting the KC money line in all of these playoff games for the last 3 years. People continue to cry that it is rigged and yet given the option to bet on KC, these same people will say no thank you because crying it all it is. If they really believed it they would profit from it.

[chompie99]

Originally Posted by Fenway55

It is pretty easy to come up with successful betting strategies after the fact.

All an astute person had to do was bet $200 against the Chicago White Sox last July 10 and parlay their winnings every day for 3 weeks and they'd be a millionaire.

This is true. Difference is there was no one I saw claiming that games were “rigged” against the White Sox.

Was there a similar analysis done during the Patriots run? It would have been a larger sample size anyway. People made lots of allegations during the Patriots run. It’s ironic.

[chompie99]

Originally Posted by dbpsooner

Seasoned gamblers know you always bet on a streak versus against it. Betting on a streak has unlimited upside with a downside of one loss. Betting against a streak has unlimited downside with upside of one win.

The White Sox example is a great one and I was lucky enough to win some money on that streak, although I do not parlay my winnings, I simply bet the same amount until it loses.

I think the point being made was related to all the cries of conspiracy and fixed results. If you truly believed it was rigged, you could have made a lot of money betting the KC money line in all of these playoff games for the last 3 years. People continue to cry that it is rigged and yet given the option to bet on KC, these same people will say no thank you because crying it all it is. If they really believed it they would profit from it.

Yes, thanks for stating my point better than I did.