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Old 03-30-2021, 05:12 PM   #1
Mantlefan
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Default Opinion on Hank Aaron Cards right now

I have a 1956 topps Hank Aaron white back SGC 5 with an offer of $600. My question is if i sell will I regret selling? Will the value go up ? With the money I will just buy other vintage. I just don't want to look back a year from now and it be worth double. Just wanted to hear some opinions.
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Old 03-30-2021, 05:26 PM   #2
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I've never regretted selling anything if I made a reasonable profit. because it could easily go the other way.

Bottom line is keep it if it makes you happier than 600 would, or happier than whatever card you'd buy would be.
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Old 03-30-2021, 05:30 PM   #3
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I've never regretted selling anything if I made a reasonable profit. because it could easily go the other way.

Bottom line is keep it if it makes you happier than 600 would, or happier than whatever card you'd buy would be.
Just curious if people think prices will continue to rise or are they high due to the pandemic and the fact he died
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Old 03-30-2021, 05:43 PM   #4
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Just curious if people think prices will continue to rise or are they high due to the pandemic and the fact he died
Looking into my crystal ball... I say that either the price will drop by half, stay the same, or all cards will go up 10 x's.

Right now I am not buying because I think things are overvalued, but I am not selling right now as well. The reason I am not selling is I will have to pay taxes on the profit and if I want that card again in the future I will have to pay taxes to buy it again. I have a Fleer Kirby Puckett that I was offered $1600 for. However, I love the card and even if it goes down to $1000 I would break even if I bought it again in the future. So even though I expect it to go down, I am keeping it.
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Old 03-30-2021, 05:43 PM   #5
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I think prices have leveled off and are pulling back a bit. If you are selling to buy something that you want more, I would do it.
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Old 03-30-2021, 05:52 PM   #6
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I think prices have leveled off and are pulling back a bit. If you are selling to buy something that you want more, I would do it.
Appreciate. I don’t want to sell just to buy something that has an inflated right now lol
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Old 03-30-2021, 06:58 PM   #7
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A couple of weeks ago I sold my 56 Aaron SGC 7.5 old label for 3x what I paid for it in August of 2020. The card was absolutely beautiful but I have little regret. Before I packed it up I had my wife take a photo of myself holding the card and smiling. It helps take the sting of letting a beauty go. And look at the bright side. You can always say you owned it.
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Old 03-30-2021, 07:00 PM   #8
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I think prices have leveled since mid February. In some cases there has been a very moderate pullback. Depends on the card of course.
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Old 03-30-2021, 07:28 PM   #9
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Price went up, correction, then sooner or later will go up and beyond past peak.
So question is , what are you buying after you sold yours?
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Old 03-30-2021, 07:54 PM   #10
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i sold a psa 6 55' topps aaron maybe 6 months ago...and was very happy with the sale...today the card would be worth triple!!!!! I replaced it with a lesser graded copy that makes me just as happy!!!
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Old 03-30-2021, 08:40 PM   #11
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There is no guarantee vintage cards will correct and then reach a new peak later on. Sports cards have bucked the trend of most collectibles, which have been in decline for years and are permanently past their peak. At some point we will reach peak value. Just a matter of when. Personally I don’t think we’re there yet but I don’t mind taking a profit. Unfortunately the cards that you covet most in your own collection tend to be the ones that other people covet and will pay a premium for.
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Old 03-31-2021, 12:59 AM   #12
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Originally Posted by Mantlefan View Post
Just curious if people think prices will continue to rise or are they high due to the pandemic and the fact he died
they'll level out at some point, but remain kinda high from where they were pre-pandemic.

i remember i could purchase a fairly decent 56 Mantle for $300, now they are $800 minimum, so yeah.
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Old 03-31-2021, 01:35 AM   #13
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Originally Posted by hauntedcomputer View Post
I've never regretted selling anything if I made a reasonable profit. because it could easily go the other way.

Bottom line is keep it if it makes you happier than 600 would, or happier than whatever card you'd buy would be.
Best advice I have ever heard in this hobby.
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Old 03-31-2021, 06:32 AM   #14
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Looking into my crystal ball... I say that either the price will drop by half, stay the same, or all cards will go up 10 x's.
Exactly. Forum members and collectors in general seem to always know how prices will go but at the end of the day, no one really has any freaking clue. Buy what you like and sell when you feel the time is right. How do you know when the time is right? That's up to each person. For me, I'm happy usually making a multiple on my initial purchase and at times breaking even if I need the money to be moved such as for another "investment" or for a home improvement project.
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Old 03-31-2021, 08:56 AM   #15
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Originally Posted by Mantlefan View Post
Appreciate. I don’t want to sell just to buy something that has an inflated right now lol
Prices aren't inflated. This is the new base. You said you would spend the money on other vintage. As long as you are buying top names, Mantle, Clemente, Mays, Jackie Robinson or another Aaron you will be fine.
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Old 03-31-2021, 10:56 AM   #16
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Prices aren't inflated. This is the new base. You said you would spend the money on other vintage. As long as you are buying top names, Mantle, Clemente, Mays, Jackie Robinson or another Aaron you will be fine.
Bold claim and I would never give this as advice. Even the top names in vintage will lose value if we are in a inflated market. I would agree that it is the safest buy right now, but I wouldn't be shocked if things correct by 50% a few years from now or even sooner. My advice to anyone entering this market is to not expect any profit and to expect losses.
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Old 03-31-2021, 01:34 PM   #17
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I think the normal trend will continue. Vintage have always been fairly steady. Some of these cards wont be returning to prior numbers. It all depends on the card and demand. Hank, Willie, Mick, etc have likely seen the new norm

Its the lower tier HOFers I'd be a little more safe with.
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Old 03-31-2021, 02:19 PM   #18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hauntedcomputer View Post
I've never regretted selling anything if I made a reasonable profit. because it could easily go the other way.

Bottom line is keep it if it makes you happier than 600 would, or happier than whatever card you'd buy would be.
This makes sense with prospecting. How often does vintage decrease in value?
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Old 03-31-2021, 02:24 PM   #19
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I think all the guys selling inflated modern cards are buying vintage, hence driving up the price. I would sell all the Acuna, Soto and Tatis I have to buy a 56 Aaron. There just aren't as many Ex or better vintage (pre 60) compared to mint 201x's.

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Old 03-31-2021, 02:58 PM   #20
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Just curious if people think prices will continue to rise or are they high due to the pandemic and the fact he died
I think we need to see a picture of the card!! I also think the price increase from his death has passed and people have noticed how undervalued his cards were so that is also causing the price increase.
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Old 03-31-2021, 05:39 PM   #21
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Bold claim and I would never give this as advice. Even the top names in vintage will lose value if we are in a inflated market. I would agree that it is the safest buy right now, but I wouldn't be shocked if things correct by 50% a few years from now or even sooner. My advice to anyone entering this market is to not expect any profit and to expect losses.
This has never happened with 50s vintage superstars. I have done very well investing in vintage for 35 years. It is as safe a bet as there is.
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Old 03-31-2021, 07:45 PM   #22
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Quote:
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Prices aren't inflated. This is the new base.
Maybe your new base, not mine.
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Old 03-31-2021, 08:17 PM   #23
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This has never happened with 50s vintage superstars. I have done very well investing in vintage for 35 years. It is as safe a bet as there is.
I agree it is safer than anything in the market right now, but Gary V and his cult followers have entered the vintage market in full force. We will see what happens, but cards being treated as investments doesn't sit well with me right now.
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Old 04-01-2021, 12:19 PM   #24
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I think he will continue to rise at a less steep rate and more in line with the other big name HOFers like Mays and Robinson. He had a bigger bump due to his death.
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