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Old 01-19-2021, 02:59 PM   #601
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Points record may not be baked in all the way, but it is an absolute lock barring a career ending injury. He’s 3790 points behind. He’s averaging 23.7 in only 32.2 minutes per game so far this year. A look at the ppg needed going forward.

19: 200 games
20: 190 games
21: 181 games
22: 173 games
23: 165 games
24: 158 games
25: 152 games

Conservatively, say he plays 50 games the rest of the season. That puts the record in reach sometime in the 2023-24 or 2024-25 season. So this year plus two, or this year plus three. Age 38 or 39. Does anyone really think he won’t still be playing at a pretty high level then?
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Old 01-19-2021, 03:09 PM   #602
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Originally Posted by KhalDrogo View Post
Points record may not be baked in all the way, but it is an absolute lock barring a career ending injury. He’s 3790 points behind. He’s averaging 23.7 in only 32.2 minutes per game so far this year. A look at the ppg needed going forward.

19: 200 games
20: 190 games
21: 181 games
22: 173 games
23: 165 games
24: 158 games
25: 152 games

Conservatively, say he plays 50 games the rest of the season. That puts the record in reach sometime in the 2023-24 or 2024-25 season. So this year plus two, or this year plus three. Age 38 or 39. Does anyone really think he won’t still be playing at a pretty high level then?
I agree with your philosophy here. Career ending injury is only real thing that will prevent him from achieving it. Also, the timeframe may be longer given how the Lakers sleep walk through regular season (i.e. Choking loss to GS last night).
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Old 01-19-2021, 03:16 PM   #603
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It is remarkable that he has been able to live up to what was seemingly insurmountable hype. I remember his first mention in SLAM magazine, watching every high school game that ESPN broadcasted, his decision to sign with Nike, his first NBA game, etc. Crazy how long ago that was.
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Old 01-19-2021, 03:17 PM   #604
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It is remarkable that he has been able to live up to what was seemingly insurmountable hype. I remember his first mention in SLAM magazine, watching every high school game that ESPN broadcasted, his decision to sign with Nike, his first NBA game, etc. Crazy how long ago that was.
No joke, I was a senior in high school. Now I’m 12 years from retirement lol.
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Old 01-19-2021, 03:22 PM   #605
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It is remarkable that he has been able to live up to what was seemingly insurmountable hype. I remember his first mention in SLAM magazine, watching every high school game that ESPN broadcasted, his decision to sign with Nike, his first NBA game, etc. Crazy how long ago that was.
I remember watching his first NBA game while I was still in HS and in absolute awe. I had stopped cards long before due to the 90s wax and puberty lol... but it should have occurred to me at that moment I was watching history and grab a few RCs...
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Old 01-19-2021, 04:47 PM   #606
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Is this assuming he plays every game in subsequent seasons and averages 23.7 PPG when he's 39? The reddit post I linked on the previous page of this thread does a great job of breaking down scenarios.

Quote:
Originally Posted by KhalDrogo View Post
Points record may not be baked in all the way, but it is an absolute lock barring a career ending injury. He’s 3790 points behind. He’s averaging 23.7 in only 32.2 minutes per game so far this year. A look at the ppg needed going forward.

19: 200 games
20: 190 games
21: 181 games
22: 173 games
23: 165 games
24: 158 games
25: 152 games

Conservatively, say he plays 50 games the rest of the season. That puts the record in reach sometime in the 2023-24 or 2024-25 season. So this year plus two, or this year plus three. Age 38 or 39. Does anyone really think he won’t still be playing at a pretty high level then?

Last edited by Craphit; 01-19-2021 at 04:48 PM. Reason: Text
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Old 01-19-2021, 06:02 PM   #607
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Is this assuming he plays every game in subsequent seasons and averages 23.7 PPG when he's 39? The reddit post I linked on the previous page of this thread does a great job of breaking down scenarios.
We don't know. Pure Oxygen in hyperbaric chamber does wonders. Proven in research that it delays telemorase - slows down aging. Rumor has it, Kingjames have a set up in his house and simulate higher altitude too. So yeah; he got all the money. I am sure at age 38 he will still be as good as he is now. Science has advanced so much that you got the money, you have access to all gears and gadget.

Also based on real experience as a previous diver, pure oxygen in hyperbaric chamber speeds up healing. I was blown away how fast my body recovered from injury.
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Old 01-19-2021, 06:12 PM   #608
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We don't know. Pure Oxygen in hyperbaric chamber does wonders. Proven in research that it delays telemorase - slows down aging. Rumor has it, Kingjames have a set up in his house and simulate higher altitude too. So yeah; he got all the money. I am sure at age 38 he will still be as good as he is now. Science has advanced so much that you got the money, you have access to all gears and gadget.

Also based on real experience as a previous diver, pure oxygen in hyperbaric chamber speeds up healing. I was blown away how fast my body recovered from injury.
The OP should know what assumptions they made with their "model". I'm sure they do. Just curious what assumptions were made.

In regards to good medical technology, I agree, Lebron has access and is a freak. He might be able to break the points record, and I'm rooting for it, but it's going to be hard.
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Old 01-19-2021, 06:26 PM   #609
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The OP should know what assumptions they made with their "model". I'm sure they do. Just curious what assumptions were made.

In regards to good medical technology, I agree, Lebron has access and is a freak. He might be able to break the points record, and I'm rooting for it, but it's going to be hard.
I didn’t make any assumptions. He is 3790 points behind Kareem. That is a list of the number of games needed if he averages X points per game. I mentioned the 23.7ppg this season to give you an idea on what he is averaging despite lower than usual minutes thus far.
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Old 01-19-2021, 06:50 PM   #610
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I didn’t make any assumptions. He is 3790 points behind Kareem. That is a list of the number of games needed if he averages X points per game. I mentioned the 23.7ppg this season to give you an idea on what he is averaging despite lower than usual minutes thus far.

I'm not trying to poke holes in what you said, just curious.

One assumption you made is that Lebron will continue to average 23.7 points per game.

When discussing this subject, the thread below should be required reading, interesting stuff.
https://www.reddit.com/r/nba/comment...for_1_alltime/
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Old 01-19-2021, 06:51 PM   #611
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I'm not trying to poke holes in what you said, just curious.

One assumption you made is that Lebron will continue to average 23.7 points per game.

When discussing this subject, the thread below should be required reading, interesting stuff.
https://www.reddit.com/r/nba/comment...for_1_alltime/
He gave you a wide spectrum of "what if" scenarios if Lebron scores less per game... hence, it will take more games.
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Old 01-19-2021, 06:52 PM   #612
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I'm not trying to poke holes in what you said, just curious.

One assumption you made is that Lebron will continue to average 23.7 points per game.
I did not. Please go back and read it again.
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Old 01-19-2021, 06:55 PM   #613
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I did not. Please go back and read it again.
You're right sir, my bad. Please accept my apology.
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Old 01-19-2021, 07:53 PM   #614
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I think even on a low end lebron gets 20 a game minimum until he doesn’t want to play anymore. In addition he’s more primed than anyone else to eventually assume a more Karl Malone type role, and could post up for 4-5 years after everything else fades and still get 20 a game. IMO the points record is a lock, barring some major injury.


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Old 01-19-2021, 09:47 PM   #615
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Last PSA sold for $5k - looks like they are at least a $4k card now. Keep riding the wave!
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Old 01-19-2021, 11:46 PM   #616
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It is remarkable that he has been able to live up to what was seemingly insurmountable hype. I remember his first mention in SLAM magazine, watching every high school game that ESPN broadcasted, his decision to sign with Nike, his first NBA game, etc. Crazy how long ago that was.
slam was the goat magazine growing up straight basketball porn
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Old 01-20-2021, 01:09 AM   #617
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We don't know. Pure Oxygen in hyperbaric chamber does wonders. Proven in research that it delays telemorase - slows down aging. Rumor has it, Kingjames have a set up in his house and simulate higher altitude too. So yeah; he got all the money. I am sure at age 38 he will still be as good as he is now. Science has advanced so much that you got the money, you have access to all gears and gadget.

Also based on real experience as a previous diver, pure oxygen in hyperbaric chamber speeds up healing. I was blown away how fast my body recovered from injury.

But too much oxygen has an increased mortality in certain hospitalized patients? How do you reconcile real medical data with perceived contemporary science results?


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Old 01-20-2021, 09:12 AM   #618
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But too much oxygen has an increased mortality in certain hospitalized patients? How do you reconcile real medical data with perceived contemporary science results?


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But as with anything, the dose makes the poison no? I haven't looked at the lit on the subject but vaguely recall that there are some studies that suggest this therapy can help speed healing with certain type of wounds. https://www.mayoclinic.org/tests-pro...t/pac-20394380
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Old 01-20-2021, 10:18 AM   #619
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But as with anything, the dose makes the poison no? I haven't looked at the lit on the subject but vaguely recall that there are some studies that suggest this therapy can help speed healing with certain type of wounds. https://www.mayoclinic.org/tests-pro...t/pac-20394380
I'm sure lakers org is doing everything they can to keep lbj healthy
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Old 01-20-2021, 10:25 AM   #620
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I'm sure lakers org is doing everything they can to keep lbj healthy
For sure, plus Bron spends mil+ a year on his body/health. The most important thing is he is still very motivated to keep playing, working hard to maintain his health as best as possible. I think he is incredibly motivated to buff his legacy, which isn't a bad thing, just a big motivator. He is one of those super-talented people who won't leave anything on the table, squeezing the most out of their talents. I respect that.
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Old 01-20-2021, 10:29 AM   #621
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No one mentioned 2 PSA 9 sales of $10k last night?
(actually one at $10,550 and one at 10)
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Old 01-20-2021, 10:55 AM   #622
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No one mentioned 2 PSA 9 sales of $10k last night?
(actually one at $10,550 and one at 10)
Just saw this. And looks like PSA 8 is going around 3-5k. Yikes. I can't help but think that the 8 and 9 may be overpriced. Or not!
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Old 01-20-2021, 11:15 AM   #623
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No one mentioned 2 PSA 9 sales of $10k last night?
(actually one at $10,550 and one at 10)
PSA 10's approaching 30K barrier.
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Old 01-20-2021, 12:37 PM   #624
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I tried to buy a PSA 10 111 in the summer for $13k... No one would sell for that price.

They then fell to $10k (post championship) and I started wondering why the pump group that got them up near $16k had gotten tired of the card. The volatility even post championship scared me away from buying a copy.

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Old 01-20-2021, 12:49 PM   #625
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I find it amazing the discrepancy from a BGS 9 to a PSA 9. Last sales are almost $2k different. I did see the one last night go for $10,550 PSA 9.
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