2020 Politics Thread - Enter At Your Own Risk - RULES IN OP - Page 2213

Onions · 11-02-2020, 10:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JustRachel

It's about time.

Tomorrow will be the real mess though.

Good luck. Don't take it too seriously though. Everyone has setbacks from time to time.

Sent from my Pixel 3a XL using Tapatalk

Back-atcha

NeedChapmans · 11-02-2020, 10:34 PM

Get some sleep people. Polls open at 7am and I plan to be in here pummeling you all with math, projections and predictions for 15 straight hours.

YAY!

rman112 · 11-02-2020, 10:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NeedChapmans

Get some sleep people. Polls open at 7am and I plan to be in here pummeling you all with math, projections and predictions for 15 straight hours.

YAY!

I haven't followed all this closely enough. Is there any reason to believe that the winner won't be known tomorrow night?

NeedChapmans · 11-02-2020, 10:38 PM

Dude, this is just embarrassing.

https://twitter.com/SteveGuest/statu...43005567782913

Onions · 11-02-2020, 10:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rman112

I haven't followed all this closely enough. Is there any reason to believe that the winner won't be known tomorrow night?

It depends on MN, WI, MI, and NV. PA has committed to counting votes until Biden is the winner. If it really comes down to PA, buckle up.

NeedChapmans · 11-02-2020, 10:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rman112

I haven't followed all this closely enough. Is there any reason to believe that the winner won't be known tomorrow night?

It is possible. We'll know the results of the south on election night but if close, the results of the north will take days.

And when I say results of the north, I mean if Trump comes out of PA on election night with a +15 margin to +20 margin; it's gonna be a horserace for a week. (MI, WI and MN are also unlikely to call a winner election night)

Jopeal · 11-02-2020, 10:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NeedChapmans

Dude, this is just embarrassing.

https://twitter.com/SteveGuest/statu...43005567782913

Nobody is claiming the 2020 Dem campaign is cool. They're running a campaign even Mitt Romney would consider too safe.

Will it work? Probably.

Ty Hope · 11-02-2020, 10:46 PM

This “great reset” stuff is horrifying.

rman112 · 11-02-2020, 10:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jopeal

Nobody is claiming the 2020 Dem campaign is cool. They're running a campaign even Mitt Romney would consider too safe.

Will it work? Probably.

Are people THAT scared of covid to go out and support Biden? It's the only thing that makes sense.

Either that, or the polls are way off again. You look at the Trump rallies, and they're packed.

Jopeal · 11-02-2020, 10:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rman112

Are people THAT scared of covid to go out and support Biden? It's the only thing that makes sense.

Either that, or the polls are way off again. You look at the Trump rallies, and they're packed.

~100 million ballots have already been cast, likely including everyone with significant anxiety over covid.
People will turnout in droves tomorrow for both sides.

DegaBama · 11-02-2020, 10:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NeedChapmans

Get some sleep people. Polls open at 7am and I plan to be in here pummeling you all with math, projections and predictions for 15 straight hours.

YAY!

Can't wait!

rman112 · 11-02-2020, 10:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jopeal

~100 million ballots have already been cast.
People will turnout in droves tomorrow for both sides.

Either there's a massive Silent Majority for Biden, or Trump's going to run away with this thing.

Pete Schweddy · 11-02-2020, 10:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rman112

I haven't followed all this closely enough. Is there any reason to believe that the winner won't be known tomorrow night?

Could depend on if any lawsuits are filed again. I'd bet either camp has them ready to go should a state come down to a thin margin. Or maybe some recounts too.

Jopeal · 11-02-2020, 10:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rman112

Either there's a massive Silent Majority for Biden, or Trump's going to run away with this thing.

How do you figure? I'd say the opposite. Either Trump picked up a bunch of new votes in the past 4 years or it'll be a blowout for sleepy J.

NeedChapmans · 11-02-2020, 10:59 PM

Mad respect for this guy!

https://twitter.com/iamCiaraKing/sta...11194052857856

rman112 · 11-02-2020, 10:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jopeal

How do you figure? I'd say the opposite. Either Trump picked up a bunch of new votes in the past 4 years or it'll be a blowout for sleepy J.

The chances for a Biden blowout are slim to none.

I figure because he has such little visible enthusiastic support, and he's going up against the incumbent who won the electoral in 2016 by a healthy margin. Trump's not the one that needs 'a bunch of new votes.'

Onions · 11-02-2020, 11:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jopeal

How do you figure? I'd say the opposite. Either Trump picked up a bunch of new votes in the past 4 years or it'll be a blowout for sleepy J.

I think it is clear that Trump has picked up a bunch of new votes. It depends entirely on how many he has lost.

NeedChapmans · 11-02-2020, 11:06 PM

Sumter County FL tomorrow. Exact replica of the county.

coltsnsox07 · 11-02-2020, 11:06 PM

I live in Wisconsin and in 2016 Trump barely beat Hillary by 22,728 votes. With all the BLM protests and whatnot here and the newly registered angry voters I guarandamntee Biden wins here without a recount needed.

Onions · 11-02-2020, 11:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rman112

The chances for a Biden blowout are slim to none.

I figure because he has such little visible enthusiastic support, and he's going up against the incumbent who won the electoral in 2016 by a healthy margin. Trump's not the one that needs 'a bunch of new votes.'

Yes. Looks like the Biden blowout idea is off the table. Trump has all the momentum and the Dem vote has come in shallow vs. expectations. Republicans need to turn out tomorrow as expected and Trump should prevail.

Jopeal · 11-02-2020, 11:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rman112

The chances for a Biden blowout are slim to none.

I figure because he has such little visible enthusiastic support, and he's going up against the incumbent who won the electoral in 2016 by a healthy margin. Trump's not the one that needs 'a bunch of new votes.'

https://www.politico.com/2016-electi...map/president/

Check these margins from 2016 (The election was closer than some may remember) then consider that voter turnout could be 8-10% higher than 4 years ago and that we're in the midst of a botched pandemic response & economic recession.

I consider a Biden blowout more likely than a Trump victory, but anything is possible including the worst case scenario of a long-drawn out contested election.

rman112 · 11-02-2020, 11:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jopeal

https://www.politico.com/2016-electi...map/president/

Check these margins from 2016 (The election was closer than some may remember) then consider that voter turnout could be 8-10% higher than 4 years ago and that we're in the midst of a botched pandemic response & economic recession.

I consider a Biden blowout more likely than a Trump victory, but anything is possible including the worst case scenario of a long-drawn out contested election.

Biden blowout > Trump win of any margin is insane.

If Biden wins handily, you can quote me and I'll admit that I was wrong.

cnewby · 11-02-2020, 11:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by coltsnsox07

I live in Wisconsin and in 2016 Trump barely beat Hillary by 22,728 votes. With all the BLM protests and whatnot here and the newly registered angry voters I guarandamntee Biden wins here without a recount needed.

Your 2016 record says all we need to know. Thanks though.

Jopeal · 11-02-2020, 11:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Onions

I think it is clear that Trump has picked up a bunch of new votes. It depends entirely on how many he has lost.

We'll see soon enough, but I have doubts about how many votes he picked up.

Either way, the results will speak for themselves and I'll move on with my life according to the given political trajectory of the country.

Quote:

Originally Posted by rman112

Biden blowout > Trump win of any margin is insane.

If Biden wins handily, you can quote me and I'll admit that I was wrong.

I'm calling it like I see it. I have less personal stake in this election than most (despite what some here may believe), but I'm concerned about many people's reactions if Trump wins again.

Onions · 11-02-2020, 11:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jopeal

I'm calling it like I see it. I have less personal stake in this election than most (despite what some here may believe), but I'm concerned about many people's reactions if Trump wins again.

Me too. The radical left will go absolutely insane if Trump prevails. It is why the inner city businesses have spent the last 3 days boarding up their stores.

View Poll Results: Who wins these elections? (you can pick multiple)
Donald Trump	44	53.66%
Joe Biden	38	46.34%
Trump Wins Florida	44	53.66%
Biden Wins Florida	16	19.51%
Trump Wins Georgia	44	53.66%
Biden Wins Georgia	12	14.63%
Trump Wins Ohio	43	52.44%
Biden Wins Ohio	16	19.51%
Trump Wins Pennsylvania	27	32.93%
Biden Wins Pennsylvania	34	41.46%
Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 82. You may not vote on this poll

11-02-2020, 10:34 PM	#55302
NeedChapmans Member Join Date: Aug 2012 Location: Connecticut Posts: 31,800 ProspectCincy NeedChapmans	Get some sleep people. Polls open at 7am and I plan to be in here pummeling you all with math, projections and predictions for 15 straight hours. YAY! __________________ It is my legal right to freely profit from the notoriety of people who are actively suffering and possibly even dying and for a few hundred dollars I will gladly seek to maximize those profits.

11-02-2020, 10:38 PM	#55304
NeedChapmans Member Join Date: Aug 2012 Location: Connecticut Posts: 31,800 ProspectCincy NeedChapmans	Dude, this is just embarrassing. https://twitter.com/SteveGuest/statu...43005567782913 __________________ It is my legal right to freely profit from the notoriety of people who are actively suffering and possibly even dying and for a few hundred dollars I will gladly seek to maximize those profits.

11-02-2020, 10:59 PM	#55315
NeedChapmans Member Join Date: Aug 2012 Location: Connecticut Posts: 31,800 ProspectCincy NeedChapmans	Mad respect for this guy! https://twitter.com/iamCiaraKing/sta...11194052857856 __________________ It is my legal right to freely profit from the notoriety of people who are actively suffering and possibly even dying and for a few hundred dollars I will gladly seek to maximize those profits.

11-02-2020, 11:06 PM	#55318
NeedChapmans Member Join Date: Aug 2012 Location: Connecticut Posts: 31,800 ProspectCincy NeedChapmans	Sumter County FL tomorrow. Exact replica of the county. __________________ It is my legal right to freely profit from the notoriety of people who are actively suffering and possibly even dying and for a few hundred dollars I will gladly seek to maximize those profits.

11-02-2020, 10:46 PM	#55308
Ty Hope Member Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 6,869	This “great reset” stuff is horrifying.

11-02-2020, 11:06 PM	#55319
coltsnsox07 Member Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 22,227	I live in Wisconsin and in 2016 Trump barely beat Hillary by 22,728 votes. With all the BLM protests and whatnot here and the newly registered angry voters I guarandamntee Biden wins here without a recount needed.