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Old 09-04-2020, 07:03 PM   #401
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Considering there's four of them currently, I would say no.
Modern base. A 2008 Kershaw or Scherzer is a horrendous comparison because not as many are around as 2018 Update. DeGrom in 2014, same story. I assume Verlander is the 4th?

Regardless anything is possible in this market. Any prediction is of "no way it can get that high" is probably bunk

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Old 09-06-2020, 01:41 PM   #402
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Even when he's not on his game, he manages to get out of trouble. Nice outing.
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Old 09-06-2020, 01:45 PM   #403
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Even when he's not on his game, he manages to get out of trouble. Nice outing.
He's putting together a reeaalllly good case to be MVP
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Old 09-06-2020, 04:09 PM   #404
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He's putting together a reeaalllly good case to be MVP
I mean in a 60 game season if Shane with 20% of the games, he damn well should be lol.

Lots of pitchers have had stellar seasons before the all star break and it was corrected the second half. Bieber can ride this all season
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Old 09-06-2020, 04:29 PM   #405
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I mean in a 60 game season if Shane with 20% of the games, he damn well should be lol.

Lots of pitchers have had stellar seasons before the all star break and it was corrected the second half. Bieber can ride this all season
Agreed. He's got 7 out of 25 wins for a first place team. And a 1.25 ERA. Even with only going 5 today, he's right up there with the innings leaders.
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Old 09-06-2020, 07:45 PM   #406
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Any opinions on his chance at an MVP? Would a sub 1 era make it a virtual guarantee? That would be pretty tough given 2 of his next 3 opponents are lined up to be the Twins and White Sox but there is a chance with how good he has been. I don’t think he is running away with it but I do think he has a slight lead over the others in contention. I know they don’t like giving the award to pitchers but I think the lack of any hitters really standing out over the others will help his case.
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Old 09-06-2020, 08:12 PM   #407
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Any opinions on his chance at an MVP? Would a sub 1 era make it a virtual guarantee? That would be pretty tough given 2 of his next 3 opponents are lined up to be the Twins and White Sox but there is a chance with how good he has been. I don’t think he is running away with it but I do think he has a slight lead over the others in contention. I know they don’t like giving the award to pitchers but I think the lack of any hitters really standing out over the others will help his case.
It’s possible. The best player in the AL has probably been Trout. He has the whole “having a kid for the first time” storyline going for him, but he also has a bunch of MVPs already, so that works in Bieber’s favor. It’s an uphill battle either way since the writers feel like pitchers have the Cy Young and that that’s enough. I’ll be rooting for him.

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Old 09-06-2020, 08:19 PM   #408
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It’s possible. The best player in the AL has probably been Trout. He has the whole “having a kid for the first time” storyline going for him, but he also has a bunch of MVPs already, so that works in Bieber’s favor. It’s an uphill battle either way since the writer’s feel like pitchers have the Cy Young and that that’s enough. I’ll be rooting for him.
The 'story line' part of awards is so dumb to me. Similar to HOF voters not picking a guy because he's an a-hole or didn't like the media.
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Old 09-06-2020, 08:28 PM   #409
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The 'story line' part of awards is so dumb to me. Similar to HOF voters not picking a guy because he's an a-hole or didn't like the media.
I hear ya, but writers do love their narrative.
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Old 09-06-2020, 08:50 PM   #410
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The most important thing working in Bieber’s favor is that Trout and Rendon both play on a non-playoff team, as silly as that is
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Old 09-06-2020, 08:52 PM   #411
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The most important thing working in Bieber’s favor is that Trout and Rendon both play on a non-playoff team, as silly as that is
Does that even matter? Look at last year.
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Old 09-06-2020, 08:55 PM   #412
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I know Bieber has another 4 starts probably but if he goes undefeated then how do you not give him the MVP.

Short season too which makes me think this would the year writers may pick a pitcher because what makes a hitter impressive in 162 is that they are putting up those numbers over 140-150 games. Shortened season I think helps a Bieber case for MVP

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Old 09-06-2020, 10:51 PM   #413
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Does that even matter? Look at last year.


It matters when it’s close. If Trout is ahead by a full WAR by the end of the season it wouldn’t make a difference

On another note a base BC auto just did 165 lol
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Old 09-06-2020, 10:56 PM   #414
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It matters when it’s close. If Trout is ahead by a full WAR by the end of the season it wouldn’t make a difference

On another note a base BC auto just did 165 lol
I truly have no idea what in the hell is going to matter to this year's MVP voters.
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Old 09-06-2020, 11:11 PM   #415
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I truly have no idea what in the hell is going to matter to this year's MVP voters.


I think it’s the same traditional things but they’ll give deference to someone who is more established as the better player. If Trout has 3 WAR and Tim Anderson has 3.2 WAR, I think Trout gets almost all the votes in a season where a worse player can luck his way into higher WAR. Bieber was so good last year that he has the benefit of the doubt as an already elite talent
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Old 09-06-2020, 11:40 PM   #416
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I think it’s the same traditional things but they’ll give deference to someone who is more established as the better player. If Trout has 3 WAR and Tim Anderson has 3.2 WAR, I think Trout gets almost all the votes in a season where a worse player can luck his way into higher WAR. Bieber was so good last year that he has the benefit of the doubt as an already elite talent
We talking fWAR as the standard?
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Old 09-06-2020, 11:48 PM   #417
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We talking fWAR as the standard?


I only use Fangraphs so yes but I know bWAR is a thing for voters though
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Old 09-07-2020, 02:35 AM   #418
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I only use Fangraphs so yes but I know bWAR is a thing for voters though
I say that because Trout's bWAR was 4th best in the AL, nearly a full point behind Bregman, yet he won.
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Old 09-07-2020, 09:20 AM   #419
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I say that because Trout's bWAR was 4th best in the AL, nearly a full point behind Bregman, yet he won.
Because WAR is stupid and just a stat. It’s not the end all be all stat.
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Old 09-07-2020, 10:06 AM   #420
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The most important thing working in Bieber’s favor is that Trout and Rendon both play on a non-playoff team, as silly as that is
A pitcher is not getting MVP in rona season. The voters are sticklers about innings pitched as it is.
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Old 09-11-2020, 02:37 AM   #421
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Currently holding the pitching Triple Crown, uncontested in all three categories.
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Old 09-14-2020, 02:27 PM   #422
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Just over 3% of the Update Refractor print run plus an XFractor

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Old 09-15-2020, 02:43 PM   #423
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One sportsbook has him at 96% to win the Cy and 33% to win the MVP at betting odds. For the true odds you probably reduce that down to 90% and 25%. They have Cruz as the AL favorite which is nuts.
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Old 09-15-2020, 08:34 PM   #424
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Still haven't seen a TCU Orange listed (auto or non auto).

Wonder what those would fetch.
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Old 09-15-2020, 09:45 PM   #425
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They didn't make any orange non-autos. So there are only the 25 autos. I'm sitting on one, so we're waiting for one of the other 24 to move.
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