Thoroughbred racing betting thread - Page 33

VinnyH · 07-18-2020, 11:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dimer10

Mo M is currently 4-5

Earlier it was Mo at 1/9 then fluctuates up to and around 4/5.
Yeah, not really a race to bet a lot on. 3-4 potential winners on paper and from watching replays.
Vinny

hxcmilkshake · 07-18-2020, 11:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tblades_17

Ho u all betting the Haskell?

20WPS Authentic who only loses if he falls down

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AlexHunter · 07-18-2020, 12:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hxcmilkshake

20WPS Authentic who only loses if he falls down

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Make sure to put $5 on Ancient Warrior to win

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VinnyH · 07-18-2020, 12:17 PM

Holland must have been adopted, no family love. LOL

chezball · 07-18-2020, 12:31 PM

I did think #3 needed a couple more workouts. #2 was just a better horse and there could be a speed bais today but won't know that untill the end of the day.

VinnyH · 07-18-2020, 12:48 PM

Saratoga Race 2
$6 EX 4-3
$4 EX 3-4 $152.00

Close but no cigars in races 3 & 4

chezball · 07-18-2020, 03:14 PM

Quote from Johnny V "when he goes longer, he'll be much better"

chezball · 07-18-2020, 05:39 PM

Only thing I bet today.

Date Time Track Race Stake Pool Selections Debit Credit
07/18 6:18 PM Monmouth 13 $10.00 EX (BOX) 6, 11 $20.00 $436.00
07/18 6:18 PM Monmouth 13 $20.00 WN 6 $20.00 $74.00
07/18 6:18 PM Monmouth 13 $20.00 WN 6 $20.00 $74.00
07/18 1:10 PM Saratoga Thoroughbred 1 $20.00 EX (PWHL) 5, 6 / 3 $40.00 $0.00
Was waiting for the #6 since Mar. Was worried about Hector Diaz but he came through.
Caught Diaz before on bombers but going to the lead.
Tomorrow $100 to win on #2 in the first race. Sar. He's the one I had $100 to win on when he paid $33 and change.

VinnyH · 07-18-2020, 05:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chezball

Only thing I bet today.

Date Time Track Race Stake Pool Selections Debit Credit
07/18 6:18 PM Monmouth 13 $10.00 EX (BOX) 6, 11 $20.00 $436.00
07/18 6:18 PM Monmouth 13 $20.00 WN 6 $20.00 $74.00
07/18 6:18 PM Monmouth 13 $20.00 WN 6 $20.00 $74.00
07/18 1:10 PM Saratoga Thoroughbred 1 $20.00 EX (PWHL) 5, 6 / 3 $40.00 $0.00
Was waiting for the #6 since Mar. Was worried about Hector Diaz but he came through.
Caught Diaz before on bombers but going to the lead.
Tomorrow $100 to win on #2 in the first race. Sar. He's the one I had $100 to win on when he paid $33 and change.

Nice day at the race...
Congrats!
VinnyH

PS: I started with $25, got up to $172, ended up with $67, no regrets, had fun

Tblades_17 · 07-18-2020, 10:08 PM

I had the tri and super in the Haskell. That was a no brainer.

chezball · 07-19-2020, 11:44 AM

Not betting the #2 at those odds. He's 8/5 now, if he breaks like he did his last race and this is 1/2 furlough less. Not worth the risk, he might drift up to 5/2 still won't bet him.

VinnyH · 07-19-2020, 11:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chezball

Not betting the #2 at those odds. He's 8/5 now, if he breaks like he did his last race and this is 1/2 furlough less. Not worth the risk, he might drift up to 5/2 still won't bet him.

I always shy away from a big favorite at short odds. My LS is Banana Thief #7.

I see mostly inside speed with the 1 entry and the 7 in good shape to beat the 2.

Oh well

We shall see,
Vinny

Dodger25 · 07-20-2020, 01:17 PM

I'll try to make this brief as I think it might be a fun exercise and would like to hear some opinions. I play the horses on a couple of apps. On Belmont Day, one of those had a promo where they would input $500 in 4 accounts before every race that day at Belmont. They will put the money in with 10 minutes before post and you must bet it all on that race or you lose it. Anything you win is yours to keep.

I was one of those lucky 4 accounts. Not that I'm complaining, but it was probably the worst possible race: only 5 runners with a huge favorite (went off at 2/5). I didn't have much time to think so I put $100 W/P/S/ on the second choice (went off at 1/1) and covered all possible exactas and trifectas with the remaining $200. I was hoping for a major upset. No such luck as the top two choices ended up 1-2. I turned the initial $500 into about $270. In case you're wondering, I pissed that away throughout the day/night. Still, a lot of fun.

So, what would have been the wisest strategy with the $500 given the limited options in the race?

Second, what would a wise strategy be in a more open race with 8-10 runners?

VinnyH · 07-20-2020, 01:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dodger25

I'll try to make this brief as I think it might be a fun exercise and would like to hear some opinions. I play the horses on a couple of apps. On Belmont Day, one of those had a promo where they would input $500 in 4 accounts before every race that day at Belmont. They will put the money in with 10 minutes before post and you must bet it all on that race or you lose it. Anything you win is yours to keep.

I was one of those lucky 4 accounts. Not that I'm complaining, but it was probably the worst possible race: only 5 runners with a huge favorite (went off at 2/5). I didn't have much time to think so I put $100 W/P/S/ on the second choice (went off at 1/1) and covered all possible exactas and trifectas with the remaining $200. I was hoping for a major upset. No such luck as the top two choices ended up 1-2. I turned the initial $500 into about $270. In case you're wondering, I pissed that away throughout the day/night. Still, a lot of fun.

So, what would have been the wisest strategy with the $500 given the limited options in the race?

Second, what would a wise strategy be in a more open race with 8-10 runners?

If I understood this setup...
In a small field and having to bet, I would have put most of it WPS on the favorite and maybe $100 backing that up with other picks.
My thought is to try and maintain some of that free money for future races I could do my own thinking and planning for. Even if I worked out $100 after that forced race it would still be free money to use.
If it was a bigger field I would hope to have some picks from quick analysis but if not, I’d again spread it out and hope to have free money later to really play with in my races of choice.
Still great to be one of the 4 picked,
Vinny

hxcmilkshake · 07-20-2020, 01:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dodger25

I'll try to make this brief as I think it might be a fun exercise and would like to hear some opinions. I play the horses on a couple of apps. On Belmont Day, one of those had a promo where they would input $500 in 4 accounts before every race that day at Belmont. They will put the money in with 10 minutes before post and you must bet it all on that race or you lose it. Anything you win is yours to keep.

I was one of those lucky 4 accounts. Not that I'm complaining, but it was probably the worst possible race: only 5 runners with a huge favorite (went off at 2/5). I didn't have much time to think so I put $100 W/P/S/ on the second choice (went off at 1/1) and covered all possible exactas and trifectas with the remaining $200. I was hoping for a major upset. No such luck as the top two choices ended up 1-2. I turned the initial $500 into about $270. In case you're wondering, I pissed that away throughout the day/night. Still, a lot of fun.

So, what would have been the wisest strategy with the $500 given the limited options in the race?

Second, what would a wise strategy be in a more open race with 8-10 runners?

Hmmm. Maybe $500 WIN on the 2/5 if I believed

If 8 runners, assuming evenly matched fields..I would chase the Superfecta. Maybe get a longshot in there somewhere.

$1 1/234567 (kick out 1)

4 tickets--- pick 4 you have the best chance to win on top

That's $480 total take the other $20 and bet it to win on one of em.

Easy! Lol

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chezball · 07-20-2020, 02:06 PM

Anyone have shares of Authentic?

jhuch · 07-20-2020, 06:48 PM

My buddy hit the 10th race super at Northfield Park Saturday night. One winning ticket. We prefer the standard breds but that thread would go off stride here.

Ilovecards · 07-20-2020, 07:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chezball

Anyone have shares of Authentic?

I have 1 share. We get a whopping $3.95 per share from the Haskell win lol.

chezball · 07-20-2020, 07:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ilovecards

I have 1 share. We get a whopping $3.95 per share from the Haskell win lol.

That sucks, that's a little more than what I got for the Mo M 2nd finish.

hxcmilkshake · 07-20-2020, 08:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jhuch

My buddy hit the 10th race super at Northfield Park Saturday night. One winning ticket. We prefer the standard breds but that thread would go off stride here.

Nice. One of my best memories with my Dad was hitting a one ticket Super at Plainfield Greyhound Park.

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AlexHunter · 07-20-2020, 11:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jhuch

My buddy hit the 10th race super at Northfield Park Saturday night. One winning ticket. We prefer the standard breds but that thread would go off stride here.

Man- I wouldn’t even care if I have hit a dozen BIGGER payout tickets in the past....I would take a super tiny payout to finally get a single ticket winner!

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Tblades_17 · 07-21-2020, 08:29 AM

I hear that Annahilate broke down yesterday. Have you heard that?

Dodger25 · 07-21-2020, 11:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VinnyH

If I understood this setup...
In a small field and having to bet, I would have put most of it WPS on the favorite and maybe $100 backing that up with other picks.
My thought is to try and maintain some of that free money for future races I could do my own thinking and planning for. Even if I worked out $100 after that forced race it would still be free money to use.
If it was a bigger field I would hope to have some picks from quick analysis but if not, I’d again spread it out and hope to have free money later to really play with in my races of choice.
Still great to be one of the 4 picked,
Vinny

I certainly did not have the stones to put it all on one horse to win, even the favorite. As you said, it's all about having free money to play with on later races. I think you're right that I should have bet the favorite w/p/s and spread out the rest. It's not like there was a lot of money to be made on the race. Here's to hoping lightning strikes again and I get another opportunity.

preakness · 07-21-2020, 12:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hxcmilkshake

Hmmm. Maybe $500 WIN on the 2/5 if I believed

If 8 runners, assuming evenly matched fields..I would chase the Superfecta. Maybe get a longshot in there somewhere.

$1 1/234567 (kick out 1)

4 tickets--- pick 4 you have the best chance to win on top

That's $480 total take the other $20 and bet it to win on one of em.

Easy! Lol

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Betting superfecta with the $500 terrible suggestion

preakness · 07-21-2020, 12:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chezball

Anyone have shares of Authentic?

I have one share only.
Really didn't want to get it

07-18-2020, 12:48 PM	#806
VinnyH Member Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Westchester, NY Posts: 10,213 vjweb VinnyH	Saratoga Race 2 $6 EX 4-3 $4 EX 3-4 $152.00 Close but no cigars in races 3 & 4 Last edited by VinnyH; 07-18-2020 at 01:57 PM.

07-18-2020, 10:08 PM	#810
Tblades_17 Member Join Date: Nov 2010 Location: Lexington, KY Posts: 2,000 t-blades	I had the tri and super in the Haskell. That was a no brainer. __________________ http://s1218.photobucket.com/albums/dd402/tblades_17/

07-21-2020, 08:29 AM	#822
Tblades_17 Member Join Date: Nov 2010 Location: Lexington, KY Posts: 2,000 t-blades	I hear that Annahilate broke down yesterday. Have you heard that? __________________ http://s1218.photobucket.com/albums/dd402/tblades_17/

07-18-2020, 12:17 PM	#804
VinnyH Member Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Westchester, NY Posts: 10,213 vjweb VinnyH	Holland must have been adopted, no family love. LOL

07-18-2020, 12:31 PM	#805
chezball Member Join Date: Dec 2010 Location: North East Beatoff USA Posts: 21,680 jabber	I did think #3 needed a couple more workouts. #2 was just a better horse and there could be a speed bais today but won't know that untill the end of the day.

07-18-2020, 03:14 PM	#807
chezball Member Join Date: Dec 2010 Location: North East Beatoff USA Posts: 21,680 jabber	Quote from Johnny V "when he goes longer, he'll be much better"

07-18-2020, 05:39 PM	#808
chezball Member Join Date: Dec 2010 Location: North East Beatoff USA Posts: 21,680 jabber	Only thing I bet today. Date Time Track Race Stake Pool Selections Debit Credit 07/18 6:18 PM Monmouth 13 $10.00 EX (BOX) 6, 11 $20.00 $436.00 07/18 6:18 PM Monmouth 13 $20.00 WN 6 $20.00 $74.00 07/18 6:18 PM Monmouth 13 $20.00 WN 6 $20.00 $74.00 07/18 1:10 PM Saratoga Thoroughbred 1 $20.00 EX (PWHL) 5, 6 / 3 $40.00 $0.00 Was waiting for the #6 since Mar. Was worried about Hector Diaz but he came through. Caught Diaz before on bombers but going to the lead. Tomorrow $100 to win on #2 in the first race. Sar. He's the one I had $100 to win on when he paid $33 and change.

07-19-2020, 11:44 AM	#811
chezball Member Join Date: Dec 2010 Location: North East Beatoff USA Posts: 21,680 jabber	Not betting the #2 at those odds. He's 8/5 now, if he breaks like he did his last race and this is 1/2 furlough less. Not worth the risk, he might drift up to 5/2 still won't bet him.

07-20-2020, 01:17 PM	#813
Dodger25 Member Join Date: Jan 2016 Location: Indianapolis, IN Posts: 101 Pittsy25 BigPitts25	I'll try to make this brief as I think it might be a fun exercise and would like to hear some opinions. I play the horses on a couple of apps. On Belmont Day, one of those had a promo where they would input $500 in 4 accounts before every race that day at Belmont. They will put the money in with 10 minutes before post and you must bet it all on that race or you lose it. Anything you win is yours to keep. I was one of those lucky 4 accounts. Not that I'm complaining, but it was probably the worst possible race: only 5 runners with a huge favorite (went off at 2/5). I didn't have much time to think so I put $100 W/P/S/ on the second choice (went off at 1/1) and covered all possible exactas and trifectas with the remaining $200. I was hoping for a major upset. No such luck as the top two choices ended up 1-2. I turned the initial $500 into about $270. In case you're wondering, I pissed that away throughout the day/night. Still, a lot of fun. So, what would have been the wisest strategy with the $500 given the limited options in the race? Second, what would a wise strategy be in a more open race with 8-10 runners?

07-20-2020, 02:06 PM	#816
chezball Member Join Date: Dec 2010 Location: North East Beatoff USA Posts: 21,680 jabber	Anyone have shares of Authentic?

07-20-2020, 06:48 PM	#817
jhuch Member Join Date: Mar 2014 Location: Bettendorf IA Posts: 199 jhuch	My buddy hit the 10th race super at Northfield Park Saturday night. One winning ticket. We prefer the standard breds but that thread would go off stride here.