Topps Project 2020 is the worst product since 1991 Fleer

[SaveMeTheGum]

Originally Posted by cubsfan2154

Its the diamonds, so unnecessary

I disagree. Diamonds are always necessary.

[Snakeonia]

Originally Posted by UGLI baby

Also...

Siff Ryan>>>Siff Ripken

Yeah this is blasphemy


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[ThoseBackPages]

[AlexHunter]

Originally Posted by BC Hunt

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[Bleu Falcon]

Originally Posted by 1977 Cloth

Confirming what I stated earlier. The counter
The man is running good statistical analysis.

I'd like to see someone put together a forecast model of print runs as a function of time, player, card#, artist.

[Bob Loblaw]

Originally Posted by JRX

What's interesting is the more you buy, the worse you make your odds. So there's an incentive not to jack up the print run.

So if you buy 1 card, and there are 91 made... you have a better than 1% chance of getting a Trout auto.

If you buy 10 cards and there are now 100 made, you have a 10% chance of getting a Trout auto.

The more you buy, the better your odds.

[AlexHunter]

Originally Posted by CardFarmer

Yeah, the card was missing the obscene over-the-top self aggrandizement reminiscent of Baller's other cards. I went ahead and fixed it.

You’re annoying but that’s amazing




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[AlexHunter]

Originally Posted by Bob Loblaw

So if you buy 1 card, and there are 91 made... you have a better than 1% chance of getting a Trout auto.

If you buy 10 cards and there are now 100 made, you have a 10% chance of getting a Trout auto.

The more you buy, the better your odds.

Yeh I tried explaining to him already. Math’s hard.


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[castingcouchfan]

Sorry if this has already been mentioned, but did they extend the sales for McGwire / Robinson for another day? It seems like it's still up for sale.

[ThoseBackPages]

Originally Posted by castingcouchfan

Sorry if this has already been mentioned, but did they extend the sales for McGwire / Robinson for another day? It seems like it's still up for sale.

yes they did

[cp312]

Originally Posted by SaveMeTheGum

I disagree. Diamonds are always necessary.

The difference is that has chrome effects, the Blake will not

Card would be better if Baller hadn't touched it

Also now the Blake run is gonna look weird displayed together, none of his cards have borders except this one, I guess McGwire does sorta

[Bleu Falcon]

Originally Posted by Silas Barnaby

This is not an accurate statement.

The more you buy, the better your odds.

The more everyone else buys, the worse your odds.

[ThoseBackPages]

if you dont care for something...

DO NOT BUY IT!!!!

[BC Hunt]

Originally Posted by RyanSwinger

Trout Thiele is the place to be right now. Will be a $300 card

^this


and the Taylor Henderson should make a jump


I could see those 2 cards approaching $300 and $700 respectively at some point.

[KB81]

Originally Posted by ThoseBackPages

if you dont care for something...

DO NOT BUY IT!!!!

The nerve of TBP speaking truths......

[RyanSwinger]

Originally Posted by AlexHunter

Yeh I tried explaining to him already. Math’s hard.


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I could be wrong but this is only accounting for if you are the only buyer.

This doesnt account for thousands of other buyers buying at the same time, simultaneously reducing your odds.

[1977 Cloth]

Originally Posted by Bleu Falcon

I'd like to see someone put together a forecast model of print runs as a function of time, player, card#, artist.

tough to forecast crazy on any statistical model.

[UGLI baby]

Originally Posted by ThoseBackPages

if you dont care for something...

DO NOT BUY IT!!!!

Blake disagrees, my friend.

[tnolan816]

Most recent data pull:

Current Comp of the Set 1-96: $20040 - 6/03/2020 12:30 PM Central

Previous Total Comp of the Set 1-96: $20139 - 6/03/2020 08:30 AM Central

Card # Artist Player Print Run Current Comp
1 Baller Ichiro 1334 2025
2 Rochester Koufax 1135 550
3 Naturel Robinson 1302 450
4 Ermsy Trout 2911 1250
5 Fucci Ripken 1205 510
6 Saladeen Griffey 2504 555
7 Grotesk Gibson 1205 325
8 Chang Rivera 1617 400
9 JK5 Williams 1385 500
10 Cartoon Clemente 1844 400
11 Siff Brett 1227 450
12 Beck Gooden 1065 1175
13 Shore Mattingly 1686 305
14 Vides Henderson 1221 300
15 Thiele Mays 1464 250
16 Oldmanalan Gwynn 1302 285
17 Efdot McGwire 1456 290
18 Jamieson Ryan 2623 205
19 Naturel Clemente 1819 145
20 Rochester Ripken 1576 155
21 Taylor Henderson 2104 200
22 Ermsy Ichiro 1972 500
23 Baller Thomas 2836 355
24 Grotesk Gwynn 1441 220
25 Beck Griffey 3707 160
26 Vides Gooden 1101 550
27 Efdot Mays 1480 235
28 Shore McGwire 1199 455
29 Saladeen Jeter 9873 75
30 Siff Ryan 2215 175
31 Chang Robinson 2741 115
32 JK5 Ichiro 1798 300
33 Jamieson Mattingly 2409 160
34 Fucci Williams 1131 370
35 Thiele Trout 13200 75
36 Oldmanalan Koufax 2488 120
37 Beck Ripken 2621 125
38 Ermsy Gooden 1864 275
39 Taylor Jeter 9322 55
40 Naturel Gwynn 2319 125
41 Vides Rivera 2452 110
42 Jamieson Robinson 2980 170
43 Cartoon Brett 2360 115
44 Rochester Thomas 1480 220
45 Grotesk Clemente 1910 130
46 Chang Gibson 1268 300
47 Saladeen Mattingly 2763 120
48 JK5 Mays 1556 250
49 Thiele Koufax 2149 115
50 Siff Ripken 2369 150
51 Baller Trout 34950 50
52 Efdot Ryan 4103 75
53 Taylor Griffey 4236 80
54 Shore Gibson 1451 310
55 Beck Brett 1992 195
56 Oldmanalan Rivera 1127 400
57 Jamieson Henderson 3819 125
58 Ermsy Williams 4859 100
59 Grotesk Jeter 6511 90
60 Naturel McGwire 2687 110
61 Saladeen Mays 5459 55
62 Chang Ichiro 6207 50
63 Fucci Trout 16430 50
64 Vides Gwynn 3368 105
65 Cartoon Gooden 5041 60
66 Rochester Griffey 9356 50
67 Thiele Ryan 7383 50
68 JK5 Clemente 8518 45
69 Siff Mattingly 7900 60
70 Beck Gibson 6757 65
71 Baller Henderson 15741 70
72 Shore Rivera 9545 50
73 Don C Thomas 11969 110
74 Efdot Williams 8897 75
75 Grotesk Brett 5638 75
76 Fucci Koufax 6607 55
77 Saladeen Ichiro 11425 40
78 Oldmanalan Clemente 8610 35
79 Cartoon Robinson 11643 55
80 Chang Mays 10480 40
81 Jamieson McGwire 18205 45
82 Thiele Jeter 20974 40
83 Taylor Thomas 8806 60
84 Ermsy Gibson 14867 40
85 Rochester Trout 33818 30
86 Baller Gooden 25928 35
87 Vides Ryan 64629 19
88 Shore Griffey 99177 18
89 Naturel Koufax 43147 23
90 Oldmanalan Williams 41407 17
91 JK5 Rivera 35330 19
92 Don C Ripken 41392 19
93 Siff Jeter 48465 25
94 Efdot Gwynn 31030 21
95 Cartoon Mattingly 27299 25
96 Fucci Thomas 22911 24

Afternoon udpate. Prices still level, however I'm concerned about the small amount of sell-through of some of the updated cards. Noticed ~10%-ish cards that haven't had a sale since yesterday, which allows downward pressure to accumulate.

I still feel like #56 Oldmanalan Rivera is a strong buy at $400, #37 Beck Ripken at $125, #7 Grotesk Gibson at $325, and #33 Jamieson Mattingly at $160.

[ThoseBackPages]

Topps cant win

"INSERT THE APs INTO THE PRODUCTION RUN! F THE BOTS!"

Now Topps inserts REAL AUTOS in the production runs .... not good enough

[TheWrightStuff]

Originally Posted by ThoseBackPages

if you dont care for something...

DO NOT BUY IT!!!!

noted

[KB81]

Originally Posted by ThoseBackPages

Topps cant win

"INSERT THE APs INTO THE PRODUCTION RUN! F THE BOTS!"

Now Topps inserts REAL AUTOS in the production runs .... not good enough

[ExpFacilitators]

In these crazy and divisive times, can we all please just agree on one thing.

If you buy more, your odds of getting an auto are both greater and lesser.

[Bleu Falcon]

Originally Posted by 1977 Cloth

tough to forecast crazy on any statistical model.

quoted for truth

[TheWrightStuff]

Whats the odds on Topps sending out redemption cards for the Trout autos?