Sports betting thread

[CC_123]

Here is what I am taking for UFC tonight.

Rodrigo Nascimento -115
Kevin Holland -115
Miguel Baeza -150
Marlon Vera +160
Dan Ige +115
Walt Harris -150

[patchgenie]

they might need to replace the mat after the elkins fight

[CC_123]

Originally Posted by CC_123

Here is what I am taking for UFC tonight.

Rodrigo Nascimento -115
Kevin Holland -115
Miguel Baeza -150
Marlon Vera +160
Dan Ige +115
Walt Harris -150

4-2, can't complain. Vera probably should have gotten the decision call, but Ige should have lost so that balanced. Walt Harris was so damn close to securing the first round KO, but Overeem weathered the storm and came out with the W in the second round.

[Dbacksbaseball]

Originally Posted by Dbacksbaseball

Dark horses
Kevin Harvick- Harvick is not really a dark horse, in fact he is a favorite, but no one on Haas is going to win a race before him. Almirola would technically be a long shot, he does run well at Darlington, but at +700 Harvick is another one of those 'good' pre-race bets.
odds right now.

MY PICKS
+1100 Logano
+1900 Blaney
+1300 Bowman
+1000 Keslowski

and I will throw just a few bucks at +3300 Kenseth

If your playing understand these are just educated guesses compared to my week in week out work when they have practice and qualifying.

Well, Bowman competed all day and finished 2nd, Keselowski lead the second most laps, but Penske became a non factor which surprised me. I was able to hedge on Harvick as I threw a small bet on him last evening pre-race. So I ended up, up about $250 total. Not great, but a W is a W.

They turn right around and race at the same track Wednesday. So these teams will go to work.

I imagine Harvick opens somewhere around +200. Which is almost no value.

I like Hendrick cars for Wednesday in terms of value.

[persona]

Just these two for me today.
Back to KBO tomorrow morning.

[AlexHunter]

Originally Posted by persona

Just these two for me today.
Back to KBO tomorrow morning.

What’s the O/U rate on KBO this year? I know last year I was hitting over 60% betting overs. I don’t think I’d ever bet an under on a KBO


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[persona]

Originally Posted by AlexHunter

What’s the O/U rate on KBO this year? I know last year I was hitting over 60% betting overs. I don’t think I’d ever bet an under on a KBO


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I’ve been betting on Doodan bears games overs and it has hit 10 out of 11 to start the season and it’s ov 9.5 for tomorrow morning but they are facing the Dinos who have given up the least amount of runs but can hit and will score with best record in the league along with Third most runs.
Have not made any plays yet but leaning towards the ov 9.5.

[AlexHunter]

Saturday-

$115 on Bayern OVER -3.5, 4.0 split
$110 on Bayern -2, -2.5 split
$10 4-Way Parlay +729: Bayern Munich, Bauer Leverkusen, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig


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[persona]

Originally Posted by AlexHunter

Saturday-

$115 on Bayern OVER -3.5, 4.0 split
$110 on Bayern -2, -2.5 split
$10 4-Way Parlay +729: Bayern Munich, Bauer Leverkusen, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig


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Add Berlin clash on Friday BTTS ov 2.5 +140
Great value and Hertha should find the net at least twice and Union has a good chance to get one in an empty stadium.

[AlexHunter]

Originally Posted by persona

Add Berlin clash on Friday BTTS ov 2.5 +140
Great value and Hertha should find the net at least twice and Union has a good chance to get one in an empty stadium.

Yah I was looking at that. Could be like a 4-2 match easily, and both teams have shoddy defenses with holes and good wingers that can place balls. They also could result 1-0. I’ll throw some money on it, maybe raise the odds to -3.5 and really go for it.

Those bets I threw out were all with house money from the LAST ufc parlay on Bovada From last month lol.


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[AlexHunter]

Originally Posted by persona

Add Berlin clash on Friday BTTS ov 2.5 +140
Great value and Hertha should find the net at least twice and Union has a good chance to get one in an empty stadium.

Wish I could have got that o2.5 at +140!!!!!

Still $52.50 Berlins o2.5 (-105), $20 berlins draw (+250)


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[persona]

Originally Posted by AlexHunter

Wish I could have got that o2.5 at +140!!!!!

Still $52.50 Berlins o2.5 (-105), $20 berlins draw (+250)


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That ov 2.5 has been moving all day, up to -125 and now -115.
I like the 2-2 draw and may play the draw as well but all over the 2.5 total and leaning towards ov 3 +150 just to be greedy.
Good luck to us on the game tomorrow.

[AlexHunter]

Originally Posted by persona

That ov 2.5 has been moving all day, up to -125 and now -115.
I like the 2-2 draw and may play the draw as well but all over the 2.5 total and leaning towards ov 3 +150 just to be greedy.
Good luck to us on the game tomorrow.

Dude around 3:00 PST the ov2.5 was -130. Insane, I’m super stoked for the mid-table German soccer match (said me, never).

Lol I do follow bundesliga but really only watch a game a week- usually a big name that’s televised. I follow it on paper much more than watching haha.

I’m even thinking about putting some “exotics”- $5-$10 on 1-1 and 2-2 exact draw bets versus just betting the straight draw


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[AlexHunter]

So I placed these three just now. This was the easiest way to show the bets instead of typing every single one out lol. If the match gets to 1-1 at any point I’ll Cash Out and take a nice $15. May even cash out a 2-2 if it happens before 80th minute.

Hertha to win and union to score? Yeh I’ll throw $50 on that and roll with it as my most confident bet of the bunch.




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[persona]

Originally Posted by AlexHunter

Dude around 3:00 PST the ov2.5 was -130. Insane, I’m super stoked for the mid-table German soccer match (said me, never).

Lol I do follow bundesliga but really only watch a game a week- usually a big name that’s televised. I follow it on paper much more than watching haha.

I’m even thinking about putting some “exotics”- $5-$10 on 1-1 and 2-2 exact draw bets versus just betting the straight draw


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Union just could not create chances to score and Hertha blew multiple chances in the first half but capitalized it in the second half, ugly game from union’s stand point. Got lucky on the ov 3 +150.

Bayer vs Monch ov 3 -125
Freiburg vs Breman ov 2.5 -135
Parlay of Bayer vs Monch ov 2.5 + Munich TT ov 2.5 +127

[AlexHunter]

Originally Posted by persona

Union just could not create chances to score and Hertha blew multiple chances in the first half but capitalized it in the second half, ugly game from union’s stand point. Got lucky on the ov 3 +150.

Bayer vs Monch ov 3 -125
Freiburg vs Breman ov 2.5 -135
Parlay of Bayer vs Monch ov 2.5 + Munich TT ov 2.5 +127

I watched highlights and Union was just still living that quarantine life haha. Still, I put another $120 (-120) o2.5 this morning before to hedge against the crazy exotics I bet hahaha.


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[persona]

Originally Posted by AlexHunter

Saturday-

$115 on Bayern OVER -3.5, 4.0 split
$110 on Bayern -2, -2.5 split
$10 4-Way Parlay +729: Bayern Munich, Bauer Leverkusen, Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig


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Hopefully Leipzig comes through for you tomorrow!
Bayern scores for fun and they always seem to get the tough draw in the UEFA or else they could’ve possibly won one with Lewi by now.

Klon TT ov 1.5 + bears vs lions ov 10.5 (KBO) +163
Belarus Cup final Bate vs Dinamo ov 2.5 -125 (If Bate gets an early goal, this being the finals all hell should break lose and game could have 4+)

[AlexHunter]

Won a nice chunk on the two Bayern bets!!!!!

Bayern, Dortmund, leverkusen all won and Leipzig is up 3 nil approaching half. The parlay is looking really nice right now too!


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[Dbacksbaseball]

It will be interesting to see the fallout of all sports and what's different as they return to the arena, but nascar certainly has a huge problem being masked by the excitement of being back.

Essentially with no practice time, engineers aren't getting these cars locked in. It makes starting in first essentially and end game, as no one can pass. Makes races boring, and from a gambling perspective, a dart throw as whoever is in first on the last restart will win.

Tonights race I had kept my picks to myself due to my bad run. I felt pretty good the whole race as I had the two dominant cars as my top two. End of the race they finished 7th and 20th, and a car that was +2000 minimum at the 50 lap cut off won, because he stayed out with a few laps to go and on old tires was able to hold everyone off.

Frustrating. I had just a few non cashes last year. I have cashed positive in 1 of 3 of these post quarantine races, and it was essentially a break even. Thankfully due to red hot I-racing and a 12k Win in race 3 this year, I am up, but way behind last years pace, and am taking a break till we get full race weekends back.

It what it is....end rant.

[AlexHunter]

Came out +$500 from bundesliga Saturday


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[persona]

Tomorrow
Mblach ov 1.5 + Bayer ov 1.5 parlay +152

Leaving the Dort vs Munich alone for now, home team has won six in a row and dort has some key injuries and it’s a perfect time for Bayern to go into an empty stadium and get the W but still leaving it alone for now.

[AlexHunter]

Originally Posted by persona

Tomorrow
Mblach ov 1.5 + Bayer ov 1.5 parlay +152

Leaving the Dort vs Munich alone for now, home team has won six in a row and dort has some key injuries and it’s a perfect time for Bayern to go into an empty stadium and get the W but still leaving it alone for now.

That’s when you put 5k on Bayern!


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[persona]

Originally Posted by AlexHunter

That’s when you put 5k on Bayern!


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Leipzig game was over by halftime for you! Glad you got that parlay.
Luck was on my side with Koln scoring two goals in final five minutes for me to hit the parlay.

[AlexHunter]

Originally Posted by persona

Leipzig game was over by halftime for you! Glad you got that parlay.
Luck was on my side with Koln scoring two goals in final five minutes for me to hit the parlay.

Luck seems to be giving me little taps here and there lately. No huge big hug but hey it’s better than being kicked down like I’m used to xD

But yah that was one of the least nerve wracking parlays I’ve ever bet. Each game was pretty standard and played out how I expected.


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[JMarchand1981]

So last week I was playing around with the playing limits on draft kings.

I put limits in my daily, weekly and monthly deposits just to see how they worked.

We are talking a week ago, mid-month. I figured that the day I set the limit would be day one. I was wrong. The last day of the month was the close of the period.

I had to take a week off because I had already hit my limit for deposits. I have a separate bank account that i set up for my gambling and side hustles. This bank account is generally my "play money". Due to this, I don't leave a lot of money on my draft king.

When I set these limits, I had a six dollar balance and three outstanding bets. Two of those bets were Alabama to win the CFB next year and the Ravens to win the Super Bowl.

The third bet was Brady to hit a hazard before Manning yesterday. I used an odds boost to get my odds to +514. It was a $2 bet so it isn't like I killed it. I lost the $6 last Monday so I had zero dollars from Monday through yesterday.

Brady hit the Hazard and I received my $12.28.

I got to wagering on my Table Tennis last night. I went to sleep with a $21 balance. I currently have a $50.38 balance.

We are talking such nominal dollars that in the grand scheme is just doesn't matter. However, I get a ton of enjoyment out of this. I like the money but the money is just a metric to keep track of how I am doing.

It is fun. SOrry for the rant.