Rip/Flip/Hold - 2018 Topps Holiday Boxes

[towerymt]

Originally Posted by The_Reverend

I have opened a total os 10 and the boxes in my area must have the Acuna run. 7 had ACUNA...the other 3 had metallics of Ohtani and Devers. Those had 2 Gleyber as well. I still have one unopened.

Broke a dented box, 5th one total, and hit a 4th Acuna. 5 for 5 on Ohtani & Gleyber....but no good metallics or relics, and no autos yet. Not complaining about this distribution...but I doubt I can make the 200 card set with my ~500 base cards.

[Seven Costanza]

Originally Posted by The_Reverend

Opened my last one and when I saw Willie I knew Acuna was behind him. I open the 5 non-metallic packs first, they are every other one in the box. Last box had my second Ohtani Metallic.

Always nice to finish strong!

Ohtani is going to be so freaky good next year.. I'm already worried about that 2020 Angels/Braves matchup 😉 can you imagine unriped 2018 Update prices with a Braves v Angels WS in 2020.. I hate that I ripped all mine, and I did well with multiple us250s

[DaRitz]

Originally Posted by towerymt

Broke a dented box, 5th one total, and hit a 4th Acuna. 5 for 5 on Ohtani & Gleyber....but no good metallics or relics, and no autos yet. Not complaining about this distribution...but I doubt I can make the 200 card set with my ~500 base cards.

We got different runs, clearly.

Judging by your 4/5 Acuna and my 1/6 Acuna, we could make a few sets... but I'm gonna need some Acunas.

Hit me up on PM if you need some. It's not worth sorting for me at this point, but I'd look through them if you need a handful.

[Einstein43]

Ive opened 3 : and have 15 unopened
The 3 opened though :
1 acuna
1 auto Redemption ( cozens )
Metallic devers
Metallic Ohtani

[crohrer]

I ripped 24 boxes 2 months ago and didn’t get a metallic acuna. I got 3 gleybers and 2 ohtanis though. No autos only jersey cards. Without Acuna metallic this product is a dud. A third of them were damaged.

[BBases31]

How many nationwide distributions are left? 5000 Walmarts x5 boxes each on this one is over 20% of the total print run(116k boxes someone said)

[glassofwater]

Went to 4 and only found 3 boxes, luckily I got 2 acuñas, in the b metallic only notables were trout, I chirp and Harper..

[The_Reverend]

The thing about the holiday boxes in my opinion they are printed in less volume than Topps update and Topps chrome update in my opinion. There are lots of holiday boxes being ripped with the hole of hitting the Acuna metallic, which I would put at around 5000 copies. I am guessing the regular snowflake Acuna might be in the 30,000 range and the second rarest of the bat down version. The series 2 bat down might be about 20,000.

[dks]

Has anyone seen these Gold Snowflakes? Crazy numbers on the box.


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[Einstein43]

I have not but the gold snowflakes are 1/1

[blackbears86]

Originally Posted by The_Reverend

The thing about the holiday boxes in my opinion they are printed in less volume than Topps update and Topps chrome update in my opinion. There are lots of holiday boxes being ripped with the hole of hitting the Acuna metallic, which I would put at around 5000 copies. I am guessing the regular snowflake Acuna might be in the 30,000 range and the second rarest of the bat down version. The series 2 bat down might be about 20,000.

Where are you getting these numbers Reverund? Has anyone calculated the print run on the regular/metallics?

[Baseballdude]

Found 5 boxes. Pulled 1 Acuna base and 2 Albies Metallics. I would like to complete the set. Like others, collation was streaky. I need about 40 cards. Anyone want to trade?


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[HarryLime]

I'm not smart so feel free to double-check my math but based off of the gold snowflake odds...

403,920 total Holiday boxes
201,960 of each base card

10,098 of each Metallic Snowflake

Arthur

[Doublexthebeast]

Originally Posted by dks

Has anyone seen these Gold Snowflakes? Crazy numbers on the box.


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Originally Posted by Einstein43

I have not but the gold snowflakes are 1/1

Somebody pulled the Curtis Granderson yesterday in the box break section.

[hxcmilkshake]

Some guy on the internet said 2900 of each metallic.

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[HarryLime]

guy on internet > math

[psd2k10]

Originally Posted by BBases31

How many nationwide distributions are left? 5000 Walmarts x5 boxes each on this one is over 20% of the total print run(116k boxes someone said)

The reality is not all walmarts got them and not all walmarts had 5. some had 1 some got 2 some got 3 some got 4 regardless there was a lot put out there this week. I ended up buying 4 boxes total and pulled 3 acunas 2 devers 2 geyber and 2 ohtanis and 1 ohtani metallic. For $20 its a fun rip.

[psd2k10]

Originally Posted by Baseballdude

Found 5 boxes. Pulled 1 Acuna and 2 Albies Metallics. I would like to complete the set. Like others, collation was streaky. I need about 40 cards. Anyone want to trade?


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Ill trade whatever you need for the acuna

[towerymt]

Originally Posted by HarryLime

I'm not smart so feel free to double-check my math but based off of the gold snowflake odds...

403,920 total Holiday boxes
201,960 of each base card

10,098 of each Metallic Snowflake

Arthur

How did you get to those figures? I pulled the odds from here: https://www.cardboardconnection.com/...baseball-cards

200 card base set
1:5,799 packs to hit the 1/1 gold snowflake, of which I assume there are 200 different cards just like the base set.

5,799 * 200 = 1,159,800 packs
1,159,800 packs / 10 packs per box = 115,980 boxes

That's not close to what you calculated, so which one is off base?

I just went through a box I opened yesterday and had put the contents of each pack back into the pack.

99 total cards
93 base
5 snowflake (as expected, 1:2 packs, 10 packs/per box = 5)
1 relic

The pack with the relic had 8 cards total. One pack had 11 cards.

If 93 base cards per box were representative of the entire production, then 93 x 115,980 total boxes = 10,786,140 total base cards. /200 = 53,930 of each base card.

I think the ~2900 of each metallic snowflake parallel comes from 5 per box times 115,980 boxes / 200 = 2900 of each metallic snowflake.

[Baseballdude]

Originally Posted by psd2k10

Ill trade whatever you need for the acuna

Thanks, but I only pulled 1 Acuna and need it for the set.


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[towerymt]

Originally Posted by Baseballdude

Thanks, but I only pulled 1 Acuna and need it for the set.

I was going to say something....but thought that he may have read that as you pulled an Acuna metallic.

Send me a list of what you need or post it here and I'll check.

[Baseballdude]

Originally Posted by towerymt

I was going to say something....but thought that he may have read that as you pulled an Acuna metallic.



Send me a list of what you need or post it here and I'll check.

I agree, I can see how that was confusing. I should have written base after Acuna. I’ll edit. I just mentioned Acuna so folks didn’t think I was trying to trade for an Acuna, which I don’t think anyone would want to do.

Thanks for your help - 4, 10, 15, 21, 32, 40, 43, 47, 48, 58, 66, 67, 72, 73, 83, 87, 93, 96, 97, 102, 104, 105, 115, 133, 136, 139, 148, 150, 155, 164, 166, 168, 174, 179, 187, 191, 197, 199.

I didn’t check which players those were.


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[timber63401]

Just got 5 at Wal Mart. Boxes are in good shape have the Topps logo on the wrapping. Feels like I should sell or save but have never been good at either one of those so will probably be ripped by end of day lol.

[tomingo0711]

1 box at my Walmart. Pujols relic.

[HarryLime]

Originally Posted by towerymt

How did you get to those figures? I pulled the odds from here: https://www.cardboardconnection.com/...baseball-cards

200 card base set
1:5,799 packs to hit the 1/1 gold snowflake, of which I assume there are 200 different cards just like the base set.

5,799 * 200 = 1,159,800 packs
1,159,800 packs / 10 packs per box = 115,980 boxes

That's not close to what you calculated, so which one is off base?

I just went through a box I opened yesterday and had put the contents of each pack back into the pack.

99 total cards
93 base
5 snowflake (as expected, 1:2 packs, 10 packs/per box = 5)
1 relic

The pack with the relic had 8 cards total. One pack had 11 cards.

If 93 base cards per box were representative of the entire production, then 93 x 115,980 total boxes = 10,786,140 total base cards. /200 = 53,930 of each base card.

I think the ~2900 of each metallic snowflake parallel comes from 5 per box times 115,980 boxes / 200 = 2900 of each metallic snowflake.

See? I told you guys I'm not smart. I did the calculations off the relic gold snowflake odds (1:20,096). Luckily someone here did check my math. Thanks!

And my apologies for the snarky post, @hxcmilkshake.

Arthur