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Old 06-01-2018, 09:45 PM   #1
atoaz12
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Default This is why WAR confuses me...

Look at Altuve, Freeman and Belt

http://www.espn.com/mlb/stats/batting/_/sort/WARBR

Freeman is superior in nearly every number and yet they all have a WAR of 2.6

Great players and great seasons, but it seems clear it's Freeman, Belt, then Altuve

So confusing

*If anyone could copy and paste stat columns, you're smarter than me. And probably understand WAR better
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Old 06-01-2018, 09:50 PM   #2
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The difference is Defense and position. Belt has been a slightly better defender than freeman, and a slightly worse hitter. It evens out. Altuve is a second baseman, so he gets bonus points essentially for being at a premium position.. it’s not a perfect system, but that’s the gist of it.
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Old 06-01-2018, 09:50 PM   #3
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Poor Brandon Belt always underrated because he plays in a tough park. Belt and Freeman are hitting very similar overall, both play first. Altuve is hitting slightly worse, but runs the bases better and plays a tougher position. Pretty easy to see all three of those guys are having pretty darn similar seasons with or without WAR.
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Old 06-01-2018, 10:54 PM   #4
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The difference is Defense and position. Belt has been a slightly better defender than freeman, and a slightly worse hitter. It evens out. Altuve is a second baseman, so he gets bonus points essentially for being at a premium position.. it’s not a perfect system, but that’s the gist of it.
What are the other "premium" positions or are there? Where does 3b rate to SS? Essentially would Machado's war be higher with same stats at 3b or at SS?
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Old 06-01-2018, 11:08 PM   #5
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What are the other "premium" positions or are there? Where does 3b rate to SS? Essentially would Machado's war be higher with same stats at 3b or at SS?
C, SS, CF most important.
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Old 06-02-2018, 12:08 AM   #6
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What are the other "premium" positions or are there? Where does 3b rate to SS? Essentially would Machado's war be higher with same stats at 3b or at SS?
C +12.5
SS +7.5
2b/3b/cf +2.5
lf/rf -7.5
1b -12.5

Roughly.
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Old 06-02-2018, 12:25 AM   #7
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I am not a big fan of WAR yet...yet.

They haven't perfected the data for defense and they also place too heavy a weight on what they do calculate for defense. When they score a slap hitting .280 above average defensive SS #9 hitter equally with a offensive stud corner OF that is average defensively, there is a problem.
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Old 06-02-2018, 12:34 AM   #8
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You also have to account for the fact that WAR factors in park effects....so Belt gets a boost since he plays in a tough hitters park.
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Old 06-02-2018, 05:48 AM   #9
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WAR, what is it good for?
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Old 06-02-2018, 06:43 AM   #10
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I was a dummy was reading it as offensive war
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Old 06-02-2018, 06:45 AM   #11
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WAR, what is it good for?
Absolutely nothing!
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Old 06-02-2018, 06:49 AM   #12
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Absolutely nothing!
Say it again!
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Old 06-02-2018, 06:54 AM   #13
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Say it again!
Ya”ll huh, WAR!....what is it good for...absolutely nothing
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Old 06-02-2018, 06:57 AM   #14
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I am not a big fan of WAR yet...yet.

They haven't perfected the data for defense and they also place too heavy a weight on what they do calculate for defense. When they score a slap hitting .280 above average defensive SS #9 hitter equally with a offensive stud corner OF that is average defensively, there is a problem.
I'm feel the same. The concept I like, but the defensive metrics still need some tweaking IMO. I think that will happen though. For now, its the best we have to measure a player's total value, while considering a multitude of factors.
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Old 06-02-2018, 07:19 AM   #15
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I'm feel the same. The concept I like, but the defensive metrics still need some tweaking IMO. I think that will happen though. For now, its the best we have to measure a player's total value, while considering a multitude of factors.
Agreed.... i see some pretty bad defense by some of these guys and they still get a boost simply for playing a premium position.
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Old 06-02-2018, 07:30 AM   #16
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WAR, what is it good for?
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Old 06-02-2018, 07:33 AM   #17
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Old 06-02-2018, 08:02 AM   #18
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Originally Posted by RaceDog View Post
I am not a big fan of WAR yet...yet.

They haven't perfected the data for defense and they also place too heavy a weight on what they do calculate for defense. When they score a slap hitting .280 above average defensive SS #9 hitter equally with a offensive stud corner OF that is average defensively, there is a problem.
If you are referring to Simmons, he hit 14 hr and 38 doubles last year and to my recollection never batted 9th.

And he is considered in competition for best defensive short stop ever.

FWIW he is batting over .330 so far this year.
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Old 06-02-2018, 08:48 AM   #19
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If you are referring to Simmons, he hit 14 hr and 38 doubles last year and to my recollection never batted 9th.

And he is considered in competition for best defensive short stop ever.

FWIW he is batting over .330 so far this year.
You are correct

Games by batting position in 2017

1st - 9
2nd - 6
3rd - 2
4th - 3
5th - 72
6th - 56
7th - 10

and actually only has 35 games batting 9th in his entire career (from which he has hit .307 in 124 PA)
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Old 06-02-2018, 08:50 AM   #20
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Each team has their own version of WAR. That is how they decide how much they pay their players and who they look for in trades etc.
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Old 06-02-2018, 09:31 AM   #21
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C +12.5
SS +7.5
2b/3b/cf +2.5
lf/rf -7.5
1b -12.5

Roughly.
This is stupid and the whole reason why WAR is worthless to compare players at different positions. Defensive value is the plays you make or not, not being a statue at a particular position. 2nd base is not a more difficult position to play than right field. This is what happens when people who never played the game decide to opine on those who play at the highest level.
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Old 06-02-2018, 09:34 AM   #22
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2nd base is not a more difficult position to play than right field.
So we can throw right fielders at 2B and there fielding percentage would remain constant? WAR argument aside, middle infield positions are clearly more demanding positions and require more skill than corner outfielders.
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Old 06-02-2018, 11:07 AM   #23
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2nd base is not a more difficult position to play than right field.
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Old 06-02-2018, 04:11 PM   #24
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This is stupid and the whole reason why WAR is worthless to compare players at different positions. Defensive value is the plays you make or not, not being a statue at a particular position. 2nd base is not a more difficult position to play than right field. This is what happens when people who never played the game decide to opine on those who play at the highest level.
Aside of being incorrect, simple game knowledge would tell you that 2nd basemen have more fielding chances and also many more "difficult" or "advanced" plays to make(ie the ball comes at them faster and from a shorter distance, requiring quicker reaction time).
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Old 06-02-2018, 06:17 PM   #25
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Aside of being incorrect, simple game knowledge would tell you that 2nd basemen have more fielding chances and also many more "difficult" or "advanced" plays to make(ie the ball comes at them faster and from a shorter distance, requiring quicker reaction time).
100%.

All add probably the most important thing that makes 2B harder, having to turn a DP. Runner coming up your back side and you can’t see.

Second is harder the RF. Don’t be silly.
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