Quote:
Originally Posted by Torro
What makes you so confident in this, so you think the prices will fall below pre-pandemic levels and continue falling from there? From a logics point of view for it to happen, a lot of people need to leave the hobby, as there are way more people in it now than were before 2018/2019. The hobby will need to die totally to continue this spiral down infinity, so thats the direction you think the hobby is heading? From the bright side of things in the scenario is that the hobby boxes will cost $50 with 2 guaranteed autos, which I would definitely like a lot! But for it to happen, I dont know man, I dont see it. The prices have been dropping for 3 years and people still going after $300 non-licensed boxes.
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This has been the trajectory for 99%+ of what’s been released since the early 90s. It doesn’t matter how many new entrants come to the hobby. They cannot overcome the fact that most rookies flame out, and current production far outpaces demand.
A lot of great cards go down over time unfortunately. 1998 SPA Manning is worth less today than it was 25 years ago. When BGS started, a 1989 UD Griffey gem was $2500+. It sits at $575 today. Cards should be treated as depreciating collectibles, not appreciating assets.