Black friday wave discussion

boxbuster7 · 10-28-2021, 03:48 PM

Loved this thread last year. Maybe two years ago. Any good deals in wave one?

ThoseBackPages · 10-28-2021, 03:49 PM

i dont expect any good deals this year

these are the new times

LVDan · 10-28-2021, 03:56 PM

I'd assume that the distys are all flush from the last couple years of demand madness. So I don't expect any strong values on core products.
Imagine owning a business that's built to operate on small-ish 10-25% margins having a few years at an overall 70%(?)profit margin....
This would be similar to the local supermarket jacking the price on milk from $4/gallon to $7 instantly, while their cost was still $2.50/gal. And having a huge line of people willing at seven bucks.
Maybe some fair busting value on fringe-y things but no big potential rookie products at massive discounts I'd imagine.

big4mi2ke0 · 10-28-2021, 03:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by boxbuster7

Loved this thread last year. Maybe two years ago. Any good deals in wave one?

hope you're excited for benchwarmer stuff and unsought retail products.

phil · 10-28-2021, 04:01 PM

The presumably is a mountain of unsold Panini baseball both Hobby and Retail out there with more coming, and no reason for distributors to hang onto it.

HTown281 · 10-28-2021, 04:02 PM

OMG but like 2021 topps update is going to be half off !!

cruiserdaddy7 · 10-28-2021, 04:06 PM

Last year had some featured specials in each wave. None this year. I don't see anything good.

anusinha · 10-28-2021, 04:17 PM

1994 Sportflics!!!!

and yeah... when youve had a year of operating with a 500% margin, you tend to be flush with cash.

oddstuff · 10-28-2021, 04:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LVDan

I'd assume that the distys are all flush from the last couple years of demand madness. So I don't expect any strong values on core products.
Imagine owning a business that's built to operate on small-ish 10-25% margins having a few years at an overall 70%(?)profit margin....
This would be similar to the local supermarket jacking the price on milk from $4/gallon to $7 instantly, while their cost was still $2.50/gal. And having a huge line of people willing at seven bucks.
Maybe some fair busting value on fringe-y things but no big potential rookie products at massive discounts I'd imagine.

Still waiting on ribeye to return to pre-covid price

'21 Topps Chrome sapphire might be available on black Friday

LVDan · 10-28-2021, 04:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oddstuff

Still waiting on ribeye to return to pre-covid price

'21 Topps Chrome sapphire might be available on black Friday

Yeah, beef is up this year for sure. Scroundrels asking $7.99/lb for a tri-tip everywhere now and $5/lb for 85/15 GB.
Steaks are freaking ridiculous now- I agree. Nothing edible under $10/lb and usually more like 12.99.

Did grab a 15 lb brisket a couple weeks back at $2.49/ though

21 Sapphire would have to be on some sort of Monday sale for me to look at it though.

Tonic3 · 10-28-2021, 04:24 PM

The 20 blaster box case of 2017 prizm football for the low low price of $24,000 still blows my mind as utterly absurd. Even if you pulled multiple Mahomes you're still going to lose a boatload of money. So stupid

cardcollector34 · 10-28-2021, 04:37 PM

What price would 2020 Update Hobby be good at? $40?

banosd · 10-28-2021, 04:40 PM

Yo Gabba Gabba deals to be had!

LVDan · 10-28-2021, 04:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cardcollector34

What price would 2020 Update Hobby be good at? $40?

I guess this answer would be directly tied to your future market view of Rookie Debut cards. Did any 28 yo relievers break out from this set this season? I think we're still at Randy A. and Grisham's SD card as the bellcows for this one.
At $40 that's less than $2/pack. If you need something to rip regardless of content w/ a small shot at a few superstar insert autos and some sp variations it might not be horrible.
That said-it will probably be a 59.99 doorbuster?

free2131 · 10-28-2021, 04:55 PM

Can't wait for 2009 Upper Deck Signature Stars for the INSANE SALE PRICE of $130 per box when you could have had them for $30 a box 3 years ago.

Siberian13 · 10-28-2021, 04:59 PM

It’s a waste of time these days. Doubt they offer anything that’s considered a good deal. Someone will say it’s a good deal but only because they’ve been paying the current dumb prices.

boxbuster7 · 10-28-2021, 04:59 PM

Blowout promos used to be absolutely nuts. Going back almost 10 years, I remember cases for $14.92 at one point on their Columbus day sale.

majestik101 · 10-28-2021, 05:02 PM

I miss the days when 20 box cases of USA Stars and Stripes and Elite Extra Edition could be had for $399. For unlicensed those were a fun low risk rip

bustsomewax · 10-28-2021, 05:03 PM

I miss the feeling of waking at 330AM to score actual door busters. So many incredible deals back in the day. It will be a long time before we ever go back to that, but it will come.

cardcollector34 · 10-28-2021, 05:05 PM

Anybody got a link to when that guy lost it over no silver packs in 2018 Update?

ThoseBackPages · 10-28-2021, 05:07 PM

i miss those $3.99 Hummers

Randallk34 · 10-28-2021, 05:07 PM

Should I break out the lawn chair and get in line at target now?

JoeAdam · 10-28-2021, 05:10 PM

My LCS does a lot of promos and drawings on Black Friday. My favorite day to buy from them.

JeremyNick · 10-28-2021, 05:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Randallk34

Should I break out the lawn chair and get in line at target now?

Probably more worthwhile than what you do most days.

big4mi2ke0 · 10-28-2021, 05:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JeremyNick

Probably more worthwhile than what you do most days.

Truth.

10-28-2021, 03:48 PM	#1
boxbuster7 Member Join Date: Aug 2016 Posts: 12,865 boxbuster777	Black friday wave discussion Loved this thread last year. Maybe two years ago. Any good deals in wave one? __________________ Psa 9 > psa 10

10-28-2021, 03:49 PM	#2
ThoseBackPages Member Join Date: Feb 2010 Location: Long Island Posts: 90,403 ThoseBackPages	i dont expect any good deals this year these are the new times __________________ Pumpers Paradise #YouCryIBuy Four things that we cannot change each others minds about: Politics, Religion, Third Party Grading, and 2021 Bowman's Best Rookie Cards

10-28-2021, 03:56 PM	#3
LVDan Member Join Date: Jun 2017 Posts: 17,612	I'd assume that the distys are all flush from the last couple years of demand madness. So I don't expect any strong values on core products. Imagine owning a business that's built to operate on small-ish 10-25% margins having a few years at an overall 70%(?)profit margin.... This would be similar to the local supermarket jacking the price on milk from $4/gallon to $7 instantly, while their cost was still $2.50/gal. And having a huge line of people willing at seven bucks. Maybe some fair busting value on fringe-y things but no big potential rookie products at massive discounts I'd imagine. __________________ So we cheated and we lied and we tested. And we never failed to fail; it was the easiest thing to do.

10-28-2021, 04:06 PM	#7
cruiserdaddy7 Member Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 15,586 Cruiserdaddy7	Last year had some featured specials in each wave. None this year. I don't see anything good. __________________ Show me your friends and I'll show you your future.

10-28-2021, 04:24 PM	#11
Tonic3 Member Join Date: Mar 2008 Location: Southwest MI Posts: 2,497	The 20 blaster box case of 2017 prizm football for the low low price of $24,000 still blows my mind as utterly absurd. Even if you pulled multiple Mahomes you're still going to lose a boatload of money. So stupid __________________ Always looking for: 2001 SP Authentic Golf - Preview parallels - Gold (#/250) and Red (#/50) of any player...especially Tiger Woods.

10-28-2021, 04:01 PM	#5
phil Member Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 8,758	The presumably is a mountain of unsold Panini baseball both Hobby and Retail out there with more coming, and no reason for distributors to hang onto it.

10-28-2021, 04:02 PM	#6
HTown281 Member Join Date: Oct 2018 Posts: 202	OMG but like 2021 topps update is going to be half off !!

10-28-2021, 04:17 PM	#8
anusinha Member Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 13,763	1994 Sportflics!!!! and yeah... when youve had a year of operating with a 500% margin, you tend to be flush with cash.

10-28-2021, 04:37 PM	#12
cardcollector34 Member Join Date: Oct 2013 Posts: 8,671 baseballfan1134	What price would 2020 Update Hobby be good at? $40?

10-28-2021, 04:40 PM	#13
banosd Member Join Date: May 2018 Posts: 881 sweetleftyswing	Yo Gabba Gabba deals to be had!

10-28-2021, 04:55 PM	#15
free2131 Member Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 5,367	Can't wait for 2009 Upper Deck Signature Stars for the INSANE SALE PRICE of $130 per box when you could have had them for $30 a box 3 years ago. __________________ “I exploit you, still you love me. I tell you one and one makes three.” - Living Colour

10-28-2021, 04:59 PM	#16
Siberian13 Member Join Date: Feb 2015 Posts: 78,889 shiller13	It’s a waste of time these days. Doubt they offer anything that’s considered a good deal. Someone will say it’s a good deal but only because they’ve been paying the current dumb prices.

10-28-2021, 05:02 PM	#18
majestik101 Member Join Date: Mar 2014 Location: Socially Distanced Posts: 44,980 majestik101	I miss the days when 20 box cases of USA Stars and Stripes and Elite Extra Edition could be had for $399. For unlicensed those were a fun low risk rip __________________ If you reply with...."last one on eBay sold for this"...then you should have bought it on eBay. "Watson alone sells for over $20" https://www.blowoutforums.com/showthread.php?t=1182760

10-28-2021, 05:03 PM	#19
bustsomewax Member Join Date: Nov 2009 Location: USA Posts: 6,925 rockymountaincollectibles_1 goapps2014	I miss the feeling of waking at 330AM to score actual door busters. So many incredible deals back in the day. It will be a long time before we ever go back to that, but it will come.

10-28-2021, 05:05 PM	#20
cardcollector34 Member Join Date: Oct 2013 Posts: 8,671 baseballfan1134	Anybody got a link to when that guy lost it over no silver packs in 2018 Update?

10-28-2021, 05:07 PM	#21
ThoseBackPages Member Join Date: Feb 2010 Location: Long Island Posts: 90,403 ThoseBackPages	i miss those $3.99 Hummers __________________ Pumpers Paradise #YouCryIBuy Four things that we cannot change each others minds about: Politics, Religion, Third Party Grading, and 2021 Bowman's Best Rookie Cards

10-28-2021, 05:07 PM	#22
Randallk34 Member Join Date: Feb 2021 Posts: 2,000	Should I break out the lawn chair and get in line at target now?

10-28-2021, 05:10 PM	#23
JoeAdam Member Join Date: Feb 2018 Location: Illinois Posts: 5,002 sjoteo joeadam	My LCS does a lot of promos and drawings on Black Friday. My favorite day to buy from them. __________________ @the_ace_of_cards on IG “You miss 100% of the shots you don’t take - Wayne Gretzky” - Michael Scott