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Old 12-22-2025, 03:20 PM   #101
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I just checked Topps. The only items left are Mega boxes and Mega cases.
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Old 12-22-2025, 03:21 PM   #102
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jaypers View Post
Last year's Draft class was on par with this year's overall IMO, and Hobby boxes are currently selling for about double the price.
I think they are fairly similar too, minus Kurtz. I'm on record stating he will be something special. But otherwise, I agree.
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Old 12-22-2025, 03:22 PM   #103
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If my initials were B.G. I'd take that bet.
If he were to put up a wager to back his prediction I think there would be a long line of people waiting to get a piece of the action. Every day I think the takes can't get any more wrong, and every day someone does it.
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Old 12-22-2025, 03:28 PM   #104
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If he were to put up a wager to back his prediction I think there would be a long line of people waiting to get a piece of the action. Every day I think the takes can't get any more wrong, and every day someone does it.

Which takes were wrong? 2025 Topps Sapphire Chrome not going to $1k?
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Old 12-22-2025, 03:31 PM   #105
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$520 for hobby. lol, no thanks.
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Old 12-22-2025, 03:37 PM   #106
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Originally Posted by Boredlawyer View Post
Which takes were wrong? 2025 Topps Sapphire Chrome not going to $1k?
I don't even know what you are talking about. You made a claim that Sapphire wouldn't go to $1k? Um, ok? Congrats I guess?

Regardless to whatever you are talking about from a different thread you are wrong here.
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Old 12-22-2025, 03:39 PM   #107
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$520 for hobby. lol, no thanks.
Just when I thought it couldn't get any more absurd, Topps raises the bar once again
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Old 12-22-2025, 03:43 PM   #108
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I don't even know what you are talking about. You made a claim that Sapphire wouldn't go to $1k? Um, ok? Congrats I guess?

Regardless to whatever you are talking about from a different thread you are wrong here.
Weren't you claiming that Sapphire was a great buy?

Not sure why people get so upset when I say it's a mediocre class. Is everyone in here a dad of a first rounder or something?
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Old 12-22-2025, 03:48 PM   #109
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Weren't you claiming that Sapphire was a great buy?
I loved this years Sapphire. I don't think I ever said it was going to $1k though. Although it probably will. I almost never give price predictions for that exact reason.

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Not sure why people get so upset when I say it's a mediocre class. Is everyone in here a dad of a first rounder or something?
I don't think anyone here is upset other than you getting defensive about a bad prediction. I don't care what they sell for, I stopped prospecting a long time ago for the most part. But I know the market well enough to know you are wrong. And a quick look at Draft 1st Autographs should tell you the same thing without other people having to tell you.
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Old 12-22-2025, 04:27 PM   #110
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I'm pretty sure his username says everything you need to know...



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Old 12-22-2025, 05:29 PM   #111
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Quote:
Originally Posted by premium1981 View Post
I loved this years Sapphire. I don't think I ever said it was going to $1k though. Although it probably will. I almost never give price predictions for that exact reason.



I don't think anyone here is upset other than you getting defensive about a bad prediction. I don't care what they sell for, I stopped prospecting a long time ago for the most part. But I know the market well enough to know you are wrong. And a quick look at Draft 1st Autographs should tell you the same thing without other people having to tell you.
What autographs do you actually think are going to push $100? Willits of course. Josuar Gonzalez is a more enticing prospect than any high school bat aside from Willits. Hes $50? Do you think Parker is going to command big bucks?
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Old 12-22-2025, 05:38 PM   #112
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What autographs do you actually think are going to push $100? Willits of course. Josuar Gonzalez is a more enticing prospect than any high school bat aside from Willits. Hes $50? Do you think Parker is going to command big bucks?
Jaypers said it best, so I will just quote him for you. Do you own homework. Most people keep prospect names to themselves. If they are openly telling you, its because they have either bought all they are going to buy or they want to pump them up. Or both.

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Sure, let me just spill the tea and while I'm at it, I'll tell you what I'm paying for them.

As someone who's been prospect buying since '95, I can comfortably predict this is a very good class. But next year's will be better.
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Old 12-22-2025, 06:06 PM   #113
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Jaypers said it best, so I will just quote him for you. Do you own homework. Most people keep prospect names to themselves. If they are openly telling you, its because they have either bought all they are going to buy or they want to pump them up. Or both.
Lol give me a break. This isn't 2003. No one on this board has any information beyond what they regurgitated from BA or Fangraphs. Maybe some amateur scouts that tried to break down YouTube video. You're kidding yourself if you think you have access to any addditional information than others in the market.

Kilby, Hammond, Parker, Gamble will be interesting names. Quentin Young if you love high risk/sub-zero floors.
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Old 12-22-2025, 06:29 PM   #114
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There are powers out there that can and will make it happen to see autos go for more than they ever should be. That is how we are in this price point we are now.
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Old 12-22-2025, 06:40 PM   #115
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Boredlawyer View Post
Lol give me a break. This isn't 2003. No one on this board has any information beyond what they regurgitated from BA or Fangraphs. Maybe some amateur scouts that tried to break down YouTube video. You're kidding yourself if you think you have access to any addditional information than others in the market.
I wish everyone thought that's the case. It's not, but I wish they did.
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Last edited by Jaypers; 12-22-2025 at 06:42 PM.
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Old 12-22-2025, 08:45 PM   #116
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$520 for hobby. lol, no thanks.
No kidding - just laughable.
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Old 12-23-2025, 02:47 AM   #117
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bulljh View Post
After seeing these prices, I have officially become a singles buyer. I feel like I can do pretty good for $500 in this weak draft class.
Especially if you wat 6-8 weeks. You'll get another 50-100% more!
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Old 12-23-2025, 02:58 AM   #118
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I've got 23 batters and 3 pitchers that have a Price Index number of $100 or more. Using Fangraphs FV, the only position player that would be that high is Holliday (55). On the pitching side, maybe Doyle? Although his "type" are more in the $80 range.

That said, players in Draft have been going for damn near double what similar prospects from Bowman and Chrome go for. That's not even accounting for release week pricing. My guess is I completely ignore draft until next offseason...again. Even then, I've hardly got any 2024 Draft guys on my list because of the residual overprice effect.
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Old 12-23-2025, 10:35 AM   #119
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2024 draft still going big on Bonemer. Got in at start when was "cheap" and still occsionally buy lower end chrome non autos from time to time but slowly getting more and more expensive. I am a bit upset at my bad bidding style as missed out on 2 true blue chrome refractor 1sts last night but did get a green. Really wanted the blues as I kind of have a goal to get as many as possible. Forget how many I am at now but it's near or more than 10. Also have I think 6 gold chromes.

Anyway this year not sure but I'm sure the WHite Sox will be dumb expensive just because of Carlson and then the other ss they have in the product on top of whoever else.

Last edited by crpav; 12-23-2025 at 01:18 PM.
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Old 12-23-2025, 12:37 PM   #120
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rwperu34 View Post
I've got 23 batters and 3 pitchers that have a Price Index number of $100 or more. Using Fangraphs FV, the only position player that would be that high is Holliday (55). On the pitching side, maybe Doyle? Although his "type" are more in the $80 range.

That said, players in Draft have been going for damn near double what similar prospects from Bowman and Chrome go for. That's not even accounting for release week pricing. My guess is I completely ignore draft until next offseason...again. Even then, I've hardly got any 2024 Draft guys on my list because of the residual overprice effect.
They held Holliday back for 2026 Bowman. Willits will certainly break $100 but he's a high floor/low ceiling type of first rounder.
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Old 12-23-2025, 01:32 PM   #121
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I don't see mega exclusive autos on the checklist, does this mean 1st bowman autos can be found in megas...?
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Old 12-23-2025, 02:00 PM   #122
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RCCTHREE View Post
I don't see mega exclusive autos on the checklist, does this mean 1st bowman autos can be found in megas...?
Bowman Draft is a different animal than which you speak of


but! I may be wrong here... says two exclusive packs.


edit: who knows what's going on?

Last edited by Chrominator; 12-23-2025 at 02:04 PM.
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Old 12-23-2025, 02:09 PM   #123
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Ruben's got me all jumbled up
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Old 12-23-2025, 04:08 PM   #124
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RCCTHREE View Post
I don't see mega exclusive autos on the checklist, does this mean 1st bowman autos can be found in megas...?
Unless I missed it, I don't believe there is a mega box checklist yet.
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Old 12-23-2025, 04:26 PM   #125
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full parallel info added.

First Buzz: 2025 Bowman Draft baseball cards >> https://www.blowoutcards.com/blog/fi...baseball-cards
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