Guaranteed 20 Case (Hobby, HTA & LITE) 2022 Bowman Chrome Player Auction - Page 5

crpav · 11-18-2022, 10:06 AM

Sounds like a staggered release. Hobby 23rd, hta 25th and lite the 30th.

marterburn · 11-18-2022, 10:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BryceSnape

Can someone please check my math:
7 Hobby Cases * 12 boxes per case * 2 autos = 168 autos
7 HTA Cases * 12 boxes per case * 3 autos = 252 autos
6 Lite Cases * 16 boxes * [super rare] = ~30 autos (total guess!)

In total, I count 111 Prospect autos. At a minimum, 420 autos from Hobby/HTA so about 4 autos per prospect, give or take.

General Disclaimer: Lite cases may increase the auto count, but rookie autos may decrease it. Some players are likely SP; some aren't. etc. etc.

Look right to everyone?

Thanks!

Math is right, but insert autos cut into this number quite a bit. I'd say it's ~3.5 autos as an expectation. The math isn't worth sussing out to me, but it's something like that.

bub838 · 11-18-2022, 10:25 AM

CPA-IL Ian Lewis $20
CPA-JCO Jaison Chourio $210
CPA-JCO Jackson Chourio $1,100
CPA-RCA Ricardo Cabrera $120
CPA-SJ Simon Juan $75
CPA-SZ Samuel Zavala $30
CPA-YD Yordany De Los Santos $40

BCP-166 Yordany De Los Santos $30
BCP-170 Simon Juan $30
BCP-174 Jaison Chourio $20
BCP-191 Yanquiel Fernandez $30

jswain11 · 11-18-2022, 10:38 AM

CPA-CP Cesar Prieto $20
CPA-DW Donta Williams $20
CPA-ID Isaac De Leon $20
CPA-JR John Rhodes $20
CPA-MH Maikol Hernandez $20
CPA-RT Reed Trimble $25
34 George Kirby $12

Grave252 · 11-18-2022, 10:55 AM

CPA-JR $10

zworykin · 11-18-2022, 11:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Grave252

CPA-JR $10

Always rember to include the name. There are 2 cards on this checklist with that same card number, so Houdini can't even tell who you're trying to bid for in this case.

Also the starting bid for both of them is $20 anyway...

RK8604 · 11-18-2022, 11:26 AM

BCP-216 Roberto Campos $25
23 Matt Manning & SP Variations $12

jlake4321 · 11-18-2022, 11:33 AM

CPA-MH Maikol Hernandez $50
BCP-MH Maikol Hernandez $35

aross50 · 11-18-2022, 11:36 AM

34 George Kirby $20

dte421 · 11-18-2022, 11:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BryceSnape

Can someone please check my math:
7 Hobby Cases * 12 boxes per case * 2 autos = 168 autos
7 HTA Cases * 12 boxes per case * 3 autos = 252 autos
6 Lite Cases * 16 boxes * [super rare] = ~30 autos (total guess!)

In total, I count 111 Prospect autos. At a minimum, 420 autos from Hobby/HTA so about 4 autos per prospect, give or take.

General Disclaimer: Lite cases may increase the auto count, but rookie autos may decrease it. Some players are likely SP; some aren't. etc. etc.

Look right to everyone?

Thanks!

If I remember correctly, the Lite autos are MUCH rarer than that. I believe it was about 1:200 packs, which is less than one per case.

busyb3 · 11-18-2022, 11:50 AM

6 Reid Detmers $10
8 Joe Ryan $10
44 Edward Cabrera $10

crpav · 11-18-2022, 11:52 AM

Realized chrome spots in this are not as plentiful compared to draft and regular bowman due to the hta cases. So all around with that plus higher auto list and lite cutting down autos it’s a lower average than past.

reddragonthe · 11-18-2022, 12:00 PM

Lots of variables to consider that may adjust slightly. Lite may not have all 111 subjects, players SP or missing base. Players being only base. Players missing some parallels. Adjustments to parallel distribution. Different RC auto insertion rates than the past. Lite having more autos than last year. And probably 5-10 more if you wanted to get creative.

But if you take 2021 chrome and just do some slight adjustments for what we know (111 prospect autos, 14 RC autos, gold mini diamond autos), the 7/7/6 format on average would get you:

1.4 prospect autos per spot in hobby (7 cases)
2.3 prospect autos per spot in jumbo (7 cases)
0.04 prospect autos per spot in Lite (6 cases)
3.75 total on average

0.43 RC auto per spot in hobby
0.54 RC auto per spot in HTA
0.97 total on average

If they don’t change print run (I think they will) and just replace base from last year with more players and the accompanying parallel volume, base

arallel will be like 55:45. If they up the PR then we’d end up skewed more towards base.

Grave252 · 11-18-2022, 12:09 PM

CPA-JR John Rhodes $20

crpav · 11-18-2022, 12:16 PM

BCP-185 Jose Rodriguez $20
BCP-212 Colson Montgomery $20
CPA-TM Tanner McDougal $25

aross50 · 11-18-2022, 12:37 PM

44 Edward Cabrera $16

Bholthockey · 11-18-2022, 12:41 PM

CPA-CRL Ceddanne Rafaela $300

zworykin · 11-18-2022, 12:50 PM

If they don't increase the run on rookie autos this year given the names, I'd be very surprised.

victus sports · 11-18-2022, 01:19 PM

CPA-SZ Samuel Zavala $50
CPA-JBA Jorge Barrosa $40

VinnyH · 11-18-2022, 01:28 PM

BCP-220 Denzer Guzman $20
Thanks,
Vinny

tronjavoltaa · 11-18-2022, 01:51 PM

CPA-JCO Jaison Chourio 220
39 Steven Kwan 30
7 Gabriel Arias 30

Robsut · 11-18-2022, 01:52 PM

CPA-ad Alex de Jesus 50

Robsut · 11-18-2022, 01:56 PM

CPA -yms Yasser Mercedes $100

aross50 · 11-18-2022, 02:05 PM

39 Steven Kwan $35

Joe R · 11-18-2022, 02:15 PM

CPA-AD Alex De Jesus. $25
CPA-AO Alexander Ovalies $25
CPA-APA Adrian Sugastey. $20
CAP-CC Colin Conley. $25
CPA-CP. Ceser Prieto $25
CPA- CW. Charlie Welch. $25
CPA-DL Daylen Lile $20
CPA-DW. Donta Williams $25
CPA-EL Evan Lee. $20
CPA-GA. Graham Ashcraft $20
CPA-GC Greg Cullen. $20
CPA-IL Ian Lewis $25
CPA-JBA. Jorge Barrosa $20
CPA-JR John Rhodes. $20
CPA-JR Jaden Rudd. $25
CPA-JV. Jorbit Vivas. $25
CPA-KK Kevin Kendal. $25
CPA-LB Leonardo Balcazar. $20
CPA-LC. Luis Chevalier. $20
CPA-KM. Luis Meza. $20
CPA-MH. Maikol Hernandez. $20
CPA-QH. Quincy Hamilton. $25
CPA-RD Rayne Doncon. $20
CPA-SE Sebastian Espino. $20
CPA-SMZ. Simon Muzziotti. $20
CPA-TF Thomas Farr. $20
CPA-VL Victor Labrada. $20
CPA-YD. Yordany De Los Santos $25
CPA-YR. Yendry Rojas $25
CRA-BS. Bryson Stott $35
CRA-HG. Hunter Greene $25
CRA-OC. Oniel Cruz $140
All-American Game Autos $25

11-18-2022, 11:26 AM	#107
RK8604 Member Join Date: Aug 2014 Location: Grand Rapids, MI Posts: 1,205 rk8604	BCP-216 Roberto Campos $25 23 Matt Manning & SP Variations $12 __________________ PC: Riley Greene Green parallel name color match PC, 60+ unique cards and counting!

11-18-2022, 12:00 PM	#113
reddragonthe Member Join Date: May 2016 Posts: 3,359 rddrgnthe	Lots of variables to consider that may adjust slightly. Lite may not have all 111 subjects, players SP or missing base. Players being only base. Players missing some parallels. Adjustments to parallel distribution. Different RC auto insertion rates than the past. Lite having more autos than last year. And probably 5-10 more if you wanted to get creative. But if you take 2021 chrome and just do some slight adjustments for what we know (111 prospect autos, 14 RC autos, gold mini diamond autos), the 7/7/6 format on average would get you: 1.4 prospect autos per spot in hobby (7 cases) 2.3 prospect autos per spot in jumbo (7 cases) 0.04 prospect autos per spot in Lite (6 cases) 3.75 total on average 0.43 RC auto per spot in hobby 0.54 RC auto per spot in HTA 0.97 total on average If they don’t change print run (I think they will) and just replace base from last year with more players and the accompanying parallel volume, basearallel will be like 55:45. If they up the PR then we’d end up skewed more towards base.

11-18-2022, 10:06 AM	#101
crpav Member Join Date: Apr 2019 Posts: 3,176	Sounds like a staggered release. Hobby 23rd, hta 25th and lite the 30th.

11-18-2022, 10:25 AM	#103
bub838 Member Join Date: Mar 2022 Posts: 5,017	CPA-IL Ian Lewis $20 CPA-JCO Jaison Chourio $210 CPA-JCO Jackson Chourio $1,100 CPA-RCA Ricardo Cabrera $120 CPA-SJ Simon Juan $75 CPA-SZ Samuel Zavala $30 CPA-YD Yordany De Los Santos $40 BCP-166 Yordany De Los Santos $30 BCP-170 Simon Juan $30 BCP-174 Jaison Chourio $20 BCP-191 Yanquiel Fernandez $30

11-18-2022, 10:38 AM	#104
jswain11 Member Join Date: May 2018 Posts: 216 fivetoolsportscards	CPA-CP Cesar Prieto $20 CPA-DW Donta Williams $20 CPA-ID Isaac De Leon $20 CPA-JR John Rhodes $20 CPA-MH Maikol Hernandez $20 CPA-RT Reed Trimble $25 34 George Kirby $12

11-18-2022, 10:55 AM	#105
Grave252 Member Join Date: Apr 2022 Posts: 563	CPA-JR $10

11-18-2022, 11:33 AM	#108
jlake4321 Member Join Date: Nov 2022 Location: New York Posts: 6 Jlakee4321	CPA-MH Maikol Hernandez $50 BCP-MH Maikol Hernandez $35

11-18-2022, 11:36 AM	#109
aross50 Member Join Date: Dec 2021 Location: Rochester, NY Posts: 72 aross50	34 George Kirby $20

11-18-2022, 11:50 AM	#111
busyb3 Member Join Date: Nov 2008 Location: Nashville, TN Posts: 1,624 mean2gene	6 Reid Detmers $10 8 Joe Ryan $10 44 Edward Cabrera $10

11-18-2022, 11:52 AM	#112
crpav Member Join Date: Apr 2019 Posts: 3,176	Realized chrome spots in this are not as plentiful compared to draft and regular bowman due to the hta cases. So all around with that plus higher auto list and lite cutting down autos it’s a lower average than past.

11-18-2022, 12:09 PM	#114
Grave252 Member Join Date: Apr 2022 Posts: 563	CPA-JR John Rhodes $20

11-18-2022, 12:16 PM	#115
crpav Member Join Date: Apr 2019 Posts: 3,176	BCP-185 Jose Rodriguez $20 BCP-212 Colson Montgomery $20 CPA-TM Tanner McDougal $25

11-18-2022, 12:37 PM	#116
aross50 Member Join Date: Dec 2021 Location: Rochester, NY Posts: 72 aross50	44 Edward Cabrera $16

11-18-2022, 12:41 PM	#117
Bholthockey Member Join Date: Jul 2022 Posts: 1	CPA-CRL Ceddanne Rafaela $300

11-18-2022, 12:50 PM	#118
zworykin Member Join Date: Aug 2021 Location: Queens, NY Posts: 6,072 zworykin2	If they don't increase the run on rookie autos this year given the names, I'd be very surprised.

11-18-2022, 01:19 PM	#119
victus sports Member Join Date: Apr 2015 Location: King of Prussia Posts: 2,249 auto_collector_213	CPA-SZ Samuel Zavala $50 CPA-JBA Jorge Barrosa $40

11-18-2022, 01:51 PM	#121
tronjavoltaa Member Join Date: Apr 2020 Location: Cleveland, OH Posts: 139 greatlakessportscards	CPA-JCO Jaison Chourio 220 39 Steven Kwan 30 7 Gabriel Arias 30

11-18-2022, 01:52 PM	#122
Robsut Member Join Date: Nov 2022 Posts: 3	CPA-ad Alex de Jesus 50

11-18-2022, 01:56 PM	#123
Robsut Member Join Date: Nov 2022 Posts: 3	CPA -yms Yasser Mercedes $100

11-18-2022, 02:05 PM	#124
aross50 Member Join Date: Dec 2021 Location: Rochester, NY Posts: 72 aross50	39 Steven Kwan $35

11-18-2022, 02:15 PM	#125
Joe R Member Join Date: Sep 2020 Posts: 304	CPA-AD Alex De Jesus. $25 CPA-AO Alexander Ovalies $25 CPA-APA Adrian Sugastey. $20 CAP-CC Colin Conley. $25 CPA-CP. Ceser Prieto $25 CPA- CW. Charlie Welch. $25 CPA-DL Daylen Lile $20 CPA-DW. Donta Williams $25 CPA-EL Evan Lee. $20 CPA-GA. Graham Ashcraft $20 CPA-GC Greg Cullen. $20 CPA-IL Ian Lewis $25 CPA-JBA. Jorge Barrosa $20 CPA-JR John Rhodes. $20 CPA-JR Jaden Rudd. $25 CPA-JV. Jorbit Vivas. $25 CPA-KK Kevin Kendal. $25 CPA-LB Leonardo Balcazar. $20 CPA-LC. Luis Chevalier. $20 CPA-KM. Luis Meza. $20 CPA-MH. Maikol Hernandez. $20 CPA-QH. Quincy Hamilton. $25 CPA-RD Rayne Doncon. $20 CPA-SE Sebastian Espino. $20 CPA-SMZ. Simon Muzziotti. $20 CPA-TF Thomas Farr. $20 CPA-VL Victor Labrada. $20 CPA-YD. Yordany De Los Santos $25 CPA-YR. Yendry Rojas $25 CRA-BS. Bryson Stott $35 CRA-HG. Hunter Greene $25 CRA-OC. Oniel Cruz $140 All-American Game Autos $25