2020 Bowman MLS Coming 8/17

[psochaps]

Originally Posted by fsu2007

Nice!!! How many packs did you order?

100. So hopefully selling one complete set is safe. If I can’t make a set from 100 boxes, I’ll 😭!

[fsu2007]

Originally Posted by psochaps

100. So hopefully selling one complete set is safe. If I can’t make a set from 100 boxes, I’ll 😭!

yeah that would be rough if you can't. I can help since I won't have much of a shot at a complete set.

[armoursave]

M9ne finally shipped! Excited

[psochaps]

I just checked my tracking and no movement yet! Let’s get these moving Topps!

[reddragonthe]

Did anyone get any yet or have we confirmed if they have "boxes" or anything? I tried to order in multiples of likely box size just for ease and hope that they have something like that.

[fsu2007]

Originally Posted by psochaps

I just checked my tracking and no movement yet! Let’s get these moving Topps!

Mine have been picked up. I’m in Florida and probably will get them on Monday

[psochaps]

Originally Posted by reddragonthe

Did anyone get any yet or have we confirmed if they have "boxes" or anything? I tried to order in multiples of likely box size just for ease and hope that they have something like that.

On Demand have their own black boxes, pack will be inside.

[psochaps]

Originally Posted by fsu2007

Mine have been picked up. I’m in Florida and probably will get them on Monday

Just received my FedEx email. Roll on Tuesday or Wednesday for delivery 💥

[fsu2007]

Mine are on the truck for delivery today.

[whiplash101]

Awesome! Post pics if you can after you open them!!!

[psochaps]

Good luck 🍀! And post photos of the parallels.

[psumac]

Originally Posted by psochaps

100. So hopefully selling one complete set is safe. If I can’t make a set from 100 boxes, I’ll 😭!

i'm calculating about a 1 in 3 shot that you don't complete a base set based on the numbers of base cards that another member posted. his math came out to 37,780 base cards out of 68,580 total cards in the print run. since you're getting 1,000 cards total, only about 551 of them are going to be base cards.

take random player X, there's a 99/100 chance you don't get that player on any single base card. so the chance you don't get player X in 551 base cards is (99/100)^551 = 0.39%. this means you have a 99.61% chance of getting at least one of player X.

BUT there are 100 different player X's in the set. so the probability of getting at least 1 of every player is 99.61%^100 = 67.41%, which means you have a 32.59% chance of NOT completing the full base set.

of course, all of this assume independence which isn't exactly true given the limited print run, but it's pretty close.

[psochaps]

Originally Posted by psumac

i'm calculating about a 1 in 3 shot that you don't complete a base set based on the numbers of base cards that another member posted. his math came out to 37,780 base cards out of 68,580 total cards in the print run. since you're getting 1,000 cards total, only about 551 of them are going to be base cards.

take random player X, there's a 99/100 chance you don't get that player on any single base card. so the chance you don't get player X in 551 base cards is (99/100)^551 = 0.39%. this means you have a 99.61% chance of getting at least one of player X.

BUT there are 100 different player X's in the set. so the probability of getting at least 1 of every player is 99.61%^100 = 67.41%, which means you have a 32.59% chance of NOT completing the full base set.

of course, all of this assume independence which isn't exactly true given the limited print run, but it's pretty close.

Very much appreciated! I love the math wizards on these boards!! Thanks 🙏

[psochaps]

First cards hitting ebay.. Look good

[fsu2007]

Ok first pack open and only 1 numbered card


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

[whiplash101]

Weird based on the number of packs ordered there should be more than that... Unless topps is holding some back

[fsu2007]

First 3 packs open and only 1 numbered in each. It is the second card each time.

[fsu2007]

this was the first pack numbered card.

[fsu2007]

The cards are also not flimsy like regular bowman cards. Thicker stock or something

[psochaps]

Originally Posted by fsu2007

this was the first pack numbered card.

You will survive so! 😂
But, I thought we were going to see 3 parallel per box.
Maybe it will turnout like one of those baseball releases last year where they said that they only packed out a percentage of the parallels. I remember people saying that a card /10 and only four cards actually made it into the packs. This will be interesting!!!

[whiplash101]

Man that will seriously suck but if there's really only one per pack then it seems that's what's happening. Hopefully they at least put in all the one of ones and one of fives.

[fsu2007]

So I opened all 20. All packs only had 1 numbered card but all packs had 10 base cards. You guys will like the gloss and sturdiness of the base cards. I’ll put some pics up in a bit but I did hit the 1/1 and 2 reds out of 5

[psochaps]

Originally Posted by fsu2007

So I opened all 20. All packs only had 1 numbered card but all packs had 10 base cards. You guys will like the gloss and sturdiness of the base cards. I’ll put some pics up in a bit but I did hit the 1/1 and 2 reds out of 5

Nice break for 20 boxes. Yes, the cards look nice!
Obviously, they haven’t packed out the full print run of parallel cards which is similar to what they did on baseball last year. Keeping the pack odds of one parallel per box. This will drive the prices on parallel cards once people figure it out....

[fsu2007]

91/100 for a base set. Hopefully I can trade to finish it

[psochaps]

Originally Posted by fsu2007

91/100 for a base set. Hopefully I can trade to finish it

Good news! I’ll send you what you need once my boxes come in.