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Old 05-17-2020, 07:38 PM   #1001
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It's funny, cause many of us have come back after a long time away. I've been back in for about 6 months now and feel at I'm at a consistent disadvantage to those with years of ongoing experience. But at the same time, it seems the market has changed and there's a new normal even before the pandemic. People are genuinely interested in cards and that changes the value for better or worse. I just hope I didn't terribly overbid on the books...
I actually really dig the game theory and higher math type elements to all of this. I know I overbid for my spots but I’m still happy that I got them. At least baseball prospecting can be +EV. Chasing $20k case of basketball base cards for old fast
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Old 05-17-2020, 07:40 PM   #1002
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I'm fine with that viewpoint on not sharing. I doubt what I did does anything, because, it's just my opinion, and I'm nobody.

That's one way of looking at how to bid on prospect autos. I look at it two ways, depending on the # of cases in the break. Either A) figure out a value per case you're willing to pay, and no big deal if it goes way over that, or B) figure out a value for each auto of your guy. Then bid that times the 0.4 per case or whatever it is, plus a little for potential color.

And yeah, be careful on those RC auto spots. If you get two of your guy, that's about right based on odds. Getting 0 is definitely in play.

I've never bought paper before, so I trust you there.

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this is not the thread for discussion.
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Old 05-17-2020, 07:46 PM   #1003
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this is not the thread for discussion.


Edit: let me clarify. By virtue of this being the 3rd person telling me the same thing, I will oblige.

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Last edited by marterburn; 05-17-2020 at 08:03 PM.
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Old 05-17-2020, 08:34 PM   #1004
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Canaan Smith auto 75$
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Old 05-17-2020, 08:36 PM   #1005
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Leonel Valera auto $65
Omar Estevez Auto $35
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Old 05-17-2020, 08:42 PM   #1006
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Bryce Ball auto $120
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Old 05-17-2020, 08:46 PM   #1007
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Originally Posted by lubinsdr View Post
It's funny, cause many of us have come back after a long time away. I've been back in for about 6 months now and feel at I'm at a consistent disadvantage to those with years of ongoing experience. But at the same time, it seems the market has changed and there's a new normal even before the pandemic. People are genuinely interested in cards and that changes the value for better or worse. I just hope I didn't terribly overbid on the books...

But 90% of the new people really aren’t interested in the cards themselves. They are just looking to gamble and play the greater fool game.


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Old 05-17-2020, 08:51 PM   #1008
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Ford Proctor Rays auto $30
Jeremy Pena Astros $85
Luis Patino Padres auto $115
Quin Cotton Reds auto $85
Omar Estevez Dodgers auto $85
Ruben Cardenas Rays auto $30
Sherten Apostel Rangers auto $145
Thomas Dillard Brewers auto $85

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Old 05-17-2020, 08:56 PM   #1009
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Just to clarify, there are no spots ending tonight in this auction? Is that correct?


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Old 05-17-2020, 09:10 PM   #1010
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Just to clarify, there are no spots ending tonight in this auction? Is that correct?
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That's my understanding as well. I still can't shake the feeling of impending stress as the 11:00 hour approaches...
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Old 05-17-2020, 09:23 PM   #1011
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Alvaro Seijas auto $40
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Old 05-17-2020, 09:27 PM   #1012
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Jasseel de la Cruz auto Braves $40
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Old 05-17-2020, 09:30 PM   #1013
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JJ Bleday Marlins $120
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Old 05-17-2020, 09:30 PM   #1014
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Jeremy Pena auto astros $50
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Old 05-17-2020, 09:33 PM   #1015
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Joey Cantillo auto padres $50
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Old 05-17-2020, 10:05 PM   #1016
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Aristides Aquino (RC) Reds $ 110.00
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Old 05-17-2020, 10:05 PM   #1017
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Leonal Valera Auto $70
Estevez Auto $70
Pena $55


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Old 05-17-2020, 10:06 PM   #1018
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Joey Cantillo auto padres $50
Both auto spots you bidded on are already higher than your bid
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Old 05-17-2020, 10:21 PM   #1019
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Aristides Aquino (RC) Reds $115
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Old 05-17-2020, 10:34 PM   #1020
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AJ Puk RC auto - $50
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Old 05-17-2020, 10:41 PM   #1021
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Originally Posted by lubinsdr View Post
It's funny, cause many of us have come back after a long time away. I've been back in for about 6 months now and feel at I'm at a consistent disadvantage to those with years of ongoing experience. But at the same time, it seems the market has changed and there's a new normal even before the pandemic. People are genuinely interested in cards and that changes the value for better or worse. I just hope I didn't terribly overbid on the books...
What he said...

Got the Franco spot and I know 2019 was his year but after looking at current prices I hope his hype carries over, because I'm thinking I'll be paying a bit much.
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Old 05-17-2020, 10:58 PM   #1022
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Omar Estevez auto $40
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Old 05-17-2020, 11:08 PM   #1023
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At the risk of "sharing" too much again, this can be added to the auto list, per eBay:

Hogan Harris - Oakland Athletics
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Old 05-17-2020, 11:22 PM   #1024
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Old 05-17-2020, 11:26 PM   #1025
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Ruben Cardenas Rays auto $40
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