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Old 02-05-2025, 11:28 AM   #451
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Just to show the ugly side - I'm up to 14 boxes of Hawkeye and have only hit one auto so far. And its a Fra Fee.

Even at 75% off, I'm still getting killed.
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Old 02-05-2025, 11:30 AM   #452
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What were the Hawkeye boxes going for on sale?

I was surprised when I went on eBay to see the prices of the "big" autos.

Jeremy Renner auto sales from the Hawkeye set trended right around $100-$120 for most, with even an "Authentic" PSA Jeremy Renner Card from the Hawkeye set with a 10 Auto Grade only fetching $102, with the highest being around $220 for a holiday Hawkeye Jeremy Renner auto #d 001/100 going for $220.

On the other hand, the Hailee Steinfeld autos were mostly $260-$360, with an outlier here or there (probably a poor listing ending time) going for $120-200 - and on the high end, some outliers going for as high as $380-$400 back in November 2024.

Didn't watch the show, not familiar with her other than she played Kate Bishop in that shows and dates the quarterback for the Bills.
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Old 02-05-2025, 11:33 AM   #453
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jaysabz View Post
What were the Hawkeye boxes going for on sale?

I was surprised when I went on eBay to see the prices of the "big" autos.

Jeremy Renner auto sales from the Hawkeye set trended right around $100-$120 for most, with even an "Authentic" PSA Jeremy Renner Card from the Hawkeye set with a 10 Auto Grade only fetching $102, with the highest being around $220 for a holiday Hawkeye Jeremy Renner auto #d 001/100 going for $220.

On the other hand, the Hailee Steinfeld autos were mostly $260-$360, with an outlier here or there (probably a poor listing ending time) going for $120-200 - and on the high end, some outliers going for as high as $380-$400 back in November 2024.

Didn't watch the show, not familiar with her other than she played Kate Bishop in that shows and dates the quarterback for the Bills.
$21.75 / box
$255.00 / case
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Old 02-05-2025, 11:36 AM   #454
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I think the small auto checklist gives false hope of hitting a Renner/Hailee, while the other sets with the larger auto checklist turn some folks off knowing they would hit a no name much easier on a case break.
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Old 02-05-2025, 11:47 AM   #455
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$21.75 / box
$255.00 / case
Wow, so if you hit a Steinfeld you're basically paying for the case. Makes me wish I watched the show!

I'm not sure if they did it with the Hawkeye set, but I liked how you could combine 10 digital base for one physical - then 5 physical for one gold border, etc.

With prices like that and if you were into the show, you could probably put some nice rare(r) sets together!
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Old 02-05-2025, 11:55 AM   #456
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IF anyone pulls FC-39 the salma hayek tier 4 film cel from eternal please let me know it is the only card i am missing for the achievement thanks
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Old 02-05-2025, 12:14 PM   #457
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Originally Posted by jbettis32 View Post
No one opens Eternals? Only saw the auto pulled from the Hawkeye....
most of the main stars go for 60-90, so might as well buy online instead. Skarsgard, Brian Tyree Henry, Barry Keoghan
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Old 02-05-2025, 12:31 PM   #458
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jaysabz View Post
What were the Hawkeye boxes going for on sale?

I was surprised when I went on eBay to see the prices of the "big" autos.

Jeremy Renner auto sales from the Hawkeye set trended right around $100-$120 for most, with even an "Authentic" PSA Jeremy Renner Card from the Hawkeye set with a 10 Auto Grade only fetching $102, with the highest being around $220 for a holiday Hawkeye Jeremy Renner auto #d 001/100 going for $220.

On the other hand, the Hailee Steinfeld autos were mostly $260-$360, with an outlier here or there (probably a poor listing ending time) going for $120-200 - and on the high end, some outliers going for as high as $380-$400 back in November 2024.

Didn't watch the show, not familiar with her other than she played Kate Bishop in that shows and dates the quarterback for the Bills.

fantastic time to pick up some singles if you are patient and have excess funds


This is the reflexive nature of the price, as more supply come onto the market short term. It is also the symptom of disconnect between busters/resellers and collectors (not only the smaller and smaller cross section, but also the difference in numbers)
More than anything imagine them trying to flush a whole year worth of products in epack format, in a couple months, and instead of ppl able to save them for later (keeping sealed, invest, future bust or whatever), you have to realise the content now.
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Old 02-05-2025, 12:32 PM   #459
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Originally Posted by Sickleclaw View Post
That's why I decided to stop after getting one auto.... (Thankfully it was that dual)

But yeah I considered getting a case to hopefully get a Hailee but in the end I decided against it.
Crushed another 9 boxes and got 2 Renners, woulda preferred one being Hailee. Time to really get off the train
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Old 02-05-2025, 12:49 PM   #460
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Quote:
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I think the small auto checklist gives false hope of hitting a Renner/Hailee, while the other sets with the larger auto checklist turn some folks off knowing they would hit a no name much easier on a case break.
you can work out pretty much the odds of pulling either a Hailey or Renner though...

for non serial ones, they are all group A

autographs - group A - 1:1227
autograph horizontal - group A - 1:5960
Holiday Sweater auto - group A - 1:3893

meaning for non serial autos of H/R, they appear ~ 1:806.4 packs

Now the serial ones there are total of 49*2+25*2+25+75+100*2+25*2 = 498 additional (this include duals)

now with around 48000 hobby/epack boxes that means serial H/R autos are
approximately 1:1445 packs

so total odds of pulling auto of either one of them is around approx 1:507 packs, or around 1: 33.8 boxes (I would caution against making assumption that hailey signed as many as renner in the unnumbered....but if you want to make that assumption then Haileys are aroound 1:67 boxes to pull)
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Last edited by Xiarmadillo; 02-05-2025 at 12:55 PM.
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Old 02-05-2025, 01:07 PM   #461
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MK now sold out
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Old 02-05-2025, 01:23 PM   #462
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MK now sold out
…a few days ago. Nice for UD to finally notice.
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Old 02-05-2025, 01:29 PM   #463
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Xiarmadillo View Post
you can work out pretty much the odds of pulling either a Hailey or Renner though...

for non serial ones, they are all group A

autographs - group A - 1:1227
autograph horizontal - group A - 1:5960
Holiday Sweater auto - group A - 1:3893

meaning for non serial autos of H/R, they appear ~ 1:806.4 packs

Now the serial ones there are total of 49*2+25*2+25+75+100*2+25*2 = 498 additional (this include duals)

now with around 48000 hobby/epack boxes that means serial H/R autos are
approximately 1:1445 packs

so total odds of pulling auto of either one of them is around approx 1:507 packs, or around 1: 33.8 boxes (I would caution against making assumption that hailey signed as many as renner in the unnumbered....but if you want to make that assumption then Haileys are aroound 1:67 boxes to pull)

Yeah would explain my bad luck lol. I figured UD took a few days for them to notice...at the rate Hawkeye is getting pulled I figure its next.
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Old 02-05-2025, 01:36 PM   #464
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wolverine011 View Post
Crushed another 9 boxes and got 2 Renners, woulda preferred one being Hailee. Time to really get off the train
Based on eBay sales, those two paid for your 9 boxes, then a couple bucks extra!
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Old 02-05-2025, 02:04 PM   #465
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What are the hottests set on e-pack for Marvel, that if they went on sale for 50-75% off would disappear first?

I'm guessing, in order:

1. Flair?
2. Midnight Sons?
3. Anime Vol 2?
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Old 02-05-2025, 02:09 PM   #466
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jaysabz View Post
What are the hottests set on e-pack for Marvel, that if they went on sale for 50-75% off would disappear first?

I'm guessing, in order:

1. Flair?
2. Midnight Sons?
3. Anime Vol 2?
If I had to guess, it would take a 75 to sell them...but at 75, Flaire, then midnight suns then anime in that order.
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Old 02-05-2025, 04:00 PM   #467
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Looks the site is struggling right now. I have some boxes it’s not letting me open. Just the spinning wheel of death.
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Old 02-05-2025, 04:12 PM   #468
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jaysabz View Post
What are the hottests set on e-pack for Marvel, that if they went on sale for 50-75% off would disappear first?

I'm guessing, in order:

1. Flair?
2. Midnight Sons?
3. Anime Vol 2?
I think Flair at 50% is a decent rip. They have been selling a good amount each time, judging by how much the achievements get eaten up. If it went to 75% off I'd buy a ton, personally. Might slow down after achievements are gone but at sub $50 per box you could probably just make your money back selling sets and singles
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Old 02-05-2025, 04:47 PM   #469
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I think Flair at 50% is a decent rip. They have been selling a good amount each time, judging by how much the achievements get eaten up. If it went to 75% off I'd buy a ton, personally. Might slow down after achievements are gone but at sub $50 per box you could probably just make your money back selling sets and singles
Right, but I think any of the main UD sets you could make your money back if you hit one sketch. At under 50 a box it would be much more monetarily feasible to try.
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Old 02-05-2025, 05:16 PM   #470
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opened 7 more3 hawkeye boxes last night and got nothing of note...
opened 1 box today and got a renner adornment auto #/49

will wait and try again tomorrow
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Old 02-05-2025, 06:00 PM   #471
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Originally Posted by Sickleclaw View Post
Right, but I think any of the main UD sets you could make your money back if you hit one sketch. At under 50 a box it would be much more monetarily feasible to try.
Hitting sketch in any of the marvel products is very difficult.
I had better luck hitting autos which partially pays for the boxes/cases.

Hopefully, we'll have Flair on sale at 75%. I like the set and would be good to get some of the limited number cards to complete the set.
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Old 02-05-2025, 06:21 PM   #472
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Originally Posted by notoriousrmb View Post
Just to show the ugly side - I'm up to 14 boxes of Hawkeye and have only hit one auto so far. And its a Fra Fee.

Even at 75% off, I'm still getting killed.
dang sorry man! that is awful. Did you buy cases or single boxes?
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Old 02-05-2025, 09:28 PM   #473
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3 more boxes and got nothing except a Kate Bishop Trick Shot insert /10. I’m done now.
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Old 02-05-2025, 09:47 PM   #474
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I didn't do well on Hawkeye (only 1 Vera auto) in like 10+ boxes.

Bought 4 Eternals and got the following 4 hits:
2023 Upper Deck Marvel Eternals - Immortals and Mortals - Autographs #IM-12 - Lia McHugh as Sprite /49
2023 Upper Deck Marvel Eternals - Eternal Ink Autographs #EI2-HP - Harish Patel as Karun Patel
2023 Upper Deck Marvel Eternals - Eternal Ink Horizontal Autographs #EID2-GC Gemma Chan as Sersi
2023 Upper Deck Marvel Eternals - Stars Are Eternal Metal #SE-1
Phastos

Very good ROI on that $130.
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Old 02-05-2025, 10:10 PM   #475
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Box #42

Finally my gambling fever is quelled
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