2018 Bowman Draft - 20 JUMBO Case - Pick your Player! #2

[dthimesch]

ok, going live again.

[dthimesch]

case #17

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Case #18

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Case #19

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Case #20

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Recap Videos:

Case #17



Case #18



Case #19



Case #20

[Hail2TheVictors]

Thanks for the break, Dave.

Luck wasn't good in this one, but you'll have that. Not a single color auto in 20 cases of my guy. Same thing happened to my guy in Houdini's 24 caser.

[GardnerMotors]

Thanks for the Break Dave...NICE JOB !!!

My Final Count
CDA-GJ Greyson Jenista
04 Base Auto
03 Refractor Auto
01 Sparkle Auto
01 Purple Auto

BDC-31 Greyson Jenista
01 Sky Blue Chrome
01 Sparkle Chrome

BDC-73 Grayson Rodriguez
01 Gold Chrome
02 Sky Blue Chrome
01 Blue Chrome

BDC-107 Jo Adell
NO HITS

BDC-158 Connor Scott
01 Green Chrome
02 Sky Blue Chrome
01 Purple Chrome
01 Orange Chrome

BDC-188 Luis Robert
01 Sparkle Chrome

Overall very nice results
Adell Non Existent and Robert only one hit
Scott got some nice color
Jenista autos were not great in the color department but quanity ended up very nice....

[KhalDrogo]

Sounds pretty crazy to go 20 cases on a chrome spot and not hit anything.

But there should be 27-28 color, no including plates, per case. Gives you a 13.8% chance to hit your guy in any given case. So a 5.1% chance to go hitless in a 20 case break. In a 10 case break, it's a 22.6% chance.

[POKTRITON]

Thank you for the great break Dave!! Bohm really came on strong the final 10 cases.

Kelenic Autos:
Base-8
Purple-1
Photo Variation /99 -1
Gold Wave - 1
Red Wave - 1

Bohm Autos:
Base - 7
Refractor - 2
Green - 1
Photo Variation - 1
Gold Wave - 1

[dthimesch]

Originally Posted by KhalDrogo

Sounds pretty crazy to go 20 cases on a chrome spot and not hit anything.

But there should be 27-28 color, no including plates, per case. Gives you a 13.8% chance to hit your guy in any given case. So a 5.1% chance to go hitless in a 20 case break. In a 10 case break, it's a 22.6% chance.

Interesting to know the actual numbers on that. My experience, based solely on packaging everyone's stuff up lol those numbers would be pretty accurate. Seems each time there are 5-10 guys that unfortunately go completely hitless.

Originally Posted by POKTRITON

Thank you for the great break Dave!! Bohm really came on strong the final 10 cases.

Kelenic Autos:
Base-8
Purple-1
Photo Variation /99 -1
Gold Wave - 1
Red Wave - 1

Bohm Autos:
Base - 7
Refractor - 2
Green - 1
Photo Variation - 1
Gold Wave - 1

Those are some great numbers. Congrats on that Red Wave, its amazing.

[busyb3]

Congrats to all who killed it. Thanks Dave for pushing through yesterday to finish it off!

Cease
1 sky blue refractor

Medina
1 sky blue refractor
1 purple
1 green

Ready for round 3!

[VinnyH]

Thanks Dave,
I enjoyed checking in and watching. I think I’ll be getting a handful of non-auto box toppers. I look forward to a batch of Hannah’s also.
Best to All,
Vinny

[Cssll04]

Originally Posted by KhalDrogo

Sounds pretty crazy to go 20 cases on a chrome spot and not hit anything.

But there should be 27-28 color, no including plates, per case. Gives you a 13.8% chance to hit your guy in any given case. So a 5.1% chance to go hitless in a 20 case break. In a 10 case break, it's a 22.6% chance.

I follow the first calc (27.5/200) gives us a probability of 13.8% but how did you calculate the 5.1%? It seems way high

[reddragonthe]

Originally Posted by KhalDrogo

Sounds pretty crazy to go 20 cases on a chrome spot and not hit anything.

But there should be 27-28 color, no including plates, per case. Gives you a 13.8% chance to hit your guy in any given case. So a 5.1% chance to go hitless in a 20 case break. In a 10 case break, it's a 22.6% chance.

Even more dramatic if you look at blue and better which is really what everyone is hoping for when they think of hits. You should only get one every 30 cases or so. So “hitless” for that in 10-20 cases is pretty common.

[KhalDrogo]

Originally Posted by Cssll04

I follow the first calc (27.5/200) gives us a probability of 13.8% but how did you calculate the 5.1%? It seems way high

86.2% chance of NOT hitting your player in any given case. Take that to the 20th power and that gives you a 5.1% chance of not hitting your player in 20 consecutive cases.

[endthecurse]

A little rough...

CDA-JI Jonathan India (TOTAL AUTOS: 2)
BASE - 2

CDA-CSC Connor Scott (TOTAL AUTOS: 6)
BASE - 4
BLUE WAVE - 1
PURPLE - 1

CDA-TP Tristan Pompey (TOTAL AUTOS: 5)
BASE - 2
REFRACTOR - 2
GREEN - 1

[Highstubbs]

Osiris Johnson-- shut out, no hits
Griffin Conine 2 sky blues, purple and a green

Dave as always fun break, thank you very much for hosting

[salthill]

Originally Posted by salthill

I’m interested in what comes out for Pagan. I missed the price drop before going to sleep last night or I’d have taken it at $20. ($35 was too rich for me given his super has been pulled and sold.)
Good luck!

Originally Posted by dthimesch

Case #12

Well whadda ya know - the early bird really does get the worm. Congrats!

[notfast]

Solid break for my two auto spots:

Joe Gray - 11 total - 6 base, 2 ref, 2 purple, 1 black
Griffin Conine - 8 total - 4 base, 2 ref, 1 purple, 1 gold wave

Can't wait for round #2 (well technically 3 )

[dthimesch]

Just wanted to give you guys an update. This will be done being sorted tonight

[dthimesch]

All packages are packaged up. Printing labels tomorrow and sending them all on Saturday.

[bighunt172]

Damn man you are amazing

3 purple Alek Thomas autos
4 base autos. I’m happy with that


You running it back ?

[jasonhopkins]

Originally Posted by bighunt172

Damn man you are amazing

3 purple Alek Thomas autos
4 base autos. I’m happy with that


You running it back ?

He's currently running version 3 now..

[fly606us]

cards received, feedback left, lets do # 4