Sports betting thread - Page 145

AlexHunter · 02-18-2021, 10:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AlexHunter

Enjoying a true night off from betting- 100% no lives

good luck to all of you and may your bets be prosperous!!!!

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Looking at my notes from this morning I probably should have played my card.....

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JMarchand1981 · 02-18-2021, 10:14 PM

Guys, what's the better play here?

I have two futures bets to win the AO. Djokovic is one and he is in the final already. Medvedev is the other and he is a considerable favorite versus tsitsipas at like 3 am.

I think medvedev wins the match but I can hedge my futures bet by taking tsitsipas KNOWING that I will win either way in a djokovic/medvedev final.

The bigger question is do I want to make a boss move and go in on medvedev or do I want to do the fiscally prudent thing and take tsitsipas knowing that I would have all possibilities covered at that point?

AlexHunter · 02-18-2021, 10:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JMarchand1981

Guys, what's the better play here?

I have two futures bets to win the AO. Djokovic is one and he is in the final already. Medvedev is the other and he is a considerable favorite versus tsitsipas at like 3 am.

I think medvedev wins the match but I can hedge my futures bet by taking tsitsipas KNOWING that I will win either way in a djokovic/medvedev final.

The bigger question is do I want to make a boss move and go in on medvedev or do I want to do the fiscally prudent thing and take tsitsipas knowing that I would have all possibilities covered at that point?

I won’t give you any direct advice for your questions, I’m sorry.

However, knowing joker was like -120 and medvedev was like +400- why not hedge Tsitsipas future instead of semi???

If you hedge Tsit for the +475 futures at half the amount you bet for Djokovic you literally can not lose money.

Betting Tsit semi is not great odds and if you lose you lose the money with nothing to take from it. If you’re gonna hedge- hedge the future/final. Cuz no matter what you will have a +400-500 guy taking on the joker

If Tsit wins this match cool you win a little chunk- but then you’ll be compelled to hedge against joker again in the final wont you? Lol cuz if you don’t, you could technically lose Medvedev and Joker future and win the Tsit semi. Whoop-ty do.

Sorry if this is rambling to some but I know it makes 100 percent sense to JMarch lmao.

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Dacubs · 02-19-2021, 06:26 AM

ouch....bad night last night, lost half my betting money with the bucks losing, lakers losing, michigan not covering and about 5 over/unders that were off by a point....

todays another day after getting a little cocky from my winnings earlier in the week.

Gridiron Bob · 02-19-2021, 09:35 AM

The Saudi Cup is running this weekend. The favorite is the American import: Knicks Go

https://horseracingnation.ontraport.net/tl/1692

AlexHunter · 02-19-2021, 10:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gridiron Bob

The Saudi Cup is running this weekend. The favorite is the American import: Knicks Go

https://horseracingnation.ontraport.net/tl/1692

I’ll admit- as much as I love the ponies I don’t know very many of those international horses. Still- my money is on Charlatan in everything race he’s in until he loses. Bruh doesn’t know what it’s even like to look at another horses butt at a races finish!!!

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aaron2 · 02-19-2021, 06:37 PM

+195 for Zion and Booker to each score 25+

Dacubs · 02-19-2021, 08:46 PM

i swear, golden state warriors are the king of the comebacks!

aaron2 · 02-19-2021, 10:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aaron2

+195 for Zion and Booker to each score 25+

Both with 23 tonight....pain

JMarchand1981 · 02-19-2021, 10:46 PM

I had the Hawks to cover with a spread of +18.5.

I took that money and put it on the Suns ml when they were +170 and North Dakota State when they were +138.

I cashed out of both of those making some money there.

I just put some money on the Jazz ml. I don't plan on leaving it there. Just to ride the jazz to minus odds and take a my money off the table.

tennelson55 · 02-19-2021, 10:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JMarchand1981

I had the Hawks to cover with a spread of +18.5.

I took that money and put it on the Suns ml when they were +170 and North Dakota State when they were +138.

I cashed out of both of those making some money there.

I just put some money on the Jazz ml. I don't plan on leaving it there. Just to ride the jazz to minus odds and take a my money off the table.

ah, i am slammed on oppo side but didn't grab the +5 before the game before when pg and kawhi were questionable. should have taken it then; instead i'm on pk for the game and alt line -5.5 +130 live.

JMarchand1981 · 02-19-2021, 10:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AlexHunter

I won’t give you any direct advice for your questions, I’m sorry.

However, knowing joker was like -120 and medvedev was like +400- why not hedge Tsitsipas future instead of semi???

If you hedge Tsit for the +475 futures at half the amount you bet for Djokovic you literally can not lose money.

Betting Tsit semi is not great odds and if you lose you lose the money with nothing to take from it. If you’re gonna hedge- hedge the future/final. Cuz no matter what you will have a +400-500 guy taking on the joker

If Tsit wins this match cool you win a little chunk- but then you’ll be compelled to hedge against joker again in the final wont you? Lol cuz if you don’t, you could technically lose Medvedev and Joker future and win the Tsit semi. Whoop-ty do.

Sorry if this is rambling to some but I know it makes 100 percent sense to JMarch lmao.

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So, I was incredibly tired last night. I ended up just hedging with Tsitsipas. My thought was I would cover all basis by taking him last night.

Easy to say in retrospect, but Medvedev at -175 was a bargain. Again, easy to say when you know he wins in straight sets.

So I have no position in the womans final. I might drop a few bucks on Osaka. I have no faith in Brady. None. Plus, Osaka is the better player. Whereas there is no difference in ranking between the top 7-8 in woman's tennis, there is a massive drop off when you get to the mid-20's.

JMarchand1981 · 02-19-2021, 10:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tennelson55

ah, i am slammed on oppo side but didn't grab the +5 before the game before when pg and kawhi were questionable. should have taken it then; instead i'm on pk for the game and alt line -5.5 +130 live.

Well, you were right. The Jazz are getting their doors blown off.

I did just drop some coin on the Raptors at +195. That T-wolves team is a dumpster fire and , quite frankly, the Raps need the win.

AlexHunter · 02-19-2021, 11:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aaron2

Both with 23 tonight....pain

Yah man....please stop betting these they are brutal. Lol I’m jk bet whatever you want they are fun- but I’ve noticed they are brutal to me.

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AlexHunter · 02-19-2021, 11:42 PM

LOOK WHAT IVE CREATED..... my fiancée yelled from the bedroom while I was cooking “BABE THE JAZZ ARE DOWN BY 13!!! I PLACED A RACK ON THE PLUS 11.5 AND A BILL ON +460!!!”

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JMarchand1981 · 02-19-2021, 11:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JMarchand1981

Well, you were right. The Jazz are getting their doors blown off.

I did just drop some coin on the Raptors at +195. That T-wolves team is a dumpster fire and , quite frankly, the Raps need the win.

Excellent play on the raptors. Excellent.

AlexHunter · 02-20-2021, 12:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JMarchand1981

So, I was incredibly tired last night. I ended up just hedging with Tsitsipas. My thought was I would cover all basis by taking him last night.

Easy to say in retrospect, but Medvedev at -175 was a bargain. Again, easy to say when you know he wins in straight sets.

So I have no position in the womans final. I might drop a few bucks on Osaka. I have no faith in Brady. None. Plus, Osaka is the better player. Whereas there is no difference in ranking between the top 7-8 in woman's tennis, there is a massive drop off when you get to the mid-20's.

Do I take Brady Cashout @+770?

Do I let the +2500 run it’s course?

Do I let it ride and hedge with Osaka??

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mnvikingstwins · 02-20-2021, 05:00 AM

Osaka +600 for US Open is worth getting while it's still there

AlexHunter · 02-20-2021, 05:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mnvikingstwins

Osaka +600 for US Open is worth getting while it's still there

Jesus when in the match was +600 offered on Osaka!?!?

No regrets letting the Jen Brady bet ride.

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Gridiron Bob · 02-20-2021, 05:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AlexHunter

I’ll admit- as much as I love the ponies I don’t know very many of those international horses. Still- my money is on Charlatan in everything race he’s in until he loses. Bruh doesn’t know what it’s even like to look at another horses butt at a races finish!!!

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With international races I usually go with the filly - some of them are as big as the males but they get a weight break. But since there is no filly in the race this year, I then go with the rider. I'm going with Lanfranco Dettori, he's on Global Giant. My coworker loves the locals, he will work with Great Scot in all spots in the exotics and he's looking at Knicks Go - this horse has been a monster ever since he switched barns. Tacitus ran in this race last year and finished only 4 lengths behind the buzzsaw in Maximum Security and top filly Midnight Bisou.

mnvikingstwins · 02-20-2021, 05:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AlexHunter

Jesus when in the match was +600 offered on Osaka!?!?

No regrets letting the Jen Brady bet ride.

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No for the major in August. Also hard court and she's best player right now easily. Already updated to +500 on bovada

mnvikingstwins · 02-20-2021, 05:37 AM

Sabalenka is also solid value for next three

Dacubs · 02-20-2021, 08:00 AM

On fanduel, osaka is +650 for the US open, and sabalenka is +2200, barty +850, Halep +1100
Put down $30 on osaka, $15 on everyone else

JMarchand1981 · 02-20-2021, 08:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mnvikingstwins

No for the major in August. Also hard court and she's best player right now easily. Already updated to +500 on bovada

Draft kings doesn't have the US Open futures yet. Bummer.

JMarchand1981 · 02-20-2021, 08:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dacubs

On fanduel, osaka is +650 for the US open, and sabalenka is +2200, barty +850, Halep +1100
Put down $30 on osaka, $15 on everyone else

All solid bets. I'm getting irritated because I can only use Draft Kings and they don't have the futures yet.

02-19-2021, 09:35 AM	#3605
Gridiron Bob Member Join Date: Feb 2010 Location: Left forgotten in your basement Posts: 425	The Saudi Cup is running this weekend. The favorite is the American import: Knicks Go https://horseracingnation.ontraport.net/tl/1692 __________________ Three things to remember about this hobby: 1. It's just cardboard 2. Your collection = your rules 3. Enjoy and cherish what you already have

02-18-2021, 10:14 PM	#3602
JMarchand1981 Member Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 34,438	Guys, what's the better play here? I have two futures bets to win the AO. Djokovic is one and he is in the final already. Medvedev is the other and he is a considerable favorite versus tsitsipas at like 3 am. I think medvedev wins the match but I can hedge my futures bet by taking tsitsipas KNOWING that I will win either way in a djokovic/medvedev final. The bigger question is do I want to make a boss move and go in on medvedev or do I want to do the fiscally prudent thing and take tsitsipas knowing that I would have all possibilities covered at that point?

02-19-2021, 06:26 AM	#3604
Dacubs Member Join Date: Mar 2009 Location: Chicago Posts: 11,836 pharmkid97 pharmkid97	ouch....bad night last night, lost half my betting money with the bucks losing, lakers losing, michigan not covering and about 5 over/unders that were off by a point.... todays another day after getting a little cocky from my winnings earlier in the week.

02-19-2021, 06:37 PM	#3607
aaron2 Member Join Date: Aug 2015 Location: Northern VA Posts: 2,500	+195 for Zion and Booker to each score 25+

02-19-2021, 08:46 PM	#3608
Dacubs Member Join Date: Mar 2009 Location: Chicago Posts: 11,836 pharmkid97 pharmkid97	i swear, golden state warriors are the king of the comebacks!

02-19-2021, 10:46 PM	#3610
JMarchand1981 Member Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 34,438	I had the Hawks to cover with a spread of +18.5. I took that money and put it on the Suns ml when they were +170 and North Dakota State when they were +138. I cashed out of both of those making some money there. I just put some money on the Jazz ml. I don't plan on leaving it there. Just to ride the jazz to minus odds and take a my money off the table.

02-19-2021, 11:42 PM	#3615
AlexHunter Member Join Date: Aug 2018 Location: Portland Posts: 6,114 HiraharasCards AlexHunter	LOOK WHAT IVE CREATED..... my fiancée yelled from the bedroom while I was cooking “BABE THE JAZZ ARE DOWN BY 13!!! I PLACED A RACK ON THE PLUS 11.5 AND A BILL ON +460!!!” Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

02-20-2021, 05:00 AM	#3618
mnvikingstwins Member Join Date: Sep 2009 Location: Minneapolis Posts: 42,191 ski_4 ski_4	Osaka +600 for US Open is worth getting while it's still there

02-20-2021, 05:37 AM	#3622
mnvikingstwins Member Join Date: Sep 2009 Location: Minneapolis Posts: 42,191 ski_4 ski_4	Sabalenka is also solid value for next three

02-20-2021, 08:00 AM	#3623
Dacubs Member Join Date: Mar 2009 Location: Chicago Posts: 11,836 pharmkid97 pharmkid97	On fanduel, osaka is +650 for the US open, and sabalenka is +2200, barty +850, Halep +1100 Put down $30 on osaka, $15 on everyone else