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Old 07-01-2022, 09:52 AM   #34976
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Agreed. It's impossible to lose money on the MC price even with a box full of commons.

At $600 or so, 30 commons at 10-15$ each gets you back in the ballpark not counting pulling a big base or decent color. I expect to see box prices only go up from here as long as commons stay relatively strong.

What does everyone think the top 1/1 cards will fetch? Gotta be north of 5 large I would think..

I believe the Luke #1 1/1 will go for $200k+ at a min and I might be low. A PSA 10 Luke went for $55k last Nov (pop 9). I think given this is the first Sapphire release (yes 45 years later but wouldn’t consider this a “reprint” set) gives it some lasting power.


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Old 07-01-2022, 09:56 AM   #34977
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I believe the Luke #1 1/1 will go for $200k+ at a min and I might be low. A PSA 10 Luke went for $55k last Nov (pop 9). I think given this is the first Sapphire release (yes 45 years later but wouldn’t consider this a “reprint” set) gives it some lasting power.


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Woah.. maybe I need to rip mine
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Old 07-01-2022, 10:02 AM   #34978
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Anyone else in the same boat here? I received a shipped/tracking email from Topps on the 27th, and even today the fedex site says "no record match" to the number.
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Old 07-01-2022, 10:05 AM   #34979
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Anyone else in the same boat here? I received a shipped/tracking email from Topps on the 27th, and even today the fedex site says "no record match" to the number.
Check the number on USPS site. Topps messed up a lot of the emails.
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Old 07-01-2022, 10:06 AM   #34980
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Anyone else in the same boat here? I received a shipped/tracking email from Topps on the 27th, and even today the fedex site says "no record match" to the number.
Try using the number on the USPS site. It says mine was shipped FedEx too, but there are zero updates on the site. I googled the tracking number and it shows as a USPS package arriving today.
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Old 07-01-2022, 10:08 AM   #34981
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Check the number on USPS site. Topps messed up a lot of the emails.
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Originally Posted by no10pin View Post
Try using the number on the USPS site. It says mine was shipped FedEx too, but there are zero updates on the site. I googled the tracking number and it shows as a USPS package arriving today.
Ok, I'll give that a try. Thanks, guys!

Update: Yep, that did it. Arriving today! Thanks again!
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Old 07-01-2022, 10:14 AM   #34982
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Originally Posted by Soonforget526 View Post
I believe the Luke #1 1/1 will go for $200k+ at a min and I might be low. A PSA 10 Luke went for $55k last Nov (pop 9). I think given this is the first Sapphire release (yes 45 years later but wouldn’t consider this a “reprint” set) gives it some lasting power.
That high? WOW

I was guessing the good ones would be $10k-$25k. Never underestimate a person with money when they really want something.
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Old 07-01-2022, 10:24 AM   #34983
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I believe sales of the big Star Wars parallels will be significantly higher than the GPK parallels. There will also be more huge parallels to chase (Luke, Han, Leia, etc.) compared to GPK where it seemed like Adam Bomb was the only one bringing crazy money, and I’m pretty sure that 1/1 ended up selling for a fraction of what some of the main Star Wars 1/1s should sell for. I think these boxes should outpace GPK Sapphire boxes by quite a bit over time.
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Old 07-01-2022, 10:30 AM   #34984
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I believe sales of the big Star Wars parallels will be significantly higher than the GPK parallels. There will also be more huge parallels to chase (Luke, Han, Leia, etc.) compared to GPK where it seemed like Adam Bomb was the only one bringing crazy money, and I’m pretty sure that 1/1 ended up selling for a fraction of what some of the main Star Wars 1/1s should sell for. I think these boxes should outpace GPK Sapphire boxes by quite a bit over time.
How much did the Adam Bomb sell for? 20-25k?
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Old 07-01-2022, 10:32 AM   #34985
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Work is slow today and I like data visualization so I put together a few charts on SW box prices. First chart plots all the sales for the day, with the blue box representing the middle 50% of prices (6/24 would probably look different if I split it pre vs post public release). Second chart shows amount of sales (size of bubble) and avg price by day.

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Old 07-01-2022, 10:34 AM   #34986
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Work is slow today and I like data visualization so I put together a few charts on SW box prices. First chart plots all the sales for the day, with the blue box representing the middle 50% of prices (6/24 would probably look different if I split it pre vs post public release). Second chart shows amount of sales (size of bubble) and avg price by day.

These are the kinda posts we need more of
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Old 07-01-2022, 10:41 AM   #34987
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That high? WOW

I was guessing the good ones would be $10k-$25k. Never underestimate a person with money when they really want something.

I guess I’m on the bullish end here I’ll say the obvious in that it’s hard to gauge demand/spending power right now with the broader macro economic factors at play. I’m also looking at the math from the bottom up as well. If the Base #1 is $200, it’ll likely go to $150 over time and prob be around $300-450 as a PSA 10. I’d then think a Red would fetch 20-30x that? So IMO not too wild for the Onyx to hit $150-200k.

I do think lower numbered parallels will fare well given the large, passionate, and deep pocketed fan base. The franchise itself is worth over $7B and things like fans spending $1200 a night to stay at the Disney Star Wars hotel tells me they want more.

But I realize it’s still early and I don’t have a ton of knowledge about Star Wars collecting so we’ll see!!


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Old 07-01-2022, 10:43 AM   #34988
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IMO these SW boxes will surpass GPK Sapphire boxes fairly soon.
I've personally sold my 2021 F1 sapphire boxes and buying into SW sapphire instead.
Long term I believe the value of them to be greater.
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Old 07-01-2022, 10:52 AM   #34989
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Originally Posted by Soonforget526 View Post
I guess I’m on the bullish end here I’ll say the obvious in that it’s hard to gauge demand/spending power right now with the broader macro economic factors at play. I’m also looking at the math from the bottom up as well. If the Base #1 is $200, it’ll likely go to $150 over time and prob be around $300-450 as a PSA 10. I’d then think a Red would fetch 20-30x that? So IMO not too wild for the Onyx to hit $150-200k.

I do think lower numbered parallels will fare well given the large, passionate, and deep pocketed fan base. The franchise itself is worth over $7B and things like fans spending $1200 a night to stay at the Disney Star Wars hotel tells me they want more.

But I realize it’s still early and I don’t have a ton of knowledge about Star Wars collecting so we’ll see!!

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$200K+ for Skywalker would be impressive...most impressive.

I can't see it fetching that much at an auction, but if the seller is patient and able to find the right person, who knows.
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Old 07-01-2022, 10:58 AM   #34990
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Originally Posted by Soonforget526 View Post
I guess I’m on the bullish end here I’ll say the obvious in that it’s hard to gauge demand/spending power right now with the broader macro economic factors at play. I’m also looking at the math from the bottom up as well. If the Base #1 is $200, it’ll likely go to $150 over time and prob be around $300-450 as a PSA 10. I’d then think a Red would fetch 20-30x that? So IMO not too wild for the Onyx to hit $150-200k.

I do think lower numbered parallels will fare well given the large, passionate, and deep pocketed fan base. The franchise itself is worth over $7B and things like fans spending $1200 a night to stay at the Disney Star Wars hotel tells me they want more.

But I realize it’s still early and I don’t have a ton of knowledge about Star Wars collecting so we’ll see!!


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$1200 a night is for the peasants. The real one is $5k a night. That's who you want to sell your cards to....not the peasants.
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Old 07-01-2022, 11:06 AM   #34991
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How much did the Adam Bomb sell for? 20-25k?

I’m seeing the Adam Bomb 1/1 sold for $52k

https://www.psacard.com/auctionprice...values/4171122


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Old 07-01-2022, 11:07 AM   #34992
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$1200 a night is for the peasants. The real one is $5k a night. That's who you want to sell your cards to....not the peasants.

I’ll sell my cards to your peasants if you don’t want the customers


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Old 07-01-2022, 11:35 AM   #34993
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For those with USPS tracking for SW, where are they coming from?
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Old 07-01-2022, 11:44 AM   #34994
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For those with USPS tracking for SW, where are they coming from?
Mine started in Fort Lauderdale
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Old 07-01-2022, 11:44 AM   #34995
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If my tracking is for what I think, mine is coming from Ft Lauderdale. Hoping the package lands today, and that SW Sapphire is inside!
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Old 07-01-2022, 11:47 AM   #34996
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FORT LAUDERDALE, FL 33326

My pkg arrived yesterday...shipped out on 6/27...so it took only 4 days to get across the country to northern California.
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Old 07-01-2022, 11:51 AM   #34997
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Weird, mine says it's coming from SF, Ca
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Old 07-01-2022, 12:19 PM   #34998
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So, remember those 2021 chrome lite boxes they offered us last year. Opened my box today to squash the urge to open Star Wars. Click image for larger version

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Views:	338
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Old 07-01-2022, 12:20 PM   #34999
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So, remember those 2021 chrome lite boxes they offered us last year. Opened my box today to squash the urge to open Star Wars. Attachment 524452


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Nice, now you should be able to buy a few more Star Wars boxes to rip!
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Old 07-01-2022, 12:29 PM   #35000
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So, remember those 2021 chrome lite boxes they offered us last year. Opened my box today to squash the urge to open Star Wars. Attachment 524452


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