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Old 06-03-2020, 12:48 PM   #25126
Snakeonia
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Originally Posted by cp312 View Post
The difference is that has chrome effects, the Blake will not

Card would be better if Baller hadn't touched it

Also now the Blake run is gonna look weird displayed together, none of his cards have borders except this one, I guess McGwire does sorta

An artist didnt do what you envision they would do??



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Old 06-03-2020, 12:49 PM   #25127
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...

95 Cartoon Mattingly 27299 25
96 Fucci Thomas 22911 24

Afternoon udpate. Prices still level, however I'm concerned about the small amount of sell-through of some of the updated cards. Noticed ~10%-ish cards that haven't had a sale since yesterday, which allows downward pressure to accumulate.
Black out Tues effect ?
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:49 PM   #25128
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Schrödinger's Trout: An unopened box can both have, and lack, an autograph.
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:49 PM   #25129
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Also- That SAT word of the day is a bit of a stretch in that situation, as you were neither long nor dense.

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Old 06-03-2020, 12:50 PM   #25130
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Originally Posted by ExpFacilitators View Post
In these crazy and divisive times, can we all please just agree on one thing.

If you buy more, your odds of getting an auto are both greater and lesser.
To be precise, if you buy more, it could well reflect that others are doing the same and therefore your odds increase or decrease as a function of how much in proportion to the total sales increase.
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:50 PM   #25131
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Missed opportunity with this one really. With the hype about the bling, could have used the diamond effect like they had on the 2011 topps update. Or random insert /199 versions of that design.
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:53 PM   #25132
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Jim! so good to see you here

Glad to be here! Great fun for sure. The more I see the more I want!


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Old 06-03-2020, 12:53 PM   #25133
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you buy more, your chance is up,

everyone buys more, your chance is down.
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:55 PM   #25134
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Originally Posted by ExpFacilitators View Post
In these crazy and divisive times, can we all please just agree on one thing.

If you buy more, your odds of getting an auto are both greater and lesser.
Finally a voice of reason. Lol
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:55 PM   #25135
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AlexHunter View Post

Also- That SAT word of the day is a bit of a stretch in that situation, as you were neither long nor dense.
Not a stretch at all.

Pedantic is an insulting word used to describe someone who annoys others by correcting small errors, caring too much about minor details, or emphasizing their own expertise especially in some narrow or boring subject matter.
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:55 PM   #25136
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Originally Posted by MMantle View Post
Missed opportunity with this one really. With the hype about the bling, could have used the diamond effect like they had on the 2011 topps update. Or random insert /199 versions of that design.
That would have been the better call

How about for every 10 pack you buy, you can get the Blake/Baller version for an additional $100?
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:55 PM   #25137
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Originally Posted by dodgersinfinity View Post
After looking at the Blake Trout more, I'm not liking it.
I thought the same thing about the Ermsy Trout. The ugliest ones have the lowest print ones and are worth the most.

Go figure.
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:55 PM   #25138
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Originally Posted by Chicharito View Post
you buy more, your chance is up,

everyone buys more, your chance is down.
That means you just have to buy even more than everyone else to better your odds.
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:55 PM   #25139
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My goal by the end of this project is to pull at least one gold frame or trout auto. Not likley but would be pretty sweet. UGLI baby has me craving a 1/1 frame pull now.
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:55 PM   #25140
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Snakeonia View Post
An artist didnt do what you envision they would do??



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Technically the artist of the card didn't do it at all, gaudy Baller did the damage

I wouldn't have bought it either way because I don't like the way Trout looks in this one, Baller being a part of the card just furthered my dislike.
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:55 PM   #25141
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Topps really out of touch with the project and missing a big opportunity by not having Trout sign the boxes.
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:55 PM   #25142
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Originally Posted by ALBASKETBALL View Post
I am going to buy a package today and more interested in the Koufax Beck. Awesome looking card.
thank you!!!
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:56 PM   #25143
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wil View Post
I thought the same thing about the Ermsy Trout. The ugliest ones have the lowest print ones and are worth the most.

Go figure.
yeah but this won't have a low PR
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:56 PM   #25144
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chicharito View Post
you buy more, your chance is up,

everyone buys more, your chance is down.
unless of course the ones you buy are part of a group of 10 for which the auto has already been allocated. Then, holding everything else constant, you are increasing the print run without increasing the number of autos.
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Old 06-03-2020, 12:56 PM   #25145
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tnolan816 View Post
Most recent data pull:

Current Comp of the Set 1-96: $20040 - 6/03/2020 12:30 PM Central

Previous Total Comp of the Set 1-96: $20139 - 6/03/2020 08:30 AM Central

Card # Artist Player Print Run Current Comp
1 Baller Ichiro 1334 2025
2 Rochester Koufax 1135 550
3 Naturel Robinson 1302 450
4 Ermsy Trout 2911 1250
5 Fucci Ripken 1205 510
6 Saladeen Griffey 2504 555
7 Grotesk Gibson 1205 325
8 Chang Rivera 1617 400
9 JK5 Williams 1385 500
10 Cartoon Clemente 1844 400
11 Siff Brett 1227 450
12 Beck Gooden 1065 1175
13 Shore Mattingly 1686 305
14 Vides Henderson 1221 300
15 Thiele Mays 1464 250
16 Oldmanalan Gwynn 1302 285
17 Efdot McGwire 1456 290
18 Jamieson Ryan 2623 205
19 Naturel Clemente 1819 145
20 Rochester Ripken 1576 155
21 Taylor Henderson 2104 200
22 Ermsy Ichiro 1972 500
23 Baller Thomas 2836 355
24 Grotesk Gwynn 1441 220
25 Beck Griffey 3707 160
26 Vides Gooden 1101 550
27 Efdot Mays 1480 235
28 Shore McGwire 1199 455
29 Saladeen Jeter 9873 75
30 Siff Ryan 2215 175
31 Chang Robinson 2741 115
32 JK5 Ichiro 1798 300
33 Jamieson Mattingly 2409 160
34 Fucci Williams 1131 370
35 Thiele Trout 13200 75
36 Oldmanalan Koufax 2488 120
37 Beck Ripken 2621 125
38 Ermsy Gooden 1864 275
39 Taylor Jeter 9322 55
40 Naturel Gwynn 2319 125
41 Vides Rivera 2452 110
42 Jamieson Robinson 2980 170
43 Cartoon Brett 2360 115
44 Rochester Thomas 1480 220
45 Grotesk Clemente 1910 130
46 Chang Gibson 1268 300
47 Saladeen Mattingly 2763 120
48 JK5 Mays 1556 250
49 Thiele Koufax 2149 115
50 Siff Ripken 2369 150
51 Baller Trout 34950 50
52 Efdot Ryan 4103 75
53 Taylor Griffey 4236 80
54 Shore Gibson 1451 310
55 Beck Brett 1992 195
56 Oldmanalan Rivera 1127 400
57 Jamieson Henderson 3819 125
58 Ermsy Williams 4859 100
59 Grotesk Jeter 6511 90
60 Naturel McGwire 2687 110
61 Saladeen Mays 5459 55
62 Chang Ichiro 6207 50
63 Fucci Trout 16430 50
64 Vides Gwynn 3368 105
65 Cartoon Gooden 5041 60
66 Rochester Griffey 9356 50
67 Thiele Ryan 7383 50
68 JK5 Clemente 8518 45
69 Siff Mattingly 7900 60
70 Beck Gibson 6757 65
71 Baller Henderson 15741 70
72 Shore Rivera 9545 50
73 Don C Thomas 11969 110
74 Efdot Williams 8897 75
75 Grotesk Brett 5638 75
76 Fucci Koufax 6607 55
77 Saladeen Ichiro 11425 40
78 Oldmanalan Clemente 8610 35
79 Cartoon Robinson 11643 55
80 Chang Mays 10480 40
81 Jamieson McGwire 18205 45
82 Thiele Jeter 20974 40
83 Taylor Thomas 8806 60
84 Ermsy Gibson 14867 40
85 Rochester Trout 33818 30
86 Baller Gooden 25928 35
87 Vides Ryan 64629 19
88 Shore Griffey 99177 18
89 Naturel Koufax 43147 23
90 Oldmanalan Williams 41407 17
91 JK5 Rivera 35330 19
92 Don C Ripken 41392 19
93 Siff Jeter 48465 25
94 Efdot Gwynn 31030 21
95 Cartoon Mattingly 27299 25
96 Fucci Thomas 22911 24

Afternoon udpate. Prices still level, however I'm concerned about the small amount of sell-through of some of the updated cards. Noticed ~10%-ish cards that haven't had a sale since yesterday, which allows downward pressure to accumulate.

I still feel like #56 Oldmanalan Rivera is a strong buy at $400, #37 Beck Ripken at $125, #7 Grotesk Gibson at $325, and #33 Jamieson Mattingly at $160.




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Old 06-03-2020, 12:58 PM   #25146
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Quote:
Originally Posted by expfacilitators View Post
in these crazy and divisive times, can we all please just agree on one thing.

If you buy more, your odds of getting an auto are both greater and lesser.
no...still false...have our schools failed us???

:d

Edit: damn, I had caps lock on...looked better.

Last edited by Fsegaud; 06-03-2020 at 01:00 PM.
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Old 06-03-2020, 01:00 PM   #25147
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Originally Posted by LittleJimmies View Post
Topps really out of touch with the project and missing a big opportunity by not having Trout sign the boxes.

don't forget bubble wrap!
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Old 06-03-2020, 01:00 PM   #25148
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I think the Trout is cool although i'm not buying one - partly because i'm not collecting Trout or Blake and mostly because i took a nice long bath buying at the highs.

I've noticed StockX bids have ticked up a bit higher than some of the prices I paid the last few days on cards. At least i have that going for me.
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Old 06-03-2020, 01:01 PM   #25149
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ExpFacilitators View Post
unless of course the ones you buy are part of a group of 10 for which the auto has already been allocated. Then, holding everything else constant, you are increasing the print run without increasing the number of autos.
Chance of pulling one auto if you buy

Let's say the print run is 100k if you buy 0, 0%

if you buy 10k cards your chance is 10k * 10/ (100k + 10k) = 91%

if you buy 20k cards your chance is 20k * 10 / (100k + 20k) = 166.67%

so on and on

Last edited by Chicharito; 06-03-2020 at 01:08 PM.
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Old 06-03-2020, 01:02 PM   #25150
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If I can pull an auto, I'm 100% sending it to Blake to sign.
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