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Old 10-14-2013, 06:22 PM   #1
LeonfromNC
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Question are Kyrie Irving's cards already too high to flip?

another member made a comment to me the other day that made me think about Kyrie Irving's card prices from an investment standpoint.

he said, "Kyrie's cards values are already too high to make any decent profit on"

what are your thoughts on this?

i actually have to agree with him for the most part although most of his autographs can be had for 30-40% of what they were going for last season...

do you think kyrie's higher end cards have more potential then lower end?

i know i have a nt rpa in my avatar, but they have even dropped 30-40% since release in july.

if kyrie breaks out this year and establishes himself as the top 1 or 2 point guard in the game, how much can his cards really increase in value?

i think at the most, 30-40% but that would put them at the prices they were last season.
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Old 10-14-2013, 06:23 PM   #2
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yes, ten characters
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Old 10-14-2013, 06:25 PM   #3
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You can't be top 1 or 2 PG without carrying your team to playoff at least. In the end, it is all about winning, not about balling.
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Old 10-14-2013, 06:38 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by xavieronly1 View Post
You can't be top 1 or 2 PG without carrying your team to playoff at least. In the end, it is all about winning, not about balling.
^^this is true, look at chris paul. His cards basically dropped or maintained their value. Only chance of kyrie to go up is to dominate the league. After two or 3 years in the nba.. Every card settles to a certain price up until they win championships. Just my 2 cents.
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Old 10-14-2013, 07:02 PM   #5
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I'm pretty sure when Rose's Exquisite RPA came out they were selling for around 1500 a pop ... Now they go for close to double that right? So, Yes there most certainly is room to grow. If he becomes good enough to fit in the category with CP3 & Rose then yeah, why wouldn't his cards rise?
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Old 10-14-2013, 09:12 PM   #6
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Yes probably. To people saying, wait until he becomes a Legit Superstar, etc. - I don't even think that would affect his prices because the people buying his cards now already EXPECT him to be a superstar ... He would have to go above and beyond the expectations of his biggest fans (The people buying his cards now) for them to increase in profits

It's like that w/ any player though - In order for the Value to go ^^^, a player does not just have to improve, but exceed the expectations of improvement
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Old 10-14-2013, 09:18 PM   #7
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Cavs going to be top 4-5 team in the east this year.

He will go up, people will probably see him more on tv if they win like i think they will, remember, hes been on national tv once in a game, and then the all star game. he has got no exposure, but tnt chatting about him during pre-games.
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Old 10-14-2013, 09:33 PM   #8
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I'm not sure they can go any higher unless he wins an MVP or a Championship.
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Old 10-14-2013, 09:34 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EricMetcalf21 View Post
Cavs going to be top 4-5 team in the east this year.

He will go up, people will probably see him more on tv if they win like i think they will, remember, hes been on national tv once in a game, and then the all star game. he has got no exposure, but tnt chatting about him during pre-games.
They'll make the playoffs, I can feel good with that. A top 4 team? No way. A lot of bad breaks will need to befell the Nets/Knicks/Pacers/Buls

Especially when Bynum hasnt even played yet.

Anyways, no idea on Kyries cards, just wanted to add that.
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Old 10-14-2013, 09:40 PM   #10
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I love Kyrie as a player but have stayed away from his cards so far due to his stuff being overvalued IMO.
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Old 10-14-2013, 11:18 PM   #11
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Also a lot of kyrie autos were selling very high during the season last year because there was a big lack of products due to panini releasing only 3 product the year before with no rc autos! So when some of his first autos came out, people were going crazy on it, all the Prizm autos were going for like $400, his redemption xrco from past present/limited were going for $300+ and his gold standard redemption were going for $400-500. And now that they're finally live (oh wait, still waiting on limited!!!) P&P going for $100, and gold going for $160-200.

And now with more and more products coming out with tons of kyrie autos, (flawless, immaculate), his older product autos and rcs are just going to keep dropping. And i don't think kyrie is as explosive as derrick rose.
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Old 10-16-2013, 11:06 AM   #12
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I think the 11-12 GS are nice cards, and I would buy every one of them at 160, that number should be 190-200 instead of 160-200. You cant get em under 190 from what I have been seeing. P&P goes over 100 as well.
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Old 10-16-2013, 11:09 AM   #13
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Drose autos there but limited or at least not as crazy as the amount of kyries out there, and this among with the fact its actually a bit tough to pull a kyrie.

Does kyries ugly looking auto have a part in the value?
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Old 10-16-2013, 10:51 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Koiz View Post
^^this is true, look at chris paul. His cards basically dropped or maintained their value. Only chance of kyrie to go up is to dominate the league. After two or 3 years in the nba.. Every card settles to a certain price up until they win championships. Just my 2 cents.
I agree with Chris Paul's autograph statement, but only because people aren't buying his NOH cards but I'd assume they are waiting for his LAC cards. And go against the argument of the winning a championship, what about Tony Parker? Multiple championships but his autographs are still far less than Paul's. Or Rajon Rondo's autos?
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Old 10-16-2013, 10:55 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ASAPPORKY View Post
I'm pretty sure when Rose's Exquisite RPA came out they were selling for around 1500 a pop ... Now they go for close to double that right? So, Yes there most certainly is room to grow. If he becomes good enough to fit in the category with CP3 & Rose then yeah, why wouldn't his cards rise?
Apples to Oranges.

Rose won the league MVP title AND lead his team deep in the playoffs that year. He basically had the world in his hands.

To say kyrie can/will do the same soon is quite a stretch. I just don't ever see cleveland making big noise in the east. Kyrie is sick, but Lebron is on another echelon when it comes to single handedly carrying a terrible team.
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Old 10-17-2013, 12:18 AM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CP3toOKC View Post
I agree with Chris Paul's autograph statement, but only because people aren't buying his NOH cards but I'd assume they are waiting for his LAC cards. And go against the argument of the winning a championship, what about Tony Parker? Multiple championships but his autographs are still far less than Paul's. Or Rajon Rondo's autos?
You have a point. But i think part of the reason is both Rondo and Parker are not the face of their franchise.. Rondo had pierce,allen and KG then for parker it's still tim duncan's team. But don't get me wrong..they do deserve some love from collectors as they are great players. It is unfortunate that they really never got the recognition that they deserve but i'm pretty sure that they have the respect of players from the league which might be more important to them. But that's a very good point. Thanks
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Old 10-17-2013, 11:45 AM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CP3toOKC View Post
I agree with Chris Paul's autograph statement, but only because people aren't buying his NOH cards but I'd assume they are waiting for his LAC cards. And go against the argument of the winning a championship, what about Tony Parker? Multiple championships but his autographs are still far less than Paul's. Or Rajon Rondo's autos?
Your so right about Tony Parker. He is the mystery I can never understand. He basically beat the Heat all by himself in that one game.
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Old 10-17-2013, 10:33 PM   #18
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...any player's card who has only one season under their belt whose rookie card can rival the value of many HOF players who proved their carboard clout is overpriced in my opinion...

Today's hot rookie is tomorrow's.... (fill in the blank name)... that nobody remembers or cares about.

Look at the history of just the #1 Overall NBA Draft Picks and the forgotten far out number the remembered, there's more duds than studs, and even those who were once great players and had a good career but are out of the spotlight have lots of cards, rookies, autographs and jersey relics available affordably.

Year Team No. 1 overall pick

2012 New Orleans Hornets Anthony Davis
2011 Cleveland Cavaliers Kyrie Irving
2010 Washington Wizards John Wall
2009 Los Angeles Clippers Blake Griffin
2008 Chicago Bulls Derrick Rose
2007 Portland Trail Blazers Greg Oden
2006 Toronto Raptors Andrea Bargnani
2005 Milwaukee Bucks Andrew Bogut
2004 Orlando Magic Dwight Howard
2003 Cleveland Cavaliers LeBron James
2002 Houston Rockets Yao Ming
2001 Washington Wizards Kwame Brown
2000 New Jersey Nets Kenyon Martin
1999 Chicago Bulls Elton Brand
1998 Los Angeles Clippers Michael Olowokandi
1997 San Antonio Spurs Tim Duncan
1996 Philadelphia 76ers Allen Iverson
1995 Golden State Warriors Joe Smith
1994 Milwaukee Bucks Glenn Robinson
1993 Orlando Magic Chris Webber
1992 Orlando Magic Shaquille O'Neal
1991 Charlotte Hornets Larry Johnson
1990 New Jersey Nets Derrick Coleman
1989 Sacramento Kings Pervis Ellison
1988 Los Angeles Clippers Danny Manning
1987 San Antonio Spurs David Robinson
1986 Cleveland Cavaliers Brad Daugherty
1985 New York Knicks Patrick Ewing
1984 Houston Rockets Hakeem Olajuwon
1983 Houston Rockets Ralph Sampson
1982 Los Angeles Lakers James Worthy
1981 Dallas Mavericks Mark Aguirre
1980 Golden State Warriors Joe Barry Carroll
1979 Los Angeles Lakers Magic Johnson
1978 Portland Trail Blazers Mychal Thompson
1977 Milwaukee Bucks Kent Benson
1976 Houston Rockets John Lucas
1975 Atlanta Hawks David Thompson
1974 Portland Trail Blazers Bill Walton
1973 Philadelphia 76ers Doug Collins
1972 Portland Trail Blazers LaRue Martin
1971 Cleveland Cavaliers Austin Carr
1970 Detroit Pistons Bob Lanier
1969 Milwaukee Bucks Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
1968 San Diego Rockets Elvin Hayes
1967 Detroit Pistons Jimmy Walker
1966 New York Knicks Cazzie Russell
1965 San Francisco Warriors Fred Hetzel
1964 New York Knicks Jim Barnes
1963 New York Knicks Art Heyman
1962 Chicago Zephyrs Bill McGill
1961 Chicago Packers Walt Bellamy
1960 Cincinnati Royals Oscar Robertson
1959 Cincinnati Royals Bob Boozer
1958 Minneapolis Lakers Elgin Baylor
1957 Cincinnati Royals Hot Rod Hundley
1956 Rochester Royals Si Green
1955 St. Louis Hawks Dick Ricketts
1954 Baltimore Bullets Frank Selvy
1953 Baltimore Bullets Ray Felix
1952 Milwaukee Hawks Mark Workman
1951 Baltimore Bullets Gene Melchiorre
1950 Boston Celtics Chuck Share
1949 Providence Steam Rollers Howie Shannon
1948 Providence Steam Rollers Andy Tonkovich
1947 Pittsburgh Ironmen Clifton McNeeley
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Old 10-18-2013, 12:02 AM   #19
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In some ways I like this question and in others I really don't. Let me explain.

In Kevin Durant's second season I bought a crap load of his mid-high end stuff. By the end of his third year I had sold the majority of it, because ithe majority of it had doubled or tripled in value. Huge mistake. I thought it had topped out but we all know the story now, that Durant stuff has kept going up and I missed out on probably another $20k of gains.

Is Kyrie a potential top 2-3 guy in this league? He might be. And if he is, then you should go buy his stuff right now, because Panini has released so much stuff in so short a time that the market is saturated. In a few years, most of this stuff (as we've seen many times before) will be in PC's and impossible to find. I mean, you can get his XRC for under $200 right now... but if he turns into that top flight number one point guard that I think he will become, then you can bet those are $1,000 or more.

"Flipping" cards is an art, and specifically an art of timing. A better way to phrase the question might be, "have Kyrie's cards topped out?" or "Are Kyrie's cards going to slide?" I think the answer to the first question is, possibly but I personally dont' think so, and the answer to the second question is, depends on the card. I personally wouldn't buy a NT rookie right now, but I might jump into a few XRC's or a Silo, or a Flawless or Immaculate depending on price.

In short, you can always flip a card if the entrance point is right.
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Old 10-18-2013, 12:13 AM   #20
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It depends on how his performance will be and how far cavliers go this season. His starting point is very high, taking John Wall as another example. But players like this, you dont have to be afraid that their high ends drop a lot, but for mid-low, personally i dont recommend keep in long-run.
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Old 10-18-2013, 12:14 AM   #21
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I still contend he's Steve Francis 2.0.

That being said, he's got more talent around him than Francis ever had.
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Old 10-18-2013, 12:44 AM   #22
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Yes, a bit too high already
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Old 10-18-2013, 01:05 AM   #23
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he has room to go up but he's too high to take the risk on. not worth getting in on him.
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Old 10-18-2013, 01:24 AM   #24
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Far too high, I have a friend who is systematically invested in various Panini rookies, and he is very hardcore, but he stays clear of Kyrie's stuffs and thinks it's too much risk, and very little upwards potential. Historical trends tell us paying top dollars for those hot rookies at peak prices is not very smart, and it's quickest way to throw money away via cards (besides busting tons of cases with little rewards back).

Even a couple of months right before Lebron winning his first ring, his Exq RPA /99 in normal condition has a hard time to break 10k, and in 9.5 condition very hard to break 16k, and there is a thread right around that time when people was questioning a 12k sale and thought it was crazy. Now maybe it's 12-15k card. But not everyone can win two champions in a row, with great supporting cast, and all media behind him and lots of business investing in him wanting him to succeed.

So in comparison, buying Kyrie's NT /199, Silhouette /25 at current price level is just crazy, and not really the way to go if the goal is flipping and short term investment. The current prices have already built in super high expectation of him. The chances are he will not live up to it than he surpass it in every way imaginable.
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Old 10-20-2013, 10:39 PM   #25
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i can just tell you I watch kyrie every game. Some of the moves and plays he makes make me jump out of my seat, last person to do that to me was when Derrick Rose was a rookie.

We shall see, my guess is up. I mean I really really watch every Cavs game, and I'm not saying that some that say he will go down don't watch Kyrie play, but I doubt they watch every game and are die hard cavs fans, Ive seen him some in person, the guy has the wow factor and isn't afraid to step up in the 4th when it counts, and also is sounding more and more like a leader every year. He wants to win, wants to step up. I'd rather not even write this I should go buy some more rookies and delete this message. lol

Anyways gl in your collecting. Remember, derrick rose and Kyrie get me off my feet screaming at the top of my lungs. Kyrie been on tv one time also, that means alot. He needs to be seen more.
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