The Official Options Thread - Page 151

Blazed · 10-17-2025, 08:21 AM

Just watching today

6600 key level

Dip this morning bought back up, see if it holds

Blazed · 10-17-2025, 11:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blazed

Just watching today

6600 key level

Dip this morning bought back up, see if it holds

Took calls @ key level

All out here

Trading is easy, just wait for levels, watch volume and flow

Nice end to the week

Blazed · 10-20-2025, 09:58 AM

Just watching today

I'll wait until Tuesday’s close to see how the markets react to the 20-day moving average on the daily timeframe

Earnings should bring some movement into the markets, especially TSLA on Weds

ajlaxmn · 10-20-2025, 02:31 PM

Long one META & SOFI Leap.

Added another 100 FNMA on pushdown last week. Would add another 100 if it pushes down past last weeks prices.

Still sitting with about $8k in the Roth, don't want to add anything here, I'm ok with missing any moves up, just want to be ready if their is any more of a push down (not necessarily a crash).

Blazed · 10-21-2025, 07:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ajlaxmn

Long one META & SOFI Leap.

Added another 100 FNMA on pushdown last week. Would add another 100 if it pushes down past last weeks prices.

Still sitting with about $8k in the Roth, don't want to add anything here, I'm ok with missing any moves up, just want to be ready if their is any more of a push down (not necessarily a crash).

Nice add

GSEs got a lot of attention yesterday when the FHFA director posted about them

Fannie, Freddie chief teases IPO

Now it's just a waiting game

Still super high risk until details are public

Blazed · 10-21-2025, 08:30 AM

Futures flat pre-market, still some leftover positive flow on S&P stocks and Mag7 that can keep it above 6700 for now

If 6700 breaks > get a nice drop and increased volatility

Staying long and just watching today

Worth noting

Quote:

Serious Credit Card Delinquencies (unpaid balances for at least 90 days) hit their highest level in 14 years

eastbayak · 10-21-2025, 04:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ajlaxmn

Long one META & SOFI Leap.

Added another 100 FNMA on pushdown last week. Would add another 100 if it pushes down past last weeks prices.

Still sitting with about $8k in the Roth, don't want to add anything here, I'm ok with missing any moves up, just want to be ready if their is any more of a push down (not necessarily a crash).

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blazed

Nice add

GSEs got a lot of attention yesterday when the FHFA director posted about them

Fannie, Freddie chief teases IPO

Now it's just a waiting game

Still super high risk until details are public

Haha, my Dad forwarded me (and a couple other family members) something about FNMA last week.

I let him know that a couple people I know virtually (ya'll) told me about it a few months back. Shared it's a high-risk, high-reward IPO play haha.

Blazed · 10-22-2025, 07:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eastbayak

Haha, my Dad forwarded me (and a couple other family members) something about FNMA last week.

I let him know that a couple people I know virtually (ya'll) told me about it a few months back. Shared it's a high-risk, high-reward IPO play haha.

The r/r is there since the "decision makers" laid out the plan of selling 3-5%

Pulte's comments suggest no heavy dilution

If SPSA are deemed repaid then it's up from there

Then, if they can get it to $1tril valuation even better

Blazed · 10-22-2025, 08:27 AM

Failed to break 6750 twice on SPX yesterday making it the key level

A break above can push to new ATHs this week

Downside > 6700 has turned into solid support, if it gets down there and tries to break it should be met with a strong buyback

Blazed · 10-22-2025, 10:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blazed

Failed to break 6750 twice on SPX yesterday making it the key level

A break above can push to new ATHs this week

Downside > 6700 has turned into solid support, if it gets down there and tries to break it should be met with a strong buyback

Huge bounce as expected

Trimmed 75% holding runners until 6740 or full exit in profits around 6710 if it can't get up there

Blazed · 10-22-2025, 10:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blazed

Huge bounce as expected

Trimmed 75% holding runners until 6740 or full exit in profits around 6710 if it can't get up there

Full exit on runners @ 6710

Reloaded @ 6700 for round 2 and all out here

Great momentum off that 2nd bounce

Calling it a day here

Trading is easy when you simplify it

Blazed · 10-22-2025, 01:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blazed

Futures flat pre-market, still some leftover positive flow on S&P stocks and Mag7 that can keep it above 6700 for now

If 6700 breaks > get a nice drop and increased volatility

Staying long and just watching today

Worth noting

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blazed

Full exit on runners @ 6710

Reloaded @ 6700 for round 2 and all out here

Great momentum off that 2nd bounce

Calling it a day here

Trading is easy when you simplify it

If 6700 breaks > get a nice drop and increased volatility✅- 6700 broke and got a nice drop as expected

Calling it a day here✅- this is why I called it a day - if you caught flow, it flipped from buying to selling after Trumps announcement. I didn't take puts but that would have been a nice trade

Not taking it but 6650 would be a good area to hold at this point

Blazed · 10-22-2025, 03:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blazed

If 6700 breaks > get a nice drop and increased volatility✅- 6700 broke and got a nice drop as expected

Calling it a day here✅- this is why I called it a day - if you caught flow, it flipped from buying to selling after Trumps announcement. I didn't take puts but that would have been a nice trade

Not taking it but 6650 would be a good area to hold at this point

Didn't take calls there as I was done for the day but it worked out

The power of whole psych numbers

Blazed · 10-23-2025, 08:15 AM

CPI tomorrow

SPX 6700 key level break above with strength > 6750.

Can't break above 6700 and hold > probably lose yesterday's low (6655)

Blazed · 10-23-2025, 03:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blazed

CPI tomorrow

SPX 6700 key level break above with strength > 6750.

Can't break above 6700 and hold > probably lose yesterday's low (6655)

Bounced off 6700 and went to 6750 as expected then rejected 6750 as expected

Stress free trading without having to guess, just trade the levels and watch volume/flow

Blazed · 10-24-2025, 08:27 AM

CPI came in below

Nice range off CPI

SPX: 6775 key level > 6800 > 6850 upside / 6750 (gap @ 6749.5) > 6700 downside

Easy day

Blazed · 10-24-2025, 09:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blazed

CPI came in below

Nice range off CPI

SPX: 6775 key level > 6800 > 6850 upside / 6750 (gap @ 6749.5) > 6700 downside

Easy day

If it can break 6800 > 6825 next

Blazed · 10-26-2025, 04:24 PM

Big earnings this week and FOMC rate decision Weds, EOM flows on Fri

Should be a good week

KhalDrogo · 10-27-2025, 06:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blazed

Big earnings this week and FOMC rate decision Weds, EOM flows on Fri

Should be a good week

YUGE earnings week. With China largely behind us, earnings can take the spotlight. Great week will propel us forward into two of the best historical months for the S&P. The monthly SPY 750-800 strikes in the late winter/early spring look very appealing.

Blazed · 10-27-2025, 08:28 AM

6850 key level

Easy day while waiting on earnings and Fed

Should* get there easily this week

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blazed

6900 next

All it will take is one tweet

Blazed · 10-27-2025, 09:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KhalDrogo

YUGE earnings week. With China largely behind us, earnings can take the spotlight. Great week will propel us forward into two of the best historical months for the S&P. The monthly SPY 750-800 strikes in the late winter/early spring look very appealing.

All we need is a good tweet on tariffs

750-800 is do able running into EOY

SPX @ 7000 I'll do a heavy trim of SPY calls and let the rest run

Should be a good Christmas lol

Blazed · 10-27-2025, 09:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blazed

Broke through 435 pretty easy > 452.8

Looking for 500

TSLA should get a run up into EOY

I'll trim some TSLL @ 500+, remaining shares will be a free play

Blazed · 10-28-2025, 07:47 AM

Lol.....

Quote:

BREAKING: Short sellers are on track for their worst year since 2020, and they are blaming retail investors, per FT.

Blazed · 10-28-2025, 08:28 AM

consumer confidence @ 10, FOMC tomorrow

A lot of layoffs have been announced yesterday and this morning

Sitting on someone else's payroll in 2025 with the amount of technology and reach we have on the internet is crazy

Hopefully the layoffs lead to some new entrepreneurs and small businesses opening up

SPX: 6900 key level / 6957 top / 6850 (another key area) > 6840 > 6835 > 6819 bottom

KhalDrogo · 10-28-2025, 01:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blazed

Lol.....

Hilarious.

Market is absolutely humming right now.

10-17-2025, 08:21 AM	#3751
Blazed Member Join Date: Dec 2011 Location: Houston, TX Posts: 3,283 Blazed Blazed	Just watching today 6600 key level Dip this morning bought back up, see if it holds __________________ Everyday you wake up you’re guaranteed a chance and a choice. What you do with them is up to you. Make it a great day, or not. The choice is yours 🫡

10-20-2025, 09:58 AM	#3753
Blazed Member Join Date: Dec 2011 Location: Houston, TX Posts: 3,283 Blazed Blazed	Just watching today I'll wait until Tuesday’s close to see how the markets react to the 20-day moving average on the daily timeframe Earnings should bring some movement into the markets, especially TSLA on Weds __________________ Everyday you wake up you’re guaranteed a chance and a choice. What you do with them is up to you. Make it a great day, or not. The choice is yours 🫡

10-20-2025, 02:31 PM	#3754
ajlaxmn Member Join Date: Nov 2009 Location: Turner, ME Posts: 7,277 ajohnbarker	Long one META & SOFI Leap. Added another 100 FNMA on pushdown last week. Would add another 100 if it pushes down past last weeks prices. Still sitting with about $8k in the Roth, don't want to add anything here, I'm ok with missing any moves up, just want to be ready if their is any more of a push down (not necessarily a crash). __________________ Die hard Chargers Fan from the State of Maine. "Always with them negative waves"- Oddball "Uh-uh, I don't tip"- Mr. Pink

10-22-2025, 08:27 AM	#3759
Blazed Member Join Date: Dec 2011 Location: Houston, TX Posts: 3,283 Blazed Blazed	Failed to break 6750 twice on SPX yesterday making it the key level A break above can push to new ATHs this week Downside > 6700 has turned into solid support, if it gets down there and tries to break it should be met with a strong buyback __________________ Everyday you wake up you’re guaranteed a chance and a choice. What you do with them is up to you. Make it a great day, or not. The choice is yours 🫡

10-23-2025, 08:15 AM	#3764
Blazed Member Join Date: Dec 2011 Location: Houston, TX Posts: 3,283 Blazed Blazed	CPI tomorrow SPX 6700 key level break above with strength > 6750. Can't break above 6700 and hold > probably lose yesterday's low (6655) __________________ Everyday you wake up you’re guaranteed a chance and a choice. What you do with them is up to you. Make it a great day, or not. The choice is yours 🫡

10-24-2025, 08:27 AM	#3766
Blazed Member Join Date: Dec 2011 Location: Houston, TX Posts: 3,283 Blazed Blazed	CPI came in below Nice range off CPI SPX: 6775 key level > 6800 > 6850 upside / 6750 (gap @ 6749.5) > 6700 downside Easy day __________________ Everyday you wake up you’re guaranteed a chance and a choice. What you do with them is up to you. Make it a great day, or not. The choice is yours 🫡

10-26-2025, 04:24 PM	#3768
Blazed Member Join Date: Dec 2011 Location: Houston, TX Posts: 3,283 Blazed Blazed	Big earnings this week and FOMC rate decision Weds, EOM flows on Fri Should be a good week __________________ Everyday you wake up you’re guaranteed a chance and a choice. What you do with them is up to you. Make it a great day, or not. The choice is yours 🫡

10-28-2025, 08:28 AM	#3774
Blazed Member Join Date: Dec 2011 Location: Houston, TX Posts: 3,283 Blazed Blazed	consumer confidence @ 10, FOMC tomorrow A lot of layoffs have been announced yesterday and this morning Sitting on someone else's payroll in 2025 with the amount of technology and reach we have on the internet is crazy Hopefully the layoffs lead to some new entrepreneurs and small businesses opening up SPX: 6900 key level / 6957 top / 6850 (another key area) > 6840 > 6835 > 6819 bottom __________________ Everyday you wake up you’re guaranteed a chance and a choice. What you do with them is up to you. Make it a great day, or not. The choice is yours 🫡