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Old 05-22-2019, 11:01 AM   #11
jeff24k
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As an FYI, as an experiment I weighed my 12 boxes. I broke them down into three tiers and you can see results below. Unfortunately I didn't write the actual weights down.

Overall 7 of the 12 boxes had a "hit" with one box containing two hits (actually same pack):
Two Autos: one base, one orange
Non-Autos: two purples, one orange, one gold, one green, one green insert

Top Tier:
Three of these four boxes had a hit, with one of them having two color refractors (though interestingly enough that box wasn't the heaviest). One dud box. My big hit auto (Wander) was in this group.

Middle Tier:
Hit an orange auto (Julio Pablo) plus a gold refractor non-auto in the four boxes weighing in the middle in the pack. One of these was a dud box.

Bottom Tier:
Of these four boxes, three were duds (no autos or color) although one box did have a hit in it (this was the box ranked 11 of 12 in weight).

Conclusion: Weighing helps to indicate what's inside, but it's not fool proof. The heaviest ones are highly likely to have a "hit" inside, while the lighter ones probably don't have a hit (but still could have). For the "average" weighted boxes, it's a toss up. I'd still be weary of buying on eBay unless it's a respected seller or you're buying in lots of 12 or so.
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