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Old 05-31-2025, 09:41 PM   #1
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Default The Official 2025 NBA Finals Thread: OKC Thunder vs Indiana Pacers

who you got?
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Old 05-31-2025, 09:57 PM   #2
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SGMVP/Czetneck/Jdub/PHOkic in 3.

There's simply no stopping the generational glaze.




Congrats to Indy for coming out and participating and stuff like that.
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Old 05-31-2025, 10:02 PM   #3
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If the Pacers make this go 5 I'll be amazed..

OKC defense is f*cking scary
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Old 05-31-2025, 10:32 PM   #4
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The Thunders D and low turnover rate don't bode well for the Pacers.

SGA > Hail

The Pacers could win though. I'd say around a 10% chance. I'm not going to be someone who says the Pacers stand NO CHANCE.

I'm picking the Thunder in 6.

Game 1 Thursday night. Can't wait.

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Old 05-31-2025, 10:45 PM   #5
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what a run for SGA...
but Carlisle, Siakam, Hali & these frenetic Pacers have a real chance to spoil the party.

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Old 05-31-2025, 10:58 PM   #6
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Thunder a preliminary -775 fave to hoist the gold thang. Approximately 89% chance of winning.

Great value if you're truly a reckless degen belieber.

Oddly enough around the same odds as SGA winning the mvp heading into the final half of April. 'It's closer than you think' tho.
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Old 05-31-2025, 11:36 PM   #7
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Thunder a preliminary -775 fave to hoist the gold thang. Approximately 89% chance of winning.

Great value if you're truly a reckless degen belieber.

Oddly enough around the same odds as SGA winning the mvp heading into the final half of April. 'It's closer than you think' tho.
would you rather bet $775 to most probably win $100,
or most probably lose $100 for a chance for $775?
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Old 05-31-2025, 11:48 PM   #8
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It's gonna be a lot easier to block out Hartenstein than Mitchell Robinson. Therefore Indy will get lots of boards. Pacers in 6.
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Old 05-31-2025, 11:55 PM   #9
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Quote:
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would you rather bet $775 to most probably win $100,
or most probably lose $100 for a chance for $775?
Neither. Vegas obviously pushing casuals to bet game spreads. Which carries the most risk. I think it's a foregone conclusion Pacers will win at least one (OKC has yet to sweep this postseason). The bigger question is: will OKC suffer another catastrophic 4q meltdown like they did against Denver and make things interesting...

Onus will remain on Indy to keep OKC below the magic 110 mark each game. Very seldom do they lose if they get there. However, they're more than capable of winning trackmeets if both squads eclipse. I think that's what makes them so dangerous where a lot of other teams falter.
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Old 06-01-2025, 12:05 AM   #10
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All joking aside, I think the most pivotal matchup will be Chet/Siakam. Pascal showed why championship experience is invaluable this past series. He was by far their most consistent player. They'll most likely match up. Chet's rebounding numbers regressed a bit against Minny's large lineup, but upped his defensive rim protection and added some nice offensive lines. If he can throttle him and keep him under 20ppg it'll make it infinitely harder for Indy to establish offensive continuity. Hali's a rollercoaster.

I'm predicting his boards revert back to double digits like they did against Denver. Indy's most exploitable down low. Turner remains one of the worst 5's in the game when it comes to physicality and box outs.
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Old 06-01-2025, 12:16 AM   #11
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Don't care about odds, I'm pushing all my chips in on Nomad. The fairy tale ending is in sight.

Nesmith for FMVP.
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Old 06-01-2025, 06:51 AM   #12
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Thunder for sure
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Old 06-01-2025, 06:57 AM   #13
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OKC in 5. Pacers have no chance.
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Old 06-01-2025, 07:39 AM   #14
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Pacers in 3. Thunder forfeit after getting decimated each game by 40.
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Old 06-01-2025, 07:59 AM   #15
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Dont overthink it ,. OKC in 2 , Shai Shai FMVP to finish off the season .. they do all what Indy can do but better .
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Old 06-01-2025, 09:10 AM   #16
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NBA will tilt the officiating heavily in favor of the Pacers in game 1. They have to in order to get the betting markets interested. What a dud and lopsided matchup.
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Old 06-01-2025, 09:40 AM   #17
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Unless SGA gets hurt by a couple of hard, pipe hitting dudes who go to work on him with a pair of pliers and a blow torch, Indy gonna lose.
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Old 06-01-2025, 10:00 AM   #18
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Quote:
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Don't care about odds, I'm pushing all my chips in on Nomad. The fairy tale ending is in sight.

Nesmith for FMVP.
Nesmith is definitely in a position to push it to a higher level on the biggest stage. All I can ask.

The Pacers masterfully closed out with him on the bass, one finger taped up, allowing players like Nembhard and Bryant their moment of shine in the critical game 6.

Khal, just as when officials tilted heavily in favor of NY a few times in the last series, you have to be that good. OKC may be that team, TBH.

Went through the entire collection yesterday. I can proudly say that, from college to first Finals appearance, no issue is not well represented.

Critical at a time when prices for what's remaining on the bay just got out of loop. A tie-die select /25 PSA 10 listed at $1,000 should never sell and a Clutch factors NT RPA /25 for $525 is just wack.

Don't even want to see what Haliburton is doing.

This hobby gives and takes without reason.


On the arc with seven tres. Dude's been doing it a long while.
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Old 06-01-2025, 10:43 AM   #19
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hmmmm...I think OKC will win in 5. Indy gets a token win at home.

However, if Indy does pull off the upset, I'm going to be pretty sad that I sold my 2023 National Black Box Haliburton 1/1 2020/21 Impeccable RC Auto a week or so ago...

won't be as big of a killer as when I sold my national treasure RC triple GU Auto of Steph curry for $400 (Sold it after he was the 3 pt champion the first time...I thought all he was going to be was a 3 pt specialist)
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Old 06-01-2025, 10:46 AM   #20
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Nothing burns worse than selling because you feel its peak and there is no way. And then watching it happen.

I feel like I did my duty. Some guy from BO in Australia or New Zealand offered me the Origins 1/1 a couple months ago. Not expecting much. And I said hold onto it a couple more months and thank me.
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Old 06-01-2025, 10:57 AM   #21
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I'd assume OKC nukes them hard, but idk I have basically assumed that same thing every round the Pacers have been in except the first vs the shyte Bucks squad so who knows?
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Old 06-01-2025, 12:48 PM   #22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by al3xmac10 View Post
would you rather bet $775 to most probably win $100,
or most probably lose $100 for a chance for $775?
If you have to risk 775\100, it would be like 100/525 on the other side
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Old 06-01-2025, 12:50 PM   #23
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Cards offer way better odds, multiples. With sports betting, you're always clawing back last night's losses. I could have correctly predicted the Pacers and lost it all betting on the wrong gimme games.

Who would have predicted game 1, which they ultimately call a fluke, because Nesmith can't be that? Or game 3 in Gainbridge, or game 5 at MSG against a spent Knicks?

With cards over time there is little variance, because you are constantly assessing the soundness of the player. Like Apple. Early investors bought a few shares, saw they made some good products, invested a little more. But Microsoft was still valued way more, as late as the late 90s. You could have invested in Apple in March 2000 and made 1,248 percent on your investment in five years.
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Old 06-01-2025, 02:05 PM   #24
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OKC wins in 4 or 5 at most
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Old 06-01-2025, 03:43 PM   #25
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Quote:
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NBA will tilt the officiating heavily in favor of the Pacers in game 1. They have to in order to get the betting markets interested. What a dud and lopsided matchup.
They could rig this to go 11 games, nobody is going to watch other than die hards.
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