2016 Star Wars High Tek By The Numbers

xtwinstarx · 07-13-2020, 08:39 PM

I have been eagerly tracking all of the 1/1s from this set for years. There are 895 1/1 cards in total. I have scoured all known eBay, FB group, BO sales, and the web in general. I have spent countless hours watching break videos. Currently, I have set eyes on 544/895 cards. Which leaves 351 1/1s whereabouts unknown online. There was a time when eBay removed their API in 2017ish where there were some auction results I could not confirm with a photo. I could really kick myself for not screen capping every card I saw for a visual DB.

This is where I am now. By my count 1/1s were slightly better than 1 every 2 cases, which puts it near 760 cases to get through the remaining cards. The web has been drained of all known cases. There are none left. There are boxes, but a box guarantees nothing, at least a case is ~50% chance. Could it be possible that many cases were opened in private? Only 1517 cases according to the odds of cards. So nearly half of all cases opened in private? That seems extreme. I'm sure a good percentage of cases were broken up into box sales, but that would leave a huge amount of boxes out there for sale, which doesn't seem to be the case either.

I would love to hear what you guys think about this. Where have all the proofs gone?

whynot7019 · 07-13-2020, 09:08 PM

i hit a yellow 1/1 when i bought just 3 boxes .... what are the odds of that ??

HiltonL · 07-14-2020, 01:04 AM

There are a lot of black hole collectors, but especially there are a lot of folks who just break offline. Those cards never touch the internet.

Good luck in your quest

xtwinstarx · 08-28-2021, 11:35 AM

In just over a year my tracker went up from 515/895 to 536/895. So new cards are still appearing on the web but a slow trickle at best. I have started following some overseas sites, but in 5 years its easy to see maybe most of the 359 missing cards could have been sold on sites that us buyers don't check often. I still think there are a bunch out there still in boxes.

xtwinstarx · 12-05-2021, 04:21 PM

537/895 found, not much movement since August.

xtwinstarx · 01-12-2022, 09:48 AM

542/895 found, since last month a few more!

finfangfan · 01-12-2022, 04:47 PM

Where is your checklist posted of the 1/1’s that you have already tracked?

xtwinstarx · 01-13-2022, 02:32 AM

I have a google sheet, but its not public. I'll send you a link.

xtwinstarx · 02-26-2022, 09:43 AM

544/895 found, 2 more since last month.

mrmcgibblets669 · 02-27-2022, 09:06 AM

I opened one case back in the day and pulled the Kanan Jarrus black diffractor which I don't believe I have ever posted about anywhere.

xtwinstarx · 02-27-2022, 11:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmcgibblets669

I opened one case back in the day and pulled the Kanan Jarrus black diffractor which I don't believe I have ever posted about anywhere.

got a picture?

My list shows cyan, magenta and yellow proofs, and yellow auto proof are all I've seen out there.

xtwinstarx · 04-03-2023, 04:35 PM

Been a while since I updated

554/895 found, still a slow crawl! many proofs are still out in the wild! Always looking!

xtwinstarx · 02-09-2024, 03:27 PM

561/895 found so far

xtwinstarx · 05-03-2024, 12:29 PM

563/895 - big jump already this year.

xtwinstarx · 09-02-2025, 12:43 PM

581/895, been a few years, is a slow pace, but more than I thought we'd get by now, almost 65% seen/found

sandyfrank · 09-04-2025, 06:35 PM

Do you track autos because I might have a 1/1 auto from that.

EDIT: Nevermind it is 2017 Anthony Daniels 1/1 C-3PO...

07-13-2020, 08:39 PM	#1
xtwinstarx Member Join Date: Dec 2016 Posts: 637 xtwinstarx	2016 Star Wars High Tek By The Numbers I have been eagerly tracking all of the 1/1s from this set for years. There are 895 1/1 cards in total. I have scoured all known eBay, FB group, BO sales, and the web in general. I have spent countless hours watching break videos. Currently, I have set eyes on 544/895 cards. Which leaves 351 1/1s whereabouts unknown online. There was a time when eBay removed their API in 2017ish where there were some auction results I could not confirm with a photo. I could really kick myself for not screen capping every card I saw for a visual DB. This is where I am now. By my count 1/1s were slightly better than 1 every 2 cases, which puts it near 760 cases to get through the remaining cards. The web has been drained of all known cases. There are none left. There are boxes, but a box guarantees nothing, at least a case is ~50% chance. Could it be possible that many cases were opened in private? Only 1517 cases according to the odds of cards. So nearly half of all cases opened in private? That seems extreme. I'm sure a good percentage of cases were broken up into box sales, but that would leave a huge amount of boxes out there for sale, which doesn't seem to be the case either. I would love to hear what you guys think about this. Where have all the proofs gone? Last edited by xtwinstarx; 05-05-2022 at 11:16 PM.

07-13-2020, 09:08 PM	#2
whynot7019 Member Join Date: Mar 2019 Posts: 16	1/1 out of 3 boxes i hit a yellow 1/1 when i bought just 3 boxes .... what are the odds of that ??

09-04-2025, 06:35 PM	#16
sandyfrank Member Join Date: Dec 2018 Posts: 1,018	Do you track autos because I might have a 1/1 auto from that. EDIT: Nevermind it is 2017 Anthony Daniels 1/1 C-3PO... Last edited by sandyfrank; 09-04-2025 at 06:40 PM. Reason: new information

07-14-2020, 01:04 AM	#3
HiltonL Member Join Date: Oct 2013 Location: Sammamish, WA Posts: 2,445 Labman68 HiltonL	There are a lot of black hole collectors, but especially there are a lot of folks who just break offline. Those cards never touch the internet. Good luck in your quest

08-28-2021, 11:35 AM	#4
xtwinstarx Member Join Date: Dec 2016 Posts: 637 xtwinstarx	In just over a year my tracker went up from 515/895 to 536/895. So new cards are still appearing on the web but a slow trickle at best. I have started following some overseas sites, but in 5 years its easy to see maybe most of the 359 missing cards could have been sold on sites that us buyers don't check often. I still think there are a bunch out there still in boxes.

12-05-2021, 04:21 PM	#5
xtwinstarx Member Join Date: Dec 2016 Posts: 637 xtwinstarx	537/895 found, not much movement since August.

01-12-2022, 09:48 AM	#6
xtwinstarx Member Join Date: Dec 2016 Posts: 637 xtwinstarx	542/895 found, since last month a few more!

01-12-2022, 04:47 PM	#7
finfangfan Member Join Date: Oct 2013 Posts: 11,360	Where is your checklist posted of the 1/1’s that you have already tracked?

01-13-2022, 02:32 AM	#8
xtwinstarx Member Join Date: Dec 2016 Posts: 637 xtwinstarx	I have a google sheet, but its not public. I'll send you a link.

02-26-2022, 09:43 AM	#9
xtwinstarx Member Join Date: Dec 2016 Posts: 637 xtwinstarx	544/895 found, 2 more since last month.

02-27-2022, 09:06 AM	#10
mrmcgibblets669 Member Join Date: Sep 2016 Posts: 7	I opened one case back in the day and pulled the Kanan Jarrus black diffractor which I don't believe I have ever posted about anywhere.

04-03-2023, 04:35 PM	#12
xtwinstarx Member Join Date: Dec 2016 Posts: 637 xtwinstarx	Been a while since I updated 554/895 found, still a slow crawl! many proofs are still out in the wild! Always looking!

02-09-2024, 03:27 PM	#13
xtwinstarx Member Join Date: Dec 2016 Posts: 637 xtwinstarx	561/895 found so far

05-03-2024, 12:29 PM	#14
xtwinstarx Member Join Date: Dec 2016 Posts: 637 xtwinstarx	563/895 - big jump already this year.

09-02-2025, 12:43 PM	#15
xtwinstarx Member Join Date: Dec 2016 Posts: 637 xtwinstarx	581/895, been a few years, is a slow pace, but more than I thought we'd get by now, almost 65% seen/found