question on using odds to calculate print runs

jduds · 02-25-2022, 06:28 PM

I know some folks play around with this, but how do you account for different distribution methods? Do you just assume even distribution amongst hobby, jumbos, blasters, and hangers? I guess sometimes parts of it can be figured out if there is a numbered parallel exclusive to one of these, but not sure what to do otherwise.

Silent George · 02-25-2022, 07:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jduds

I know some folks play around with this, but how do you account for different distribution methods? Do you just assume even distribution amongst hobby, jumbos, blasters, and hangers? I guess sometimes parts of it can be figured out if there is a numbered parallel exclusive to one of these, but not sure what to do otherwise.

Most sets have an exclusive parallel or insert, and you can calculate from there.

mjohnatgt · 02-25-2022, 07:49 PM

Well, for something like Flagship gold /2022, those would likely be evenly distributed among nearly all product configurations, with nearly equivalent insert ratios. So by using that one, you should be able to get a reasonable total pack count.

But yes, to get very accurate ideas of the print run of number of packs produced, you'd have to find an exclusive for every type of pack.

jduds · 02-25-2022, 08:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mjohnatgt

Well, for something like Flagship gold /2022, those would likely be evenly distributed among nearly all product configurations, with nearly equivalent insert ratios. So by using that one, you should be able to get a reasonable total pack count.

But yes, to get very accurate ideas of the print run of number of packs produced, you'd have to find an exclusive for every type of pack.

thanks. That's about what I figured, but thought I'd see if I was missing something.

pewe · 02-25-2022, 08:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jduds

thanks. That's about what I figured, but thought I'd see if I was missing something.

Ya… historically for flagship it was:
— clear is exclusive to hobby <— gets hobby
— black is split hobby and jumbo <— gets jumbo, because hobby is known
— gold #/20xx odds are the same across all retail <— gets retail, because hobby + jumbo is known

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02-25-2022, 06:28 PM	#1
jduds Member Join Date: May 2020 Location: Hattiesburg, MS Posts: 3,781 chilaw57	question on using odds to calculate print runs I know some folks play around with this, but how do you account for different distribution methods? Do you just assume even distribution amongst hobby, jumbos, blasters, and hangers? I guess sometimes parts of it can be figured out if there is a numbered parallel exclusive to one of these, but not sure what to do otherwise.

02-25-2022, 07:49 PM	#3
mjohnatgt Member Join Date: Apr 2015 Location: Niceville, FL Posts: 14,549 mjohnatgt mjohnatgt	Well, for something like Flagship gold /2022, those would likely be evenly distributed among nearly all product configurations, with nearly equivalent insert ratios. So by using that one, you should be able to get a reasonable total pack count. But yes, to get very accurate ideas of the print run of number of packs produced, you'd have to find an exclusive for every type of pack.