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tyrith · 08-08-2025, 05:22 PM

Relying on RC autos to save a Bowman product is a trap. They always SSP the hell out of desirable players. James Wood having /499 autos in 2025 Bowman is the first good player that's been the case for in years.

I'd expect James Wood and Roki Sasaki to get repeat RC autos, albeit that I suspect they will be limited to /75 yellow parallels and less. Keep in mind that Bowman CRA autos are one of the few things in the hobby that has escaped parallel creep. They will probably have some SSSP'ed base autos, but I'm expecting a total of maybe 250 cards each. Kurtz will probably have more, but still not expecting /499s for him, so just blue /150s and below.

CRA checklists are typically only 12-15 names long; they do the dilution through the prospects, since they can get random 5th rounders and marginal international prospects to sign 3,000 cards without complaining about it too much. So Cam Smith, Drake Baldwin, Jacob Wilson, Kristian Campbell, Mick Abel, and Matt Shaw seem like locks to me out of the TC list (and I'm probably missing one or two guys.) Could see a repeat for Dylan Crews also, he would still have had a good bit of hype when they had to finalize the checklist 3 or so months ago.

Don't ask me about the quality of the prospect list, I personally don't care about any prospect that isn't in the top 10-15 of people's lists and don't go hunting for trouble. That said, I have a big ol spreadsheet I use to track the history of the important Bowman CPAs, and as far I can tell we've only had three 1st autos that have been worth a flip in the last five years before this one - Leo de Vries last year and Jackson Chourio and Jackson Merrill in 2022. It would have been four before Ethan Salas torpedoed his career with injuries. I suppose you could point to Samuel Basallo in 2023 also, but the hobby really, truly does not care about catchers - his recent sales of PSA 10 1st CPAs are barely north of $200.

08-08-2025, 05:22 PM	#7
tyrith Member Join Date: Jun 2020 Posts: 1,980 tyrith	Relying on RC autos to save a Bowman product is a trap. They always SSP the hell out of desirable players. James Wood having /499 autos in 2025 Bowman is the first good player that's been the case for in years. I'd expect James Wood and Roki Sasaki to get repeat RC autos, albeit that I suspect they will be limited to /75 yellow parallels and less. Keep in mind that Bowman CRA autos are one of the few things in the hobby that has escaped parallel creep. They will probably have some SSSP'ed base autos, but I'm expecting a total of maybe 250 cards each. Kurtz will probably have more, but still not expecting /499s for him, so just blue /150s and below. CRA checklists are typically only 12-15 names long; they do the dilution through the prospects, since they can get random 5th rounders and marginal international prospects to sign 3,000 cards without complaining about it too much. So Cam Smith, Drake Baldwin, Jacob Wilson, Kristian Campbell, Mick Abel, and Matt Shaw seem like locks to me out of the TC list (and I'm probably missing one or two guys.) Could see a repeat for Dylan Crews also, he would still have had a good bit of hype when they had to finalize the checklist 3 or so months ago. Don't ask me about the quality of the prospect list, I personally don't care about any prospect that isn't in the top 10-15 of people's lists and don't go hunting for trouble. That said, I have a big ol spreadsheet I use to track the history of the important Bowman CPAs, and as far I can tell we've only had three 1st autos that have been worth a flip in the last five years before this one - Leo de Vries last year and Jackson Chourio and Jackson Merrill in 2022. It would have been four before Ethan Salas torpedoed his career with injuries. I suppose you could point to Samuel Basallo in 2023 also, but the hobby really, truly does not care about catchers - his recent sales of PSA 10 1st CPAs are barely north of $200.