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Boredlawyer · 06-02-2024, 10:55 AM

It's really simple. It has very little to do with player performance. Acuna, Tatis, Chourio, Holliday, etc have all sucked this season. But even guys that are performing well (Carson Williams) aren't going up.

A ton of money got sucked out of the hobby over the last 18 months. All the COVID folks sitting at home discovering Bowman Chrome for the first time. People that made quick money on crypto convinced that they found a new revenue stream. How many people that got into cards in June 2020 stayed for four years? I bet 4/5 folks that bought their first Bowman Chrome card in 2020-2021 haven't picked one up in a year.

Cards stopped being fun to them when they stopped appreciating in value overnight. If those folks weren't fickle about cards, then they wouldn't have discovered them during COVID; they'd already be here. The market was propped up by folks paying $500 for Robert Puason PSA 10s, because they'd never experienced failure in this microeconomy.

Buying Bowman Chrome cards at the moment means fighting an uphill battle against player performance and market factors. Don't see an entry point unless a player is just preposterously underpriced.

People need to temper their expectations for what a mid-high ceiling Bowman Chrome autograph is worth. Historically, it hasn't been $50-75 for Yanquiel Fernandez, Pedro Pineda types, $200 for Robert Puason types, or $300 for Walker Jenkins types.

06-02-2024, 10:55 AM	#186
Boredlawyer Member Join Date: Jan 2019 Posts: 2,118	It's really simple. It has very little to do with player performance. Acuna, Tatis, Chourio, Holliday, etc have all sucked this season. But even guys that are performing well (Carson Williams) aren't going up. A ton of money got sucked out of the hobby over the last 18 months. All the COVID folks sitting at home discovering Bowman Chrome for the first time. People that made quick money on crypto convinced that they found a new revenue stream. How many people that got into cards in June 2020 stayed for four years? I bet 4/5 folks that bought their first Bowman Chrome card in 2020-2021 haven't picked one up in a year. Cards stopped being fun to them when they stopped appreciating in value overnight. If those folks weren't fickle about cards, then they wouldn't have discovered them during COVID; they'd already be here. The market was propped up by folks paying $500 for Robert Puason PSA 10s, because they'd never experienced failure in this microeconomy. Buying Bowman Chrome cards at the moment means fighting an uphill battle against player performance and market factors. Don't see an entry point unless a player is just preposterously underpriced. People need to temper their expectations for what a mid-high ceiling Bowman Chrome autograph is worth. Historically, it hasn't been $50-75 for Yanquiel Fernandez, Pedro Pineda types, $200 for Robert Puason types, or $300 for Walker Jenkins types. Last edited by Boredlawyer; 06-02-2024 at 10:59 AM.