Quote:
Originally Posted by mangia1976
Looks like recent avg. sales around $150. From what you've seen does this look like a safe floor? And I see what you're saying about the pop, 10k, yikes[emoji15].
I wonder if the value is better in Heritage at 1400 pop, with sales at a 1/3 of what they were in Aug..
But obviously Flagship is [emoji146] so who knows![emoji2369]
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I think the graded number will flatten out a bit more after this spring. Literally everyone sent their Tatis in after his scorching start, but not a lot of S2 is being opened anymore. It feels like people were opening '18 update for 2 years non-stop, despite being a lower PR.
I don't know if 150 is a "safe" floor, but long term, I think the 410 is going to be much less available than the severely overprinted 2020 flagship (hobby/retail and massive # of factory sets) or even '19 S1. I would much rather be holding a Tatis 410 than any other flagship base rookie for 2019 on, simply due to availability. I have to believe that eventually reflects in the price, even if it's not immediate. 10K copies of PSA 10 is not a small number, but there are people holding hundreds of copies. If Tatis becomes who we think he will be, that number may not feel so intimidating. I think the 410 PSA 10 peaked at ~280 last year - that felt overextended, but I wouldn't be surprised if we revisited that price with a good year.