Quote:
Originally Posted by fungi2510
Why use data from a county where he won almost 2-1? If it is anything less than that, Trump is in big trouble. Obviously he had a huge base in 2016 in this county. The rest of the country was not the same. If he is struggling here, what will happen in places that he was not as successful in before?
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Because the data is easily accessible and updated. I know Trump will win this county but that's not the point. If he's not outperforming his turnout #'s in 2016, he'll be toast nationally as well. It's a good marker to see whether or not he stands a chance.
Florida is a must-win state and to win, he must use the 200,000 registration advantage his party gave him over the last four years. If the Red team is not coming out to vote; by 7pm election day, I'll call it! Won't even need to wait for the results if the margin isn't bigger than '16 here.