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Originally Posted by JMarchand1981
I am up a couple bucks tonight but that was because I went heavy on the Celtics ml.
I'd love to get the opinions of the more dedicated guys. As a stock market guy, diversification is a thing. In gambling, I almost feel you are better to weight your bets heavier towards the stuff you are more convinced will happen.
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Money management is the key and it’s a field you have already excelled in.
I can’t speak for others but here’s how i play.
Each month I have a set amount of $ that I’m willing to play.
I refuse to play more than that amount and usually I break that amount into 4 weeks of play to 25% weekly.
I never use the term “House Money” - I win few games and I’m up X amount of dollars. That doesn’t mean my winnings are “House Money” and I can chase a few bets that may have not been on my radar.
I’m a firm believer in if the funds are in my account it’s my money and not house money so I should manage it and play as planned.
Never double up to make up a certain loss.
I’ve learned that the hard way, there’s always tomorrow and there’s always more games to play so if I lose a few games no need me to double or triple my play to try to make up my losses and possibly get into deeper hole.
College basketball overs are one of the dumbest bets - Yet I continue to take them lol.
Only in college basketball you’ll see teams go multiple minutes without a bucket on both sides but depending on the coach you can make up 12+ pts in final 60 seconds. Also look at the schedule and see how many National TV games these small schools have.
Last night Norfolk st vs NCCU was on CBSSN and it was Norfolk states only national tv spot of the year. Ov is 125 and score is 59-51 with 8:52 to play and I think to my self this is in the bag.
Game ends 69-63 NCCU, Norfolk doesn’t score for next 8 mins.
Lot of these small schools on their only national tv spot always do one or two things, they show up and shine or just fold under pressure.
I’m in favor of targeting these games if the spread is within 5pts and look for fouls down the stretch.
I’ve rambled on long enough so let’s get onto today’s plays.
Auburn vs Ark ov 143
CSU vs Fresno ov 142.5 - Neither team plays any defense so as long as shots fall I see the game going well over 150+
Good luck to all today.