How far will Mike Trout's prices fall in 2024?
 

A follow-up to the 2022 poll ([url]https://www.blowoutforums.com/showthread.php?t=1514136[/url]).

Old thread bump and a new poll?

That’s a raw deal, bro.

Trout investors are painin’ enough!

Some of you have nothing better to do than wait for a man’s downfall.

i think they should stay pretty steady

Sell while you can

[QUOTE=AllHofers;19431807]Sell while you can[/QUOTE]

welcome back!

[QUOTE=NYBBFAN;19431711]Some of you have nothing better to do than wait for a man’s downfall.[/QUOTE]

It's not really waiting when it's been happening for about 4 years now. This isn't the guys piling on LeBron for getting knocked out of the playoffs at age 39 after 4 rings and the scoring title. It's not Tom Brady's final run at age 45 after 7 rings.

It's the realization the hobby priced a guy as a Mount Rushmore player and he continues to fall short of that.

at this rate, Bryce Harper will end up with a better career.

His career is shockingly similar to Griffey Jr.
Post season included.

Can argue that Trout had slightly better numbers, but never was cool enough to be a cultural icon.

Poor fish man

[QUOTE=Boredlawyer;19431896]His career is shockingly similar to Griffey Jr.
Post season included.

Can argue that Trout had slightly better numbers, but never was cool enough to be a cultural icon.

Poor fish man[/QUOTE]

It sucks for sure. Trout makes the game more fun to watch, but he's never sniffing 500 homers, let alone the 600+ Griffey hit.

[QUOTE=Boredlawyer;19431896]His career is shockingly similar to Griffey Jr.
Post season included.

Can argue that Trout had slightly better numbers, but never was cool enough to be a cultural icon.

Poor fish man[/QUOTE]

Think Trout's got another 250 HRs in him?

[QUOTE=tjforce;19431974]Think Trout's got another 250 HRs in him?[/QUOTE]

He has 8 more years on his contract.

[QUOTE=atk825;19431980]He has 8 more years on his contract.[/QUOTE]

So, what's that? 240 more games?

[QUOTE=atk825;19431980]He has 8 more years on his contract.[/QUOTE]

Last 5 seasons he has 93 Home Runs.

Wonder what age 33-40 will look like

Trout was THE dominant figure in the hobby for 6+ years....even if the rest of his career is an injury-filled mess (like Griffey Jr. and to a lesser extent Pujols and Miggy), he will remain a hobby icon, finish his career with 100+ WAR, and be a 1st ballot HOFer.

He's got 3 MVPs, 3 more 2nd place finishes, and a 173 career OPS+.....

There's really no upside to Trout anymore. If you hold big Trout cards you can still sell now and buy back in for 30% less in 3-5 years. The story has been the same for multiple years now even though many here don't want to believe it. He WAS a hobby icon, but in 15 years no one is going to be jacked up to pull a Trout "legends" auto. He simply doesn't carry the weight like Griffey or others.

The injury might not be season ending, but I doubt he comes back.

Trout gets his yearly vacation.

[QUOTE=mfw13;19432014]Trout [B]was[/B] THE dominant figure in the hobby for 6+ years....even if the rest of his career is an injury-filled mess (like Griffey Jr. and to a lesser extent Pujols and Miggy), he will remain a hobby icon, finish his career with 100+ WAR, and be a 1st ballot HOFer.

He's got 3 MVPs, 3 more 2nd place finishes, and a 173 career OPS+.....[/QUOTE]

Crazy to know he's a thing of the past at age 33.

[QUOTE=Grave252;19432026]There's really no upside to Trout anymore. If you hold big Trout cards you can still sell now and buy back in for 30% less in 3-5 years. The story has been the same for multiple years now even though many here don't want to believe it. He WAS a hobby icon, but in 15 years no one is going to be jacked up to pull a Trout "legends" auto. He simply doesn't carry the weight like Griffey or others.[/QUOTE]

How much have his prices fallen since 2022? How much lower do you expect them to go?

[QUOTE=mfw13;19432014]Trout was THE dominant figure in the hobby for 6+ years....even if the rest of his career is an injury-filled mess (like Griffey Jr. and to a lesser extent Pujols and Miggy), he will remain a hobby icon, finish his career with 100+ WAR, and be a 1st ballot HOFer.

He's got 3 MVPs, 3 more 2nd place finishes, and a 173 career OPS+.....[/QUOTE]

He's had a great career but in the real world, nobody will care about his WAR and OPS+. He's still under 400 HRs and 2,000 hits.

guy carried the hobby for a long time

His values are going to start to crash now.

People now realize he will not ever be back to the all-star form he had from 2012-2019. He had a nice stretch, but, historically speaking his career is nothing special as compared to other hall of famers.

[QUOTE=eastbayak;19432051]How much have his prices fallen since 2022? How much lower do you expect them to go?[/QUOTE]

There's plenty of room to drop. What's going to prop them up? Shortened seasons, no playoff success, not a marketable star, etc. Perhaps I'll be proven wrong, but there seems to be a cohort of people that believe because Trout drove card prices for a brief period, his star will burn bright forever. I have a hard time believing that will be the case. The hobby now likes flash, championships, and monetary value. What's hot or next will continually eat market share over what once was. No one in 2035 is going to tell their kids what it was like to watch Mike Trout play baseball, because it was a boring greatness, and that won't stand the test of time as far as hobby value.

[QUOTE=Grave252;19432102]There's plenty of room to drop. What's going to prop them up? Shortened seasons, no playoff success, not a marketable star, etc. Perhaps I'll be proven wrong, but there seems to be a cohort of people that believe because Trout drove card prices for a brief period, his star will burn bright forever. I have a hard time believing that will be the case. The hobby now likes flash, championships, and monetary value. What's hot or next will continually eat market share over what once was. No one in 2035 is going to tell their kids what it was like to watch Mike Trout play baseball, because it was a boring greatness, and that won't stand the test of time as far as hobby value.[/QUOTE]

wrong

Mike Trout was easily the best player of the 2010’s. The run he had rivals any run any great inner circle hall of famers best decade. While that’s true, I think his legacy or the impression he leaves on the game will be ‘what if he were healthy?’ similar to Mantle, but minus the rings.