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-   -   **The Perennial JUAN SOTO Thread!** (https://www.blowoutforums.com/showthread.php?t=1329554)

JoeAdam 01-19-2020 06:35 PM

[QUOTE=Neal;15460723]I would get a US300 over the HMT55.

Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk[/QUOTE]

Both are still bargains.

REGGIE206 01-19-2020 07:31 PM

[QUOTE=Neo;15460638]Friends,

I need a Soto. I do not have a Soto. Is the chrome update HMT55 the place to be?[/QUOTE]

I would get the US300 in a PSA 10. I recommend a PSA 10 because they’re more condition sensitive compared to his Topps Chrome. At this moment, buying a PSA 10 won’t break the bank and pretty affordable.

I hope that helps! Good luck! :)!

Rabs 01-19-2020 07:42 PM

You can get a US300 PSA 10 for $70. Card could easily be $100 in a couple months.

lauriontj 01-19-2020 07:42 PM

[QUOTE=Rabs;15461222]You can get a US300 PSA 10 for $70. Card could easily be $100 in a couple months.[/QUOTE]

I bet they get to $100 before the season starts...call me crazy

jw8 01-19-2020 07:54 PM

[QUOTE=lauriontj;15461228]I bet they get to $100 before the season starts...call me crazy[/QUOTE]Agree... maybe we're both crazy [emoji106]

Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk

BBases31 01-19-2020 08:02 PM

[QUOTE=Neo;15460638]Friends,

I need a Soto. I do not have a Soto. Is the chrome update HMT55 the place to be?[/QUOTE]

Chrome Update which is 1/3 the print run. 3 raw Chrome Updates that are very likely to gem > 1 PSA 10 US300

rngrdanny22 01-19-2020 08:02 PM

[QUOTE=lauriontj;15461228]I bet they get to $100 before the season starts...call me crazy[/QUOTE]

They hit $100, I'll start to move some of mine.

REGGIE206 01-19-2020 08:20 PM

[QUOTE=BBases31;15461355]Chrome Update which is 1/3 the print run. 3 raw Chrome Updates that are very likely to gem > 1 PSA 10 US300[/QUOTE]
In my opinion, that logic doesn’t always work. With Derek Jeter’s 1993 rookie cards, there are roughly 4,100+ Stadium Club cards graded by PSA.. while there are more than 15,700 SP’s graded by PSA.

There are also way more 2011 Topps Update Mike Trout RC’s compared to his Sterling RC and both PSA 10’s sell roughly for the same price.

lauriontj 01-19-2020 08:35 PM

[QUOTE=REGGIE206;15461448]In my opinion, that logic doesn’t always work. With Derek Jeter’s 1993 rookie cards, there are roughly 4,100+ Stadium Club cards graded by PSA.. while there are more than 15,700 SP’s graded by PSA.

There are also way more 2011 Topps Update Mike Trout RC’s compared to his Sterling RC and both PSA 10’s sell roughly for the same price.[/QUOTE]

They are both selling for roughly the same price (PSA 10). For me, HMT55 Chrome is the choice. The Print run is smaller. It seems the chrome has caught up to the price of the us300. Maybe we are seeing a shift in the market? Time will tell. However, if you follow the market, one will rise above the other and you’ll have your answer.

ThoseBackPages 01-19-2020 08:35 PM

buy both, tonight

lauriontj 01-19-2020 08:41 PM

[QUOTE=ThoseBackPages;15461527]buy both, tonight[/QUOTE]

This.

Neo 01-19-2020 08:45 PM

[img]https://i.ibb.co/hCSTYQN/giphy.gif[/img]

REGGIE206 01-19-2020 08:45 PM

[QUOTE=lauriontj;15461520]They are both selling for roughly the same price (PSA 10). For me, HMT55 Chrome is the choice. The Print run is smaller. It seems the chrome has caught up to the price of the us300. Maybe we are seeing a shift in the market? Time will tell. However, if you follow the market, one will rise above the other and you’ll have your answer.[/QUOTE]

That is why I bought both in PSA 10.. haha! :)

BBases31 01-19-2020 08:52 PM

[QUOTE=REGGIE206;15461448]In my opinion, that logic doesn’t always work. With Derek Jeter’s 1993 rookie cards, there are roughly 4,100+ Stadium Club cards graded by PSA.. while there are more than 15,700 SP’s graded by PSA. There are also way more 2011 Topps Update Mike Trout RC’s compared to his Sterling RC and both PSA 10’s sell roughly for the same price.[/QUOTE]

Comparing two cards with two different images from two completely different sets being somehow analogous to how print run influences the Update vs Chrome Update Soto is one of the worst takes I've seen on here in a long time

ThoseBackPages 01-19-2020 09:24 PM

3:1 is generous on production

Neal 01-19-2020 09:24 PM

[QUOTE=Neo;15461583][img]https://i.ibb.co/hCSTYQN/giphy.gif[/img][/QUOTE]LOL
ATTABOY!!!

[IMG]https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20200120/fb4fca119afda5960da5ad5a144ca07d.gif[/IMG]

Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk

REGGIE206 01-19-2020 09:26 PM

[QUOTE=BBases31;15461625]Comparing two cards with two different images from two completely different sets being somehow analogous to how print run influences the Update vs Chrome Update Soto is one of the worst takes I've seen on here in a long time[/QUOTE]

Okay. My bad.. but let me replace my comment/post with Ichiro Suzuki’s 2001 Topps #726 vs 2001 Topps Chrome Traded #T266. Both have the same image, but the regular Topps is more condition sensitive. Here is the last PSA 10 sale & sale date, PSA pop, and image:

[B]2001 Topps #726: $499 (12/23)
PSA Pop: 2,298[/B]

[IMG]https://images-na.ssl-images-amazon.com/images/I/51pR-yqyzeL._SY445_.jpg[/IMG]

[B]2001 Topps Chrome Traded #T266: $350 (1/15)
PSA Pop: 778[/B]

[IMG] https://img.comc.com/i/Baseball/2001/Topps-Traded--Rookies---Base---Chrome-Retrofractor/T266/Ichiro-Suzuki.jpg?id=fb4232aa-009f-4455-968d-604f3b065aa2&size=original[/IMG]

:popcorn:

rngrdanny22 01-19-2020 09:27 PM

[QUOTE=BBases31;15461625]Comparing two cards with two different images from two completely different sets being somehow analogous to how print run influences the Update vs Chrome Update Soto is one of the worst takes I've seen on here in a long time[/QUOTE]


Hi, I'm BBases, and I have an anger problem.

ThoseBackPages 01-19-2020 09:28 PM

[QUOTE=rngrdanny22;15461796]Hi, I'm BBases, and I have an anger problem.[/QUOTE]

HI BBases!

JoeAdam 01-19-2020 09:30 PM

I think $100 before the season is a bit of a stretch.

ThoseBackPages 01-19-2020 09:32 PM

[QUOTE=JoeAdam;15461808]I think $100 before the season is a bit of a stretch.[/QUOTE]

Spring Fever could get it done

BBases31 01-19-2020 09:37 PM

[QUOTE=REGGIE206;15461788]Okay. My bad.. but let me replace my comment/post with Ichiro Suzuki’s 2001 Topps #726 vs 2001 Topps Chrome Traded #T266. Both have the same image, but the regular Topps is more condition sensitive. Here is the last PSA 10 last sale & sale date, PSA pop, and image[/QUOTE]

For PSA 10 only, the Update can definitely outrun Chrome Update, it already does. For raw it will never happen. However, Update stock is much easier to trim than Chrome so we might eventually see a non-linear relative increase in PSA 10 Pops of Updates vs Chromes. If winds up being strong enough to cause a change in market price, who knows

[QUOTE=ThoseBackPages;15461778]3:1 is generous on production[/QUOTE]

I've just heard on here the ranges of Update base at 160-200k and Chrome Update base at about 60k

[QUOTE=rngrdanny22;15461796]Hi, I'm BBases, and I have an anger problem.
[/QUOTE]

Never in my life have I been angry off a response on a forum.

rngrdanny22 01-19-2020 09:39 PM

[QUOTE=BBases31;15461840]Never in my life have I been angry off a response on a forum.[/QUOTE]

Well, you never post anything positive, so you definitely fooled me.

BBases31 01-19-2020 09:42 PM

[QUOTE=rngrdanny22;15461843]Well, you never post anything positive, so you definitely fooled me.[/QUOTE]

That's a nice alternate reality you're living in there :)

REGGIE206 01-19-2020 09:46 PM

[QUOTE=BBases31;15461840]For PSA 10 only, the Update can definitely outrun Chrome Update, it already does. For raw it will never happen. However, Update stock is much easier to trim than Chrome so we might eventually see a non-linear relative increase in PSA 10 Pops of Updates vs Chromes. If winds up being strong enough to cause a change in market price, who knows.[/QUOTE]

PSA 10 is all I’ve been talking about when I compared the two cards.. and I clearly wrote it was because it was more condition sensitive. I even said “PSA 10” three times in one post.. lol.

If I had to pick between both raw copies, I would rather have the Chrome Soto RC.
[QUOTE=REGGIE206;15461164]I would get the US300 in a [B]PSA 10[/B]. I recommend a [B]PSA 10[/B] because they’re more condition sensitive compared to his Topps Chrome. At this moment, buying a [B]PSA 10[/B] won’t break the bank and pretty affordable.

I hope that helps! Good luck! :)![/QUOTE]
[QUOTE=REGGIE206;15461448]In my opinion, that logic doesn’t always work. With Derek Jeter’s 1993 rookie cards, there are roughly 4,100+ Stadium Club cards graded by PSA.. while there are more than 15,700 SP’s graded by PSA.

There are also way more 2011 Topps Update Mike Trout RC’s compared to his Sterling RC and both [B]PSA 10[/B]’s sell roughly for the same price.[/QUOTE]


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