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-   -   100 Case 2023 Bowman Draft PYP Pick Your Player (w/50 Case option) (https://www.blowoutforums.com/showthread.php?t=1574161)

Rememberthepast 12-10-2023 09:54 AM

[U][I][B]Below spots are available if anyone desires them.[/B][/I][/U]

Since I already committed to this break with the below amounts, [B][U][COLOR="Purple"]I’ll reinvest the $$$$ (plus more dollars) back into available spots to help fill this break.[/COLOR][/U][/B] I can’t add much more as I’m just close to my budget already with the Wyatt Langford Chrome spots, an auto spot and the ones listed below. There are definitely several spots with the 15% discount that have my attention and willing to pick up.

1st 50 Cases BDC-144 Max Anderson $383 Rememberthepast
2nd 50 Cases BDC-144 Max Anderson $383 Rememberthepast

1st 50 Cases BDC-145 Luis Almeyda $179 Rememberthepast
2nd 50 Cases BDC-145 Luis Almeyda $179 Rememberthepast

TmcK145 12-10-2023 09:56 AM

1st CDA-QMC Quinn McDaniel

1st BDC-11 Carlson Reed
1st BDC-125 Kristian Campbell
1st BDC-136 Quinn McDaniel

2nd BDC-11 Carlson Reed

mjhdrew 12-10-2023 09:58 AM

Clarifying:

2nd 50 BDC-95 Travis Honeyman $281
2nd 50 CDA-THA Tommy Hawke $255
1st 50 BDC-141 Tommy Hawke $71

2nd 50 for Hawke available for someone needing a lower priced 50 to get to 3+ and the 15%

[QUOTE=mjhdrew;19189679]It wasn't long ago we thought we may not see another 100 caser, so keen to help get this filed and ensure we continue to have them.

I'll grab:

2nd 50 BDC-95 Travis Honeyman $281
2nd 50 CDA-THA Tommy Hawke $255
BDC-141 Tommy Hawke $71

All aboard the Tommy Hawke bandwagon :)[/QUOTE]

Gibson45 12-10-2023 10:04 AM

Bdc 79 Alex clemmey all 100
Bdc 141 tommy Hawke 2nd 50

Anderson5054 12-10-2023 10:07 AM

All 100 BDC-188 Enrique Bradfield Jr. & variation & DC offer $1,171.30, which is 15% off ask

Thanks for considering!

JFray 12-10-2023 10:44 AM

BDC 157 Jackson Merrill all 100 cases
BDC 112 Roman Anthony all 100 cases

crpav 12-10-2023 10:57 AM

Just asking because regretting not taking but if 1st 50 Seth Keener auto opens up or willing to let me take let me know.

BabaORiley 12-10-2023 11:10 AM

Going to knock a couple of big slots off the board:
I'll take
1st 50 of Bowman Glass
2nd 50 of Bowman Glass
1st 50 of Dyan Jorge

ryanbulk 12-10-2023 11:25 AM

2nd 50 Cases BDC-175 Colin Houck $1,505
2nd 50 Cases BDC-173 Jace Bohrofen $255
2nd 50 Cases BDC-62 Welbyn Francisca $112

nrgraham 12-10-2023 11:28 AM

All 100 Cases: BDC-50 Jaxon Wiggins

kiddrock32 12-10-2023 11:33 AM

[QUOTE=Rememberthepast;19189685]Thanks for the post, but one thing you forgot are the chrome refractors which come 2 per pack and equates to about 48 per player per 50 cases.

For planning purposes I use the following numbers per 50/100;

125/250 - base chrome
45/90 - refractors
5 to 10 parallels per 50 cases and 15 for 100 (color is a wild card as some might get 4 and others 13 after 50 cases. It just depends on the streak).[/QUOTE]

Was just going to mention this, good summary.
Also, just to expand on autos, there are 1200 autos per 50 cases so that's about 12 per player. As mentioned earlier though some guys will be more SP and insert autos will take some of those so I use 11 autos per 50 cases as a measuring stick. Some will get close to 20, others will get much less.

Rememberthepast 12-10-2023 11:44 AM

[QUOTE=BabaORiley;19189830]Going to knock a couple of big slots off the board:
I'll take
1st 50 of Bowman Glass
2nd 50 of Bowman Glass
1st 50 of Dyan Jorge[/QUOTE]

Damn you since those Glass were a hidden objective I recently decided to obtain, but was holding off for a slightly more of a discount. I just got greedy.

So, ~800 cards after the 15% discount and pp fees that’s $6 card not counting any autos. This was a great value buy!

zworykin 12-10-2023 12:22 PM

[QUOTE=Rememberthepast;19189685]Thanks for the post, but one thing you forgot are the chrome refractors which come 2 per pack and equates to about 48 per player per 50 cases.

For planning purposes I use the following numbers per 50/100;

125/250 - base chrome
45/90 - refractors
5 to 10 parallels per 50 cases and 15 for 100 (color is a wild card as some might get 4 and others 13 after 50 cases. It just depends on the streak).[/QUOTE]

Yep, good point - I thought I had the refractors but apparently there was a cut and paste error at some point as I was formatting the post. Ha. Will edit the post to include.


Base Chrome Cards @ 6:1 pack = 28,800 total; checklist is 200 cards, so ~144 "expected" per player per half
Chrome Card Refractors @ 2:1 pack = 9,600 total; checklist is 200 cards, so ~48 "expected" per player per half
Plus any color/variations (where applicable)

zworykin 12-10-2023 12:37 PM

[QUOTE=kiddrock32;19189851]Was just going to mention this, good summary.
Also, just to expand on autos, there are 1200 autos per 50 cases so that's about 12 per player. As mentioned earlier though some guys will be more SP and insert autos will take some of those so I use 11 autos per 50 cases as a measuring stick. Some will get close to 20, others will get much less.[/QUOTE]

1200 autos but don't forget that includes all the insert autos. I just dug up last year's 100-case Draft tracker and just to use that as an example, there were 1230 autos (some extra product was added) and 86 of them were inserts, so almost bang on 7%. :)! So call that roughly 11 per player on the prospect autos (base+ref+color) instead of 12.

kiddrock32 12-10-2023 12:56 PM

[QUOTE=zworykin;19189941]1200 autos but don't forget that includes all the insert autos. I just dug up last year's 100-case Draft tracker and just to use that as an example, there were 1230 autos (some extra product was added) and 86 of them were inserts, so almost bang on 7%. :)! So call that roughly 11 per player on the prospect autos (base+ref+color) instead of 12.[/QUOTE]

Exactly as I said :)

KOs Cardroom 12-10-2023 01:00 PM

I’ll help the cause…
15% off these 4 spots:

CDA-QMC Quinn McDaniel All 100
CDA-EBR Enrique BradfieldJr & variation auto All 100

dte421 12-10-2023 01:10 PM

[QUOTE=KOs Cardroom;19189973]I’ll help the cause…
15% off these 4 spots:

CDA-QMC Quinn McDaniel All 100
CDA-EBR Enrique BradfieldJr & variation auto All 100[/QUOTE]

McDaniel was claimed in the first 50 FYI

KOs Cardroom 12-10-2023 01:12 PM

thanks, i missed that. just the 3 spots then

BabaORiley 12-10-2023 01:18 PM

[QUOTE=Rememberthepast;19189867]Damn you since those Glass were a hidden objective I recently decided to obtain, but was holding off for a slightly more of a discount. I just got greedy.

So, ~800 cards after the 15% discount and pp fees that’s $6 card not counting any autos. This was a great value buy![/QUOTE]

Here's the breakdown I got from running some numbers

~800 Base, 38 #'d parallels with 88% chance of red, 18% chance of Super. Of course, I don't think I've seen any parallels so Topps may have done something Topps-y like forgot to pack them out.

I also tallied an estimated 9 "base" autos and 15-16 parallel autos with a relatively decent chance at hitting a red auto or super auto.

Seemed like a high enough floor for me.

dte421 12-10-2023 01:20 PM

I will claim all 100 cases with the 15% discount of

CDA-TP Tai Peete
BDC-182 Justin Riemer

2000Doubles 12-10-2023 01:24 PM

I'll take these at 15% off:

1st 50 Cases BDC-192 Mike Boeve $281
2nd 50 Cases BDC-192 Mike Boeve $281
2nd 50 Cases BDC-83 Samuel Zavala $112

Rememberthepast 12-10-2023 01:29 PM

[QUOTE=BabaORiley;19190008]Here's the breakdown I got from running some numbers

~800 Base, 38 #'d parallels with 88% chance of red, 18% chance of Super. Of course, I don't think I've seen any parallels so Topps may have done something Topps-y like forgot to pack them out.

I also tallied an estimated 9 "base" autos and 15-16 parallel autos with a relatively decent chance at hitting a red auto or super auto.

Seemed like a high enough floor for me.[/QUOTE]

I think this is a huge win for you and if you get a 2 to 4 nice autos you’ll crush this spot. What I was trying to figure out was the price for the 18 card set. Clearing $100 to $125 per set was my planning factor.

BabaORiley 12-10-2023 02:07 PM

[QUOTE=Rememberthepast;19190047]I think this is a huge win for you and if you get a 2 to 4 nice autos you’ll crush this spot. What I was trying to figure out was the price for the 18 card set. Clearing $100 to $125 per set was my planning factor.[/QUOTE]

Thanks for the encouraging words! Yeah, I was torn between this and the Tai Peete Auto slots (mentioning only now that he's been taken). Peete certainly has a higher ceiling but I preferred the presumably-higher floor here.

zworykin 12-10-2023 02:25 PM

[QUOTE=kiddrock32;19189969]Exactly as I said :)[/QUOTE]

Indeed, I was just saying last year's break agreed with your numbers ;)

excel_b 12-10-2023 03:02 PM

Hey Houdini, I will take these plus 15% discount

1st 50 Cases CDA-AP Andrew Pinckney $1,403
1st 50 Cases CDA-BWN Brandon Winokur $2,933
1st 50 Cases CDA-BV Brock Vradenburg $979
1st 50 Cases CDA-KCA Kristian Campbell $1,097
1st 50 Cases CDA-MH Mac Horvath $3,825
2nd 50 Cases CDA-AP Andrew Pinckney $1,403
2nd 50 Cases CDA-BWN Brandon Winokur $2,933
2nd 50 Cases CDA-BV Brock Vradenburg $979
2nd 50 Cases CDA-KCA Kristian Campbell $1,097
2nd 50 Cases CDA-MH Mac Horvath $3,825

Let's keep the ball moving!


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